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315dow)}.md\:after\:content-none:after{--tw-content:none;content:var(--tw-content)}.group:hover .md\:group-hover\:border-gray-400{--tw-border-opacity:1;border-color:rgb(156 163 175/var(--tw-border-opacity,1))}.group:hover .md\:group-hover\:bg-black\/30{background-color:#0000004d}.group:hover .md\:group-hover\:bg-gray-100{--tw-bg-opacity:1;background-color:rgb(243 244 246/var(--tw-bg-opacity,1))}.group:hover .md\:group-hover\:text-white{--tw-text-opacity:1;color:rgb(255 255 255/var(--tw-text-opacity,1))}.group:hover .md\:group-hover\:opacity-100{opacity:1}}@media (width>=1024px){.lg\:right-4{right:1rem}.lg\:line-clamp-1{-webkit-line-clamp:1;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;display:-webkit-box;overflow:hidden}.lg\:block{display:block}.lg\:inline{display:inline}.lg\:flex{display:flex}.lg\:hidden{display:none}.lg\:h-4{height:1rem}.lg\:w-32{width:8rem}.lg\:w-4{width:1rem}.lg\:w-80{width:20rem}.lg\:w-\[380px\]{width:380px}.lg\:w-\[700px\]{width:700px}.lg\:min-w-\[600px\]{min-width:600px}.lg\:max-w-2xl{max-width:42rem}.lg\:max-w-3xl{max-width:48rem}.lg\:max-w-\[1104px\]{max-width:1104px}.lg\:max-w-\[1448px\]{max-width:1448px}.lg\:max-w-\[760px\]{max-width:760px}.lg\:shrink-0{flex-shrink:0}.lg\:grid-cols-2{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr))}.lg\:grid-cols-3{grid-template-columns:repeat(3,minmax(0,1fr))}.lg\:grid-cols-4{grid-template-columns:repeat(4,minmax(0,1fr))}.lg\:grid-cols-5{grid-template-columns:repeat(5,minmax(0,1fr))}.lg\:grid-cols-6{grid-template-columns:repeat(6,minmax(0,1fr))}.lg\:flex-row{flex-direction:row}.lg\:flex-col{flex-direction:column}.lg\:items-start{align-items:flex-start}.lg\:gap-16{gap:4rem}.lg\:border-l{border-left-width:1px}.lg\:border-r{border-right-width:1px}.lg\:border-black\/5{border-color:#0000000d}.lg\:p-12{padding:3rem}.lg\:px-0{padding-left:0;padding-right:0}.lg\:px-16{padding-left:4rem;padding-right:4rem}.lg\:px-4{padding-left:1rem;padding-right:1rem}.lg\:px-6{padding-left:1.5rem;padding-right:1.5rem}.lg\:py-8{padding-top:2rem;padding-bottom:2rem}.lg\:pl-8{padding-left:2rem}.lg\:text-center{text-align:center}}@media (width>=1280px){.xl\:w-96{width:24rem}.xl\:min-w-\[700px\]{min-width:700px}.xl\:max-w-4xl{max-width:56rem}.xl\:max-w-\[1296px\]{max-width:1296px}.xl\:max-w-\[1704px\]{max-width:1704px}.xl\:max-w-\[480px\]{max-width:480px}.xl\:max-w-\[888px\]{max-width:888px}.xl\:shrink-0{flex-shrink:0}.xl\:flex-row{flex-direction:row}.xl\:items-start{align-items:flex-start}.xl\:justify-between{justify-content:space-between}.xl\:gap-8{gap:2rem}.xl\:overflow-visible{overflow:visible}}.\[\&\:is\(a\)\:hover\]\:bg-\[var\(--community-mention-text\,rgb\(0_0_0\/0\.8\)\)\]:is(a):hover{background-color:var(--community-mention-text,#000c)}.\[\&\:is\(a\)\:hover\]\:text-white:is(a):hover{--tw-text-opacity:1;color:rgb(255 255 255/var(--tw-text-opacity,1))}.\[\&\:is\(a\)\:hover\]\:shadow-none:is(a):hover{--tw-shadow:0 0 #0000;--tw-shadow-colored:0 0 #0000;box-shadow:var(--tw-ring-offset-shadow,0 0 #0000), var(--tw-ring-shadow,0 0 #0000), var(--tw-sha
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316<script> 317 // Queue messages until React hydration completes to prevent hydration mismatches 318 let isHydrated = false; 319 const messageQueue = []; 320 321 function beehiiv_messageHandler(event) { 322 if (event.data && event.data.type === 'beehiiv:iframe_height') { 323 if (!isHydrated) { 324 // Queue message until hydration completes 325 messageQueue.push(event); 326 return; 327 } 328 329 let iframe = null; 330 331 // Try URL matching first (works for external cross-origin iframes) 332 if (event.data.url) { 333 const iframes = document.querySelectorAll('iframe'); 334 for (const el of iframes) { 335 if (el.src === event.data.url) { 336 iframe = el; 337 break; 338 } 339 } 340 } 341 342 // Try embedId (works for sandboxed iframes in editor) 343 if (!iframe && event.data.embedId) { 344 iframe = document.getElementById(event.data.embedId); 345 if (iframe) { 346 // The embed div contains the iframe, so find it 347 iframe = iframe.querySelector('iframe'); 348 } 349 } 350 351 // Fallback to frameElement (works for non-sandboxed iframes on published sites) 352 if (!iframe && event.source) { 353 try { 354 iframe = event.source.frameElement; 355 } catch (e) { 356 // frameElement access fails for sandboxed iframes (cross-origin) 357 } 358 } 359 360 if (iframe && event.data.height) { 361 iframe.style.height = event.data.height + 'px'; 362 } 363 } 364 } 365 366 window.addEventListener('message', beehiiv_messageHandler); 367 368 // Wait for React hydration to complete before processing queued messages 369 // Listen for custom event dispatched after hydration completes 370 document.addEventListener('beehiiv:hydration_completed', () => { 371 isHydrated = true; 372 messageQueue.forEach(event => beehiiv_messageHandler(event)); 373 messageQueue.length = 0; 374 }); 375 </script>
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695--title-font-weight:500;--description-font-size:13px;--description-mobile-font-size:16px;--title-letter-spacing:0px;--description-letter-spacing:0px;--description-font-weight:400;--description-text-color:#667085;--description-font-family:"Poppins", system-ui, sans-serif;--hover-border-radius:6px;--hover-text-color:#0A2281;--hover-description-text-color:#667085;--hover-background-color:#F4F6F9;--hover-icon-color:#0A2281;--hover-icon-background-color:#F2F4F7;--hover-border-color:transparent;--hover-border-style:solid;--hover-border-width:0px;--hover-underline:none;--mobile-background-color:#F4F6F9;--mobile-padding:8px;--mobile-border-radius:6px;--mobile-border-color:transparent;--mobile-border-style:solid;--mobile-border-width:0px;--mobile-title-color:#030304;--mobile-description-color:#667085" href="https://www.cirruscap.com/" target="_blank"><div class="_1ma1r0q1b"><!--$--><svg width="24px" height="24px" style="stroke:none"><title>infinity</title><use href="/phosphor-icons-sprite.svg#infinity"></use></svg><!--/$--></div><div class="_1ma1r0q17"><p class="_1ma1r0q14"><span class="_11r14xt0">Cirrus Homepage</span></p></div></a><a element="[object Object]" screen="desktop" class="_1ma1r0q18 _1ma1r0q19" style="--padding:8px;--border-radius:6px;--background-color:#F4F6F9;--text-color:#030304;--icon-color:#030304;--icon-background-color:#F2F4F7;--font-family:"Poppins", system-ui, sans-serif;--title-font-size:14px;--title-mobile-font-size:16px;--title-font-weight:500;--description-font-size:13px;--description-mobile-font-size:16px;--title-letter-spacing:0px;--description-letter-spacing:0px;--description-font-weight:400;--description-text-color:#667085;--description-font-family:"Poppins", system-ui, sans-serif;--hover-border-radius:6px;--hover-text-color:#0A2281;--hover-description-text-color:#667085;--hover-background-color:#F4F6F9;--hover-icon-color:#0A2281;--hover-icon-background-color:#F2F4F7;--hover-border-color:transparent;--hover-border-style:solid;--hover-border-width:0px;--hover-underline:none;--mobile-background-color:#F4F6F9;--mobile-padding:8px;--mobile-border-radius:6px;--mobile-border-color:transparent;--mobile-border-style:solid;--mobile-border-width:0px;--mobile-title-color:#030304;--mobile-description-color:#667085" href="https://www.cirruscap.com/company" target="_blank"><div class="_1ma1r0q1b"><!--$--><svg width="24px" height="24px" style="stroke:none"><title>users-three</title><use href="/phosphor-icons-sprite.svg#users-three"></use></svg><!--/$--></div><div class="_1ma1r0q17"><p class="_1ma1r0q14"><span class="_11r14xt0">About Cirrus</span></p></div></a><a element="[object Object]" screen="desktop" class="_1ma1r0q18 _1ma1r0q19" style="--padding:8px;--border-radius:6px;--background-color:#F4F6F9;--text-color:#030304;--icon-color:#030304;--icon-background-color:#F2F4F7;--font-family:"Poppins", system-ui, sans-serif;--title-font-size:14px;--title-mobile-font-size:16px;--title-font-weight:500;--description-font-size:13px;--description-mobile-font-size:16px;--title-letter-spacing:0px;--description-letter-spacing:0px;--description-font-weight:400;--description-text-color:#667085;--description-font-family:"Poppins", system-ui, sans-serif;--hover-border-radius:6px;--hover-text-color:#0A2281;--hover-description-text-color:#667085;--hover-background-color:#F4F6F9;--hover-icon-color:#0A2281;--hover-icon-background-color:#F2F4F7;--hover-border-color:transparent;--hover-border-style:solid;--hover-border-width:0px;--hover-underline:none;--mobile-background-color:#F4F6F9;--mobile-padding:8px;--mobile-border-radius:6px;--mobile-border-color:transparent;--mobile-border-style:solid;--mobile-border-width:0px;--mobile-title-color:#030304;--mobile-description-color:#667085" href="https://www.cirruscap.com/pledge" target="_blank"><div class="_1ma1r0q1b"><!--$--><svg width="24px" height="24px" style="stroke:none"><title>hand-heart</title><use href="/phosphor-icons-sprite.svg#hand-heart"></use></svg><!--/$--></div><div class="_1ma1r0q17"><p class="_1ma1r0q14"><span class="_11r14xt0">
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style="--position-top:initial;--position-right:initial;--position-left:initial;--position-bottom:initial;--position-transform:initial;--position:relative;width:100%;max-width:100%;--base-color:#030304;--letter-spacing:normal;--padding:0px 0px 0px 0px;--mobile-padding:0px 0px 0px 0px;--padding-root:0px 0px 0px 0px;--margin-top:0px;--margin-right:0px;--margin-bottom:0px;--margin-left:0px;--margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;--line-height:110%;--mobile-line-height:110%;--background-color:transparent;--border-radius:0px;--border-width:0px;--border-color:inherit;--border-style:none;--text-transform:none;--mobile-text-align:left;--text-align:left" data-json-path="0,0,1,0,0" data-node-id="e5135411-ae9d-4684-b1f9-75c93f62d2a5"><span class="_11r14xt0"><span style="font-family:"Poppins", system-ui, sans-serif;font-weight:700;--color:#030304;--font-size:40px;--mobile-font-size:32px" class="_11r14xt1">Higher Rates, Colder IPO Market, and the Case for Building Like Nobody's Coming to Save You</span></span></h1><p class="dream-paragraph ybdwbv0 line-clamp-none" style="--position-top:initial;--position-right:initial;--position-left:initial;--position-bottom:initial;--position-transform:initial;--position:relative;width:100%;max-width:100%;--padding:0px 0px 0px 0px;--mobile-padding:0px 0px 0px 0px;--padding-root:0px 0px 0px 0px;--margin-top:0px;--margin-right:0px;--margin-bottom:0px;--margin-left:0px;--margin:0px 0px 0px 0px;--line-height:120%;--mobile-line-height:120%;--background-color:transparent;--border-radius:0px;--border-width:0px;--border-color:inherit;--border-style:none;--text-transform:none;--letter-spacing:normal;--mobile-text-align:left;--text-align:left" data-json-path="0,0,1,0,1" data-node-id="cab24577-23ce-4e8f-a8f1-58f3538c516a"><span class="_11r14xt0"><span style="font-family:"Poppins", system-ui, sans-serif;font-weight:400;--color:#030304;--font-size:18px;--mobile-font-size:14px" class="_11r14xt1">Why the companies still betting their financing plan on a 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class="_10pdwo80 dream-post-content-doc"><div class="dream-post-content-imageBlock _2fealp0" style="--caption-alignment:center"><div class="_2fealp1"><picture><source media="(max-width: 360px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=720,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/79877fc5-878e-4faa-bed7-acb65b856575/ohRjJnF4ogWtmRybdC4yEU.jpeg?t=1749856431 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 360px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=360,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/79877fc5-878e-4faa-bed7-acb65b856575/ohRjJnF4ogWtmRybdC4yEU.jpeg?t=1749856431 1x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=860,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/79877fc5-878e-4faa-bed7-acb65b856575/ohRjJnF4ogWtmRybdC4yEU.jpeg?t=1749856431 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=430,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/79877fc5-878e-4faa-bed7-acb65b856575/ohRjJnF4ogWtmRybdC4yEU.jpeg?t=1749856431 1x"/><img src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/79877fc5-878e-4faa-bed7-acb65b856575/ohRjJnF4ogWtmRybdC4yEU.jpeg?t=1749856431" alt="" width="1292" height="727" style="width:100%;border-radius:0px;aspect-ratio:1292 / 727;height:auto" class="_2fealp2 _2fealp5"/></picture></div></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1" style="--text-align:center"><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><em>Welcome to </em></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><strong><em>Altitude</em></strong></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><em>, the bi-monthly drop from Cirrus Capital Partners. We write for </em></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><strong><em>founders and finance pros</em></strong></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><em> building at the highest level. Expect sharp </em></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><strong><em>insights</em></strong></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><em>, </em></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><strong><em>market movers</em></strong></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><em>, and operator-grade </em></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><strong><em>tips</em></strong></span></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit"><em>
695.</em></span></span></p></div><div class="_7pt7ks0"><div class="_7pt7ks1"></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:0px;--post-section-margin-right:0px;--post-section-margin-bottom:0px;--post-section-margin-left:0px;--post-section-padding-top:0px;--post-section-padding-right:0px;--post-section-padding-bottom:0px;--post-section-padding-left:0px;--post-section-border-color:#222222;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-border-top-width:0px;--post-section-border-right-width:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:0px;--post-section-border-left-width:0px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:0px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:0px"><div class="hynlcx0"><h2 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx3" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">Cirrus News & Views</span></h2></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">We're still booking meetings for the </span><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>B2B Finance Expo</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> in Las Vegas this October â if you'll be there and want to grab some time, reply to this email or give us a shout!</span></p></div><div class="ykh5t0" style="--button-line-height:18px;--button-padding:calc(var(--wt-button-padding-top) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-right) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-bottom) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-left) + 0px);--button-font-size:16px;--post-button-radius:4px;--button-alignment:center"><a href="https://www.cirruscap.com/contact-us" class="ykh5t1" type="button" target="_blank"><span class="hxnnnr0">Contact Us »</span></a></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:0px;--post-section-margin-right:0px;--post-section-margin-bottom:0px;--post-section-margin-left:0px;--post-section-padding-top:0px;--post-section-padding-right:0px;--post-section-padding-bottom:0px;--post-section-padding-left:0px;--post-section-border-color:#222222;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-border-top-width:0px;--post-section-border-right-width:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:0px;--post-section-border-left-width:0px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:0px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:0px"><div class="hynlcx0"><h2 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx3" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">Recent Cirrus Term Sheets & Transactions</span></h2></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>$30M bank facility ($20M revolving / $10M term).</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Private credit lender, used to support origination capacity as the underlying loan book scaled. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>$27.5M term loan facility</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> to a revolutionary battery storage company</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>$20M senior-secured revolving-to-term facility.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Auto lender, structured to convert from revolver to term financing as the borrowing base matured. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>$15M senior-secured credit facility.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Growth-stage operating company. Up to $15M in total availability with $5M funded at close, a four-year term, 15% cash-pay interest, and a small equity kicker (a penny warrant for 2% of common). We're pre-clearing high-level terms with the company before drafting a formal term sheet â a step we increasingly find saves everyone time compared to negotiating a full document before both sides agree on the deal's shape. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>$4M senior facility, scalable to $15M.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Real estate lender, supporting balance-sheet growth ahead of a broader capital raise.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>$1.75M junior term loan</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0">
695 to support the accretive acquisition of a regional HVAC business</span></p></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:0px;--post-section-margin-right:0px;--post-section-margin-bottom:0px;--post-section-margin-left:0px;--post-section-padding-top:0px;--post-section-padding-right:0px;--post-section-padding-bottom:0px;--post-section-padding-left:0px;--post-section-border-color:#222222;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-border-top-width:0px;--post-section-border-right-width:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:0px;--post-section-border-left-width:0px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:0px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:0px"><div class="hynlcx0"><h1 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx2" translations="[object Object]"></h1></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h1 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx2" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">Whatâs on our mindâ¦</span></h1></div><div class="dream-post-content-imageBlock _2fealp0" style="--caption-alignment:center"><div class="_2fealp1"><picture><source media="(max-width: 360px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=720,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/1d8638fc-82b7-49b6-a438-462838921fd5/Updated_Image_Ryan.png?t=1786029280 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 360px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=360,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/1d8638fc-82b7-49b6-a438-462838921fd5/Updated_Image_Ryan.png?t=1786029280 1x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=860,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/1d8638fc-82b7-49b6-a438-462838921fd5/Updated_Image_Ryan.png?t=1786029280 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=430,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/1d8638fc-82b7-49b6-a438-462838921fd5/Updated_Image_Ryan.png?t=1786029280 1x"/><img src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/1d8638fc-82b7-49b6-a438-462838921fd5/Updated_Image_Ryan.png?t=1786029280" alt="" loading="lazy" width="310" height="281" style="width:50%;border-radius:15px;aspect-ratio:310 / 281;height:auto" class="_2fealp2 _2fealp5"/></picture><div class="_1gaxnt60 xcryp60"><small class="dream-post-content-figcaption xcryp60"><p><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Ryan Ridgway</strong></span><br/><span class="hxnnnr0"><em>Founder & Managing Partner</em></span><br/><span class="hxnnnr0"><em>Cirrus Capital Partners</em></span></p></small></div></div></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h2 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx3" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">The Fed Just Hiked. Stop Waiting for It to Save Your Deal.</span></h2></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><em>Why the smartest move in a higher-for-longer market has nothing to do with guessing the Fed's next meeting.</em></span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">For most of the past year, the working assumption in every credit committee, cap table conversation, and refinancing plan I've sat in on has been some version of "we just need to get to the next leg down in rates." Sponsors underwrote deals assuming spreads would compress as base rates fell. Founders delayed raises hoping a friendlier rate environment would mean friendlier valuations. Even companies with strong fundamentals treated the Fed's next move as the single biggest variable in their financing strategy.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">On September 16, the Fed didn't cut. It didn't hold. It </span><span class="hxnnnr0"><a href="http://federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a.htm" target="_blank" rel="" class="_3k8pkd0">hiked the federal funds target range</a></span><span class="hxnnnr0">
695 a quarter point, to 3.75%â4.00% â its first hike in years, delivered unanimously, with inflation still running above target and the Committee explicitly signaling it isn't done watching prices before it's satisfied.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">That alone would be a useful correction to a market that had spent months pricing in relief. But the more interesting tell came from a completely different corner of the capital markets that same week: SB Energy, Holtec, and Aggreko â three of the best-financed, most hyped names in the data-center buildout â all pulled or delayed their IPOs, with SB Energy specifically facing resistance to a valuation north of $50 billion. These are not distressed companies. They are the poster children of the AI infrastructure boom, backed by some of the world's deepest pools of capital. And even they couldn't get comfortable pricing that public markets weren't ready to underwrite.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Here's the thesis:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> the financing advantage in this market was never going to come from correctly timing the Fed. It's going to come from building a company â and a balance sheet â that doesn't need the Fed's help to close its next round, credit facility, or exit.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">That's a harder pitch than "wait for rates to fall" because it asks you to do the work now rather than later. But look at what's actually happening underneath the headline rate move. Nonfarm payrolls jumped 162,000 in August â more than triple the consensus estimate â with unemployment holding steady at 4.1%. That's not a labor market that's cracking. It's a labor market giving the Fed room to keep leaning against inflation rather than rushing to cut. Anyone underwriting a 2027 plan around imminent rate relief is fighting the data, not reading it.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>The strongest counterargument</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> is that base rates matter enormously for anyone financing with floating-rate debt, and a hike is a real cost, not a rounding error â a company carrying $20 million of SOFR-plus paper just watched its effective rate move against it, full stop. That's true, and it's exactly why structure matters more than sentiment right now. The companies getting hurt aren't the ones with variable-rate exposure per se; they're the ones who built financing plans with no plan B if rates didn't cooperate â no hedge, no fixed-rate alternative evaluated, no covenant cushion, no scenario where the base case was wrong.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>What this means, practically:</strong></span></p></div><div class="dream-post-content-bulletList _1ao94nj0"><ul translations="[object Object]" class="_1ao94nj1"><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>For Founders and Operators:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Build the plan that works at today's rates, not the plan that only works if the Fed does you a favor. If your model only clears its return hurdles with 100 basis points of relief you don't control, that's not a financing plan â it's a bet.</span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>For Finance Leaders: </strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0">This is the moment to actually run the sensitivity analysis instead of hand-waving it in a board deck. What does your covenant package look like if SOFR sits at 3.75% through all of 2027? Do you know, or are you assuming?</span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>For Lenders and Capital Providers:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Pulled IPOs are a more instructive signal than the rate hike itself. Capital is still there for good businesses â SB Energy didn't fail to raise money; it failed to raise money at the price it wanted. Structure, discipline, and realistic pricing are what's clearing right now. Growth-at-any-valuation is not.</span></p></div></li></ul></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Two to four takeaways, concretely: </strong></span></p></div><div class="dream-post-content-bulletList _1ao94nj0"><ul translations="[object Object]" class="_1ao94nj1"><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">Stress-test your capital plan against a "no relief in 2027" scenario, not just a base case. </span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">Treat fixed-versus-floating as an active decision this quarter, not a set-and-forget one from your last closing. </span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">If you're raising equity, price to what a skeptical market will actually underwrite, not what a friendlier market might have paid eighteen months ago. </span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">If you're a lender, remember that the operators asking the sharpest questions about their own downside case right now are usually the better credit, not the more nervous one.</span></p></div></li></ul></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">The Fed didn't do anyone a favor this month. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">That's not the problem. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">The problem is how many financing plans were built assuming it would.</span></p></div><div class="ykh5t0" style="--button-line-height:18px;--button-padding:calc(var(--wt-button-padding-top) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-right) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-bottom) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-left) + 0px);--button-font-size:16px;--post-button-radius:4px;--button-alignment:center"><a href="https://altitude.blog/archive" class="ykh5t1" type="button" target="_blank"><span class="hxnnnr0">Read it online»</span></a></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:0px;--post-section-margin-right:0px;
695--post-section-margin-bottom:0px;--post-section-margin-left:0px;--post-section-padding-top:0px;--post-section-padding-right:0px;--post-section-padding-bottom:0px;--post-section-padding-left:0px;--post-section-border-color:#222222;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-border-top-width:0px;--post-section-border-right-width:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:0px;--post-section-border-left-width:0px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:0px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:0px"><div class="hynlcx0"><h2 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx3" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">What Caught Our Eye This Week</span></h2></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h3 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx4" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">Wall Street Is Losing Its Nerve on the Data-Center Boom â Three IPOs Pulled in One Week</span></h3></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">SB Energy delayed its offering amid pushback on a valuation above $50 billion. At the same time, Holtec paused its IPO indefinitely, and Aggreko slowed its plans, as investors grew more skeptical of the sector's growth assumptions and execution risk. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Why It Matters:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> This is the clearest real-time read on how public capital is actually pricing AI infrastructure risk right now, independent of what </span><span class="hxnnnr0"><a href="http://newsletter.strictlyvc.com/p/pulled-ipos-signal-wall-street-losing-faith-in-data-center-boom" target="_blank" rel="" class="_3k8pkd0">private valuations or vendor financing</a></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> announcements suggest. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>For the Altitude Audience:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> If the most capital-rich, best-connected companies in the hottest sector of the economy can't get comfortable with their own pricing, that's a useful data point for anyone benchmarking their own raise against "the market is hot" assumptions. </span></p></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h3 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx4" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">The Fed Hiked Instead of Cutting â And the Labor Market Gave It Room To Do It</span></h3></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">The FOMC raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point to 3.75%â4.00% on September 16, unanimously, citing elevated inflation â a week after data showed that August payrolls jumped 162,000, against a consensus estimate near 55,000, with unemployment steady at 4.1%. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Why It Matters:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> This is the direct evidence behind this issue's lead thesis. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>For the Altitude Audience:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Any financing model, refinancing timeline, or exit plan that assumed cuts were coming needs a second look now. </span></p></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h3 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx4" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">Paramountâs $81 Billion Warner Bros. Discovery Takeover Clears Its Last Legal Hurdle</span></h3></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">Paramount settled an antitrust suit brought by 12 states, clearing the way for David Ellison's takeover in exchange for concessions including $1.5 billion in additional U.S. production spending and an editorial-independence board for CNN and CBS News. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Why It Matters:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> It's one of the largest media M&A deals in years and a live case study in how regulatory settlements are increasingly built around specific operational and governance concessions rather than pure divestiture. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>For the Altitude Audience:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Even outside media, it's a useful template for how deal terms are being shaped to survive antitrust scrutiny in 2026.</span></p></div><div class="ykh5t0" style="--button-line-height:18px;--button-padding:calc(var(--wt-button-padding-top) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-right) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-bottom) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-left) + 0px);--button-font-size:16px;--post-button-radius:4px;--button-alignment:center"><a href="https://altitude.blog/p/higher-rates-colder-ipo-market-and-the-case-for-building-like-nobody-s-coming-to-save-you" class="ykh5t1" type="button" target="_blank"><span class="hxnnnr0">Read online»</span></a></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:0px;--post-section-margin-right:0px;
695--post-section-margin-bottom:0px;--post-section-margin-left:0px;--post-section-padding-top:0px;--post-section-padding-right:0px;--post-section-padding-bottom:0px;--post-section-padding-left:0px;--post-section-border-color:#222222;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-border-top-width:0px;--post-section-border-right-width:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:0px;--post-section-border-left-width:0px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:0px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:0px"><div class="hynlcx0"><h2 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx3" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">Markets & Assets At-A-Glance</span></h2></div><div class="dream-post-content-imageBlock _2fealp0" style="--caption-alignment:center"><div class="_2fealp1"><picture><source media="(max-width: 360px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=720,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/53762920-48ba-4b2e-aa3b-1a611df9e6bd/Screenshot_2026-09-22_at_19.35.12.png?t=1790120142 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 360px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=360,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/53762920-48ba-4b2e-aa3b-1a611df9e6bd/Screenshot_2026-09-22_at_19.35.12.png?t=1790120142 1x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=860,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/53762920-48ba-4b2e-aa3b-1a611df9e6bd/Screenshot_2026-09-22_at_19.35.12.png?t=1790120142 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=430,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/53762920-48ba-4b2e-aa3b-1a611df9e6bd/Screenshot_2026-09-22_at_19.35.12.png?t=1790120142 1x"/><img src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/53762920-48ba-4b2e-aa3b-1a611df9e6bd/Screenshot_2026-09-22_at_19.35.12.png?t=1790120142" alt="" loading="lazy" width="1244" height="516" style="width:90%;border-radius:15px;aspect-ratio:1244 / 516;height:auto" class="_2fealp2 _2fealp5"/></picture><div class="_1gaxnt60 xcryp60"><small class="dream-post-content-figcaption xcryp60"><p><span class="hxnnnr0"><a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.Release/pdf/empsit.Pdf" target="_blank" rel="" class="_3k8pkd0">Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics</a></span></p></small></div></div></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h4 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx5" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">TL;DR</span></h4></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">The Fed hiked instead of holding; long rates are elevated, and equities have pulled back modestly from record highs without breaking down â a market that's still constructive on growth but newly on notice about inflation.</span></p></div><div class="b7oqx90" style="--cell-width:14.285714285714286%"><table class="b7oqx91"><tr><th class="_200kro0"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Asset / Market</strong></span></p></div></th><th class="_200kro0"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Value</strong></span></p></div></th><th class="_200kro0"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Altitude Take</strong></span></p></div></th></tr><tr><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong> Fed Funds Target Range</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>3.75%-4.00%</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="dl6s8g0 hxnnnr0">ð´</span><span class="hxnnnr0"> First hike in years; directly reprices any floating-rate facility closing this quarter.</span></p></div></td></tr><tr><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong> 10-Year Treasury</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>~4.79%</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="dl6s8g0 hxnnnr0">ð¡</span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Term financing and M&A discount rates should assume "higher for longer," not a near-term reversion.</span></p></div></td></tr><tr><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong> S&P 500</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>~7,657</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="dl6s8g0 hxnnnr0">ð¢</span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Public comps remain generous by historical standards even as growth-stock pricing gets more selective.</span></p></div></td></tr><tr><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong> Nasdaq Composite</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>~26,333</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="dl6s8g0 hxnnnr0">ð¡</span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Tech valuations are still rich but increasingly bifurcated between proven revenue and pure narrative.</span></p></div></td></tr><tr><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong> U.S Unemployment Rate</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>4.1%</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="dl6s8g0 hxnnnr0">ð¡</span><span class="hxnnnr0"> A labor market this resilient gives the Fed cover to stay restrictive â bad news for anyone banking on cuts.</span></p></div></td></tr><tr><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong> Nonfarm Payrolls </strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>+162,000</strong></span></p></div></td><td class="ox1r470" valign="top"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="dl6s8g0 hxnnnr0">ð¢</span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Strongest single-month beat in recent memory;
695 reinforces the "no imminent cut" read.</span></p></div></td></tr></table></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Market Summary:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Higher-for-longer just got a little more literal. A quarter-point hike raises the cost of every floating-rate facility that closes or resets this quarter, and the elevated 10-year means term debt and M&A discount rates aren't getting cheaper on their own either. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">None of this is a crisis â equities are down modestly from records, not in freefall, and the labor market backdrop is genuinely strong â but it does mean capital availability now depends more on deal quality and structure than on the tide lifting all boats. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">For borrowers, that argues for locking in structure and pricing you can live with today rather than waiting on relief that isn't showing up on schedule. For buyers and sponsors, it argues for underwriting exits at today's multiples rather than last year's.</span></p></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:0px;--post-section-margin-right:0px;--post-section-margin-bottom:0px;--post-section-margin-left:0px;--post-section-padding-top:0px;--post-section-padding-right:0px;--post-section-padding-bottom:0px;--post-section-padding-left:0px;--post-section-border-color:#222222;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-border-top-width:0px;--post-section-border-right-width:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:0px;--post-section-border-left-width:0px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:0px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:0px"><div class="hynlcx0"><h2 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx3" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0">Market Movers</span></h2></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h3 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx4" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Venture Capital & Growth Equity Raises </strong></span></h3></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Kairos Power â Up to $100 Million (Equity + In-Kind Engineering Services</strong></span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">Kairos Power, a 10-year-old Alameda, California company developing fluoride salt-cooled high-temperature nuclear reactors, received a </span><span class="hxnnnr0"><a href="https://techcrunch.com/2026/09/21/kairos-power-gets-up-to-100m-from-samsung-group-to-build-nuclear-reactor-for-google/" target="_blank" rel="" class="_3k8pkd0">$70 million equity</a></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> investment from Samsung C&T as part of a broader deal that also includes in-kind engineering services, bringing the combined value to as much as $100 million. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Why It's Notable:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0">
695 This is strategic equity from an industrial conglomerate, not a traditional VC round â a structure worth watching as more infrastructure-heavy, AI-adjacent companies look beyond pure financial sponsors for capital with engineering and supply-chain muscle attached. It's also a direct beneficiary of the same AI power-demand buildout that's making data-center IPO investors nervous, which is its own useful contrast.</span></p></div><div class="dream-post-content-bulletList _1ao94nj0"><ul translations="[object Object]" class="_1ao94nj1"><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Feldera.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> $21.5 million (combined seed + Series A). San Francisco-based data infrastructure startup; Series A led by Inovia Capital, seed led by Costanoa Ventures. </span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Spott.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> $21 million Series A. Leuven, Belgium-based recruitment-workflow AI startup; led by Balderton Capital. </span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Aristotle.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> $5 million seed. San Francisco-based voice AI tutoring startup for teens; led by True Ventures. </span></p></div></li><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Benford.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> $5.7 million pre-seed. London-based AI statutory audit software, led by Firstminute Capital. </span></p></div></li></ul></div><div class="ykh5t0" style="--button-line-height:18px;--button-padding:calc(var(--wt-button-padding-top) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-right) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-bottom) + 0px) calc(var(--wt-button-padding-left) + 0px);--button-font-size:16px;--post-button-radius:4px;--button-alignment:center"><a href="https://altitude.blog/p/higher-rates-colder-ipo-market-and-the-case-for-building-like-nobody-s-coming-to-save-you" class="ykh5t1" type="button" target="_blank"><span class="hxnnnr0">Read online»</span></a></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h3 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx4" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>M&A (Big Buys / Strategic Deals)</strong></span></h3></div><div class="dream-post-content-imageBlock _2fealp0" style="--caption-alignment:center"><div class="_2fealp1"><picture><source media="(max-width: 360px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1662467150607-8c5dec1d5980?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=jpg&ixid=M3w0ODM4NTF8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxfHxwYXJhbXB8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzkwMTIwMzExfDA&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&q=80&w=1080&utm_source=beehiiv&utm_medium=referral 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 360px)" srcSet="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1662467150607-8c5dec1d5980?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=jpg&ixid=M3w0ODM4NTF8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxfHxwYXJhbXB8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzkwMTIwMzExfDA&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&q=80&w=1080&utm_source=beehiiv&utm_medium=referral 1x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1662467150607-8c5dec1d5980?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=jpg&ixid=M3w0ODM4NTF8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxfHxwYXJhbXB8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzkwMTIwMzExfDA&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&q=80&w=1080&utm_source=beehiiv&utm_medium=referral 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px)" srcSet="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1662467150607-8c5dec1d5980?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=jpg&ixid=M3w0ODM4NTF8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxfHxwYXJhbXB8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzkwMTIwMzExfDA&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&q=80&w=1080&utm_source=beehiiv&utm_medium=referral 1x"/><img src="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1662467150607-8c5dec1d5980?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=jpg&ixid=M3w0ODM4NTF8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxfHxwYXJhbXB8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzkwMTIwMzExfDA&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&q=80&w=1080&utm_source=beehiiv&utm_medium=referral" alt="" loading="lazy" width="1080" height="675" style="width:90%;border-radius:15px;aspect-ratio:1080 / 675;height:auto" class="_2fealp2 _2fealp5"/></picture><a target="_blank" href="https://unsplash.com/@boliviainteligente" class="underline underline-offset-2"><div class="_1gaxnt60 xcryp60 _1gaxnt61"><small class="dream-post-content-figcaption xcryp60"><p><span class="hxnnnr0">Photo by BoliviaInteligente on Unsplash</span></p></small></div></a></div></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Paramount / Warner Bros. Discovery â $81 Billion</strong></span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">Paramount settled an antitrust suit brought by 12 states, clearing the way for David Ellison'
695s $81 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery, in exchange for concessions including $1.5 billion in additional U.S. production spending, a commitment to 30 films annually, and an editorial-independence board for CNN and CBS News. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Strategic Rationale:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Consolidation in traditional media continues even as the antitrust environment gets more demanding â the deal cleared not by shrinking in size but by accepting specific, enforceable operating commitments.</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Smaller / Undisclosed:</strong></span></p></div><div class="dream-post-content-bulletList _1ao94nj0"><ul translations="[object Object]" class="_1ao94nj1"><li class="_11av8sw0" translations="[object Object]"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Wander / Polarity. Terms not disclosed.</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Vacation-home booking platform Wander acquired applied-AI research lab Polarity to bring specialized AI agents and custom-trained models into its engineering stack. </span></p></div></li></ul></div><div class="hynlcx0"><h3 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx4" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Credit & Debt Financing</strong></span></h3></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Jefferies Credit Partners</strong></span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><a href="https://www.alternativeswatch.com/2026/09/09/jefferies-credit-partners-european-direct-lending-4bn/" target="_blank" rel="" class="_3k8pkd0">Targeting up to $4 billion</a></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> in European direct-lending capacity, announced September 9, 2026. </span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Altitude Take:</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> Another large platform doubling down on direct lending capacity even as pricing gets more competitive â a sign the asset class isn't slowing down, just getting more crowded at the top end.</span></p></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:15px;--post-section-margin-right:15px;--post-section-margin-bottom:15px;--post-section-margin-left:15px;--post-section-padding-top:15px;--post-section-padding-right:15px;--post-section-padding-bottom:15px;--post-section-padding-left:15px;--post-section-border-color:#222222;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-background-color:#FFFFFF;--post-section-border-top-width:0px;--post-section-border-right-width:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:0px;--post-section-border-left-width:0px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:0px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:0px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:0px"><div class="hynlcx0" style="--text-align:center"><h2 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx3" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Share the love!</strong></span></h2></div><div class="dream-post-content-blockquoteFigure yuqx91" translations="[object Object]"><div class="dream-post-content-blockquoteFigure yuqx94" translations="[object Object]"><div class="dream-post-content-quote _1xtprv91" translations="[object Object]"><div class="_1xtprv92">â</div><div class="_1xtprv90"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="color:#00AEF8;font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit">The Fed didn't do anyone a favor this month. That's not the problem. The problem is how many financing plans were built assuming it would.</span></span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><span style="color:#00aef8;font-family:inherit;--font-size:100%;--mobile-font-size:inherit">
695â @RyanRidg</span></span></p></div></div></div></div></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>ð¦ </strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Consumers%20used%20to%20see%20private%20labels%20as%20cheap%20fallback.%20Now%20they%20trust%20them%20more%20than%20the%20giants.%0A%0AThat%20shift%20in%20psychology%20is%20worth%20billions%20%26%20it%E2%80%99s%20why%20challenger%20brands%20are%20stealth%20eclipsing%20incumbents.%20Niches%20%3D%20the%20new%20blue%20chips.%20%E2%80%94%20%40RyanRidg%0A%0A&url=https%3A%2F%2Faltitude.blog%2Fposts" target="_blank" rel="" class="_3k8pkd0" style="--wt-inline-link-underline-color-override:#C0C0C0;--wt-inline-link-color-override:#C0C0C0">CLICK TO TWEET</a></span><span class="hxnnnr0">â</span></p></div><div class="_7pt7ks0"><div class="_7pt7ks1"></div></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">Altitude is the </span><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>#1 newsletter</strong></span><span class="hxnnnr0"> for founders, operators, dealmakers, and capital allocators aiming to reach their highest potential. ðï¸</span></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1"><span class="hxnnnr0">To your growth,</span></p></div><div class="_9dcdt00 _9dcdt01"><div class="_9eaycr0 _9eaycr1" style="width:50%"><div class="dream-post-content-imageBlock _2fealp0" style="--caption-alignment:center"><div class="_2fealp1"><picture><source media="(max-width: 360px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=720,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/628b07b6-cdd9-42f2-98a1-38a72e52fbca/Updated_Image_Ryan_2.png?t=1786027878 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 360px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=360,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/628b07b6-cdd9-42f2-98a1-38a72e52fbca/Updated_Image_Ryan_2.png?t=1786027878 1x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px) and (min-resolution: 2dppx)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=860,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/628b07b6-cdd9-42f2-98a1-38a72e52fbca/Updated_Image_Ryan_2.png?t=1786027878 2x"/><source media="(max-width: 430px)" srcSet="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,width=430,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/628b07b6-cdd9-42f2-98a1-38a72e52fbca/Updated_Image_Ryan_2.png?t=1786027878 1x"/><img src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect/uploads/asset/file/628b07b6-cdd9-42f2-98a1-38a72e52fbca/Updated_Image_Ryan_2.png?t=1786027878" alt="" loading="lazy" width="310" height="281" style="width:100%;border-radius:15px;aspect-ratio:310 / 281;height:auto" class="_2fealp2 _2fealp5"/></picture></div></div></div><div class="_9eaycr0 _9eaycr1" style="width:50%"><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1" style="--text-align:center"></p></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1" style="--text-align:center"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Ryan Ridgway</strong></span><br/><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Founder & Managing Partner</strong></span><br/><span class="hxnnnr0"><a href="https://www.cirruscap.com/" target="_blank" rel="" class="_3k8pkd0">Cirrus Capital Partners</a></span></p></div></div></div></div><div class="_1gqvddm0" style="--post-section-margin-top:0px;--post-section-margin-right:15px;--post-section-margin-bottom:0px;--post-section-margin-left:15px;--post-section-padding-top:20px;--post-section-padding-right:20px;--post-section-padding-bottom:20px;--post-section-padding-left:20px;--post-section-border-color:#C0C0C0;--post-section-border-style:solid;--post-section-background-color:#f2f2f2;--post-section-border-top-width:1px;--post-section-border-right-width:1px;--post-section-border-bottom-width:1px;--post-section-border-left-width:1px;--post-section-border-top-left-radius:10px;--post-section-border-top-right-radius:10px;--post-section-border-bottom-right-radius:10px;--post-section-border-bottom-left-radius:10px"><div class="hynlcx0" style="--text-align:center"><h3 class="hynlcx1 hynlcx4" translations="[object Object]"><span class="hxnnnr0"><strong>Enjoying Altitude?</strong></span></h3></div><div class="j6zgbu0"><p class="dream-post-content-paragraph j6zgbu1" style="--text-align:center"><span class="hxnnnr0">Thanks for reading! If this resonated, forward it to a founder, operator, or finance lead who's still waiting on a rate cut to fix their plan. 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695dth":1292,"naturalHeight":727},"content":[{"type":"figcaption"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"bdb564e3-aaf2-4987-b8ec-dfd9e1b00b86","textAlign":"center"},"content":[{"text":"Welcome to ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":"Altitude","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"bold","attrs":{}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":", the bi-monthly drop from Cirrus Capital Partners. We write for ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":"founders and finance pros","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"bold","attrs":{}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" building at the highest level. Expect sharp ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":"insights","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"bold","attrs":{}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":", ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":"market movers","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"bold","attrs":{}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":", and operator-grade ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":"tips","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"bold","attrs":{}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"text":".","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"textStyle","attrs":{"color":null,"fontSize":null,"fontFamily":null,"fontWeight":null,"colorFieldKey":null}},{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"horizontalRule"},{"type":"section","attrs":{"id":"5654f75e-a0bc-42c5-b63b-fc8e7829ad2b","marginTop":0,"marginLeft":0,"paddingTop":0,"borderStyle":"solid","marginRight":0,"paddingLeft":0,"showInEmail":true,"marginBottom":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingBottom":0,"showOnWebsite":true,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"referralCondition":"lt","referralCountValue":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":0,"useIndividualMargin":false,"borderTopRightRadius":0,"showToNonSubscribers":true,"useIndividualPadding":false,"showToFreeSubscribers":true,"showToPaidSubscribers":true,"showWithReferralCount":false,"borderBottomLeftRadius":0,"borderBottomRightRadius":0,"showToTieredSubscribers":[],"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false},"content":[{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"94003ed3-a8b5-42af-9949-57d10228bb67","level":2},"content":[{"text":"Cirrus News \u0026 Views","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"66479a5e-a25e-4e5b-ab24-3974d3de2e34"},"content":[{"text":"We're still booking meetings for the ","type":"text"},{"text":"B2B Finance Expo","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" in Las Vegas this October â if you'll be there and want to grab some time, reply to this email or give us a shout!","type":"text"}]},{"type":"button","attrs":{"id":"8fe671f4-abef-41ed-a609-e2f259113f48","href":"https://www.cirruscap.com/contact-us","size":"normal","isCustom":true,"alignment":"center","fullWidth":false},"content":[{"text":"Contact Us »","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"section","attrs":{"id":"b1ba0672-10fa-4a98-a050-d766d4b40333","marginTop":0,"marginLeft":0,"paddingTop":0,"borderStyle":"solid","marginRight":0,"paddingLeft":0,"showInEmail":true,"marginBottom":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingBottom":0,"showOnWebsite":true,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"referralCondition":"lt","referralCountValue":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":0,"useIndividualMargin":false,"borderTopRightRadius":0,"showToNonSubscribers":true,"useIndividualPadding":false,"showToFreeSubscribers":true,"showToPaidSubscribers":true,"showWithReferralCount":false,"borderBottomLeftRadius":0,"borderBottomRightRadius":0,"showToTieredSubscribers":[],"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false},"content":[{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"9ffc5080-82f6-4b62-9c5c-16f3e6cc8d0b","level":2}
695,"content":[{"text":"Recent Cirrus Term Sheets \u0026 Transactions","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"83bdcc81-307d-49de-8c2f-38bdbd96892c"},"content":[{"text":"$30M bank facility ($20M revolving / $10M term).","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Private credit lender, used to support origination capacity as the underlying loan book scaled. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"a1e206da-0b79-4356-bb92-fa1129a475cd"},"content":[{"text":"$27.5M term loan facility","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" to a revolutionary battery storage company","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"ccccbb74-e28c-40eb-ba78-4f0877ed6621"},"content":[{"text":"$20M senior-secured revolving-to-term facility.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Auto lender, structured to convert from revolver to term financing as the borrowing base matured. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"07427447-5bd8-45d5-b24c-22928b48762c"},"content":[{"text":"$15M senior-secured credit facility.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Growth-stage operating company. Up to $15M in total availability with $5M funded at close, a four-year term, 15% cash-pay interest, and a small equity kicker (a penny warrant for 2% of common). We're pre-clearing high-level terms with the company before drafting a formal term sheet â a step we increasingly find saves everyone time compared to negotiating a full document before both sides agree on the deal's shape. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"8cce79ab-b844-4ccb-89b7-81fa3ef520e8"},"content":[{"text":"$4M senior facility, scalable to $15M.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Real estate lender, supporting balance-sheet growth ahead of a broader capital raise.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"19232253-ca82-4f73-bd5a-c6497abdf229"},"content":[{"text":"$1.75M junior term loan","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" to support the accretive acquisition of a regional HVAC business","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"section","attrs":{"id":"65005894-8518-40e4-a3e2-b79031ee8ee3","marginTop":0,"marginLeft":0,"paddingTop":0,"borderStyle":"solid","marginRight":0,"paddingLeft":0,"showInEmail":true,"marginBottom":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingBottom":0,"showOnWebsite":true,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"referralCondition":"lt","referralCountValue":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":0,"useIndividualMargin":false,"borderTopRightRadius":0,"showToNonSubscribers":true,"useIndividualPadding":false,"showToFreeSubscribers":true,"showToPaidSubscribers":true,"showWithReferralCount":false,"borderBottomLeftRadius":0,"borderBottomRightRadius":0,"showToTieredSubscribers":[],"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false},"content":[{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"7651c7f2-0c7a-46d2-90ae-6f4377d59405","level":1}},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"cabbc14c-1a4f-42ad-bf25-452fae609eca","level":1},"content":[{"text":"Whatâs on our mindâ¦","type":"text"}]},{"type":"imageBlock","attrs":{"id":"1d8638fc-82b7-49b6-a438-462838921fd5","alt":"","src":"https://beehiiv-images-production.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/asset/file/1d8638fc-82b7-49b6-a438-462838921fd5/Updated_Image_Ryan.png?t=1786029280","url":"","align":"center","title":"Updated Image Ryan (1).png","width":"50%","source":"file","captionUrl":"","isUploaded":true,"borderStyle":"solid","captionAlign":"center","allowExternal":false,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":15,"borderTopRightRadius":15,"borderBottomLeftRadius":15,"borderBottomRightRadius":15,"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false,"naturalWidth":310,"naturalHeight":281},"content":[{"type":"figcaption","content":[{"text":"Ryan Ridgway","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Founder \u0026 Managing Partner","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]},{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"Cirrus Capital Partners","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"ac403022-6b4c-4b47-b1a0-c2873c1673af","level":2},"content":[{"text":"The Fed Just Hiked. Stop Waiting for It to Save Your Deal.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"bd694707-223f-4b2a-9653-7bd7f9e91732"},"content":[{"text":"Why the smartest move in a higher-for-longer market has nothing to do with guessing the Fed's next meeting.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"5a20e9a8-9e93-46d1-838e-dddf205594ad"},"content":[{"text":"For most of the past year, the working assumption in every credit committee, cap table conversation, and refinancing plan I've sat in on has been some version of \"we just need to get to the next leg down in rates.\" Sponsors underwrote deals assuming spreads would compress as base rates fell. Founders delayed raises hoping a friendlier rate environment would mean friendlier valuations. Even companies with strong fundamentals treated the Fed's next move as the single biggest variable in their financing strategy.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"7cff3d7e-9b21-4c31-8f11-6cc688fc3fef"},"content":[{"text":"On September 16, the Fed didn't cut. It didn't hold. It ","type":"text"},{"text":"hiked the federal funds target range","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"rel":"noopener noreferrer nofollow","href":"http://federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a.htm","class":null,"color":null,"target":"_blank","colorFieldKey":null}}]}
695,{"text":" a quarter point, to 3.75%â4.00% â its first hike in years, delivered unanimously, with inflation still running above target and the Committee explicitly signaling it isn't done watching prices before it's satisfied.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"e3bedc47-5eda-46b5-901d-bf32676774d2"},"content":[{"text":"That alone would be a useful correction to a market that had spent months pricing in relief. But the more interesting tell came from a completely different corner of the capital markets that same week: SB Energy, Holtec, and Aggreko â three of the best-financed, most hyped names in the data-center buildout â all pulled or delayed their IPOs, with SB Energy specifically facing resistance to a valuation north of $50 billion. These are not distressed companies. They are the poster children of the AI infrastructure boom, backed by some of the world's deepest pools of capital. And even they couldn't get comfortable pricing that public markets weren't ready to underwrite.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"7915c93c-19fe-44a2-b017-8161b7817ba0"},"content":[{"text":"Here's the thesis:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" the financing advantage in this market was never going to come from correctly timing the Fed. It's going to come from building a company â and a balance sheet â that doesn't need the Fed's help to close its next round, credit facility, or exit.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"ff8f608a-b2cd-476c-a0f2-af99d5d16a36"},"content":[{"text":"That's a harder pitch than \"wait for rates to fall\" because it asks you to do the work now rather than later. But look at what's actually happening underneath the headline rate move. Nonfarm payrolls jumped 162,000 in August â more than triple the consensus estimate â with unemployment holding steady at 4.1%. That's not a labor market that's cracking. It's a labor market giving the Fed room to keep leaning against inflation rather than rushing to cut. Anyone underwriting a 2027 plan around imminent rate relief is fighting the data, not reading it.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"fddf21dc-58f3-4a42-9c0c-6f36e5ecc676"},"content":[{"text":"The strongest counterargument","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" is that base rates matter enormously for anyone financing with floating-rate debt, and a hike is a real cost, not a rounding error â a company carrying $20 million of SOFR-plus paper just watched its effective rate move against it, full stop. That's true, and it's exactly why structure matters more than sentiment right now. The companies getting hurt aren't the ones with variable-rate exposure per se; they're the ones who built financing plans with no plan B if rates didn't cooperate â no hedge, no fixed-rate alternative evaluated, no covenant cushion, no scenario where the base case was wrong.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"faab7d9a-ae94-43a1-a5e4-e0c1b72fa4df"},"content":[{"text":"What this means, practically:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"bulletList","attrs":{"id":"3964a667-28fb-4a56-9e16-3571deff897c"},"content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"e3071253-9b23-4db8-95ab-e12fd5c49018"},"content":[{"text":"For Founders and Operators:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Build the plan that works at today's rates, not the plan that only works if the Fed does you a favor. If your model only clears its return hurdles with 100 basis points of relief you don't control, that's not a financing plan â it's a bet.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"6bc2aa08-d4ba-45ae-bf62-3f223c742ceb"},"content":[{"text":"For Finance Leaders: ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":"This is the moment to actually run the sensitivity analysis instead of hand-waving it in a board deck. What does your covenant package look like if SOFR sits at 3.75% through all of 2027? Do you know, or are you assuming?","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"7c03457c-27e2-4948-9ba1-e882292eb76c"},"content":[{"text":"For Lenders and Capital Providers:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Pulled IPOs are a more instructive signal than the rate hike itself. Capital is still there for good businesses â SB Energy didn't fail to raise money; it failed to raise money at the price it wanted. Structure, discipline, and realistic pricing are what's clearing right now. Growth-at-any-valuation is not.","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"d5ea7eab-ac83-4f10-896d-7eb726caaf43"},"content":[{"text":"Two to four takeaways, concretely: ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"bulletList","attrs":{"id":"2b02d7ce-443d-4a69-9c24-6caa3e61872b"},"content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"7eb085e7-6365-4451-9208-6e23ab7ce1d4"},"content":[{"text":"Stress-test your capital plan against a \"no relief in 2027\" scenario, not just a base case. ","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"1e4c457a-1e25-4616-a0d0-6a94e2d3e8ec"},"content":[{"text":"Treat fixed-versus-floating as an active decision this quarter, not a set-and-forget one from your last closing. ","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"123c4587-6665-4346-b761-b5bb842e5c98"},"content":[{"text":"If you're raising equity, price to what a skeptical market will actually underwrite, not what a friendlier market might have paid eighteen months ago. ","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"d565d140-93e8-4758-9ceb-cbacccefefcc"},"content":[{"text":"If you're a lender, remember that the operators asking the sharpest questions about their own downside case right now are usually the better credit, not the more nervous one.","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"6cbf53c4-ff92-47f0-aaf6-693366aebc3b"},"content":[{"text":"The Fed didn't do anyone a favor this month. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"74b827da-15d2-4b58-b4c5-6a18f962115d"},"content":[{"text":"That's not the problem. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"97cf3a6d-ad86-4b22-98f8-022f2b31166d"},"content":[{"text":"The problem is how many financing plans were built assuming it would.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"button","attrs":{"id":"41e628cd-bc79-48a1-a738-0b87d97a5e37","href":"https://altitude.blog/archive","size":"normal","isCustom":false,"alignment":"center","fullWidth":false},"content":[{"text":"Read it online»","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"section","attrs":{"id":"b393b68c-3fab-4e93-a3da-e414ec77546b","marginTop":0,"marginLeft":0,"paddingTop":0,"borderStyle":"solid","marginRight":0,"paddingLeft":0,"showInEmail":true,"marginBottom":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingBottom":0,"showOnWebsite":true,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"referralCondition":"lt","referralCountValue":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":0,"useIndividualMargin":false,"borderTopRightRadius":0,"showToNonSubscribers":true,"useIndividualPadding":false,"showToFreeSubscribers":true,"showToPaidSubscribers":true,"showWithReferralCount":false,"borderBottomLeftRadius":0,"borderBottomRightRadius":0,"showToTieredSubscribers":[],"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false},"content":[{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"0d9fed02-2b22-40a1-83c4-fe2b82676440","level":2},"content":[{"text":"What Caught Our Eye This Week","type":"text"}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"37420108-040a-480a-bde3-2587bb6d5fc4","level":3},"content":[{"text":"Wall Street Is Losing Its Nerve on the Data-Center Boom â Three IPOs Pulled in One Week","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"229a98d8-493a-4dae-bcfb-c264d7834fef"},"content":[{"text":"SB Energy delayed its offering amid pushback on a valuation above $50 billion. At the same time, Holtec paused its IPO indefinitely, and Aggreko slowed its plans, as investors grew more skeptical of the sector's growth assumptions and execution risk. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"70cc8269-88ed-4ec9-a007-b4a8214edadb"},"content":[{"text":"Why It Matters:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" This is the clearest real-time read on how public capital is actually pricing AI infrastru
695cture risk right now, independent of what ","type":"text"},{"text":"private valuations or vendor financing","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"rel":"noopener noreferrer nofollow","href":"http://newsletter.strictlyvc.com/p/pulled-ipos-signal-wall-street-losing-faith-in-data-center-boom","class":null,"color":null,"target":"_blank","colorFieldKey":null}}]},{"text":" announcements suggest. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"776e8252-00e7-4471-a0b0-188f12581be7"},"content":[{"text":"For the Altitude Audience:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" If the most capital-rich, best-connected companies in the hottest sector of the economy can't get comfortable with their own pricing, that's a useful data point for anyone benchmarking their own raise against \"the market is hot\" assumptions. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"11c6fa62-467d-439b-a957-7b27a8313646","level":3},"content":[{"text":"The Fed Hiked Instead of Cutting â And the Labor Market Gave It Room To Do It","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"d0bda707-81d4-45b5-88b0-d0dfd9a19f09"},"content":[{"text":"The FOMC raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point to 3.75%â4.00% on September 16, unanimously, citing elevated inflation â a week after data showed that August payrolls jumped 162,000, against a consensus estimate near 55,000, with unemployment steady at 4.1%. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"f5e7d73d-c6f2-4342-8c15-d38bb65ca34f"},"content":[{"text":"Why It Matters:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" This is the direct evidence behind this issue's lead thesis. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"d7f7358b-7b49-4ecf-bdfc-d345f5bf2b96"},"content":[{"text":"For the Altitude Audience:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Any financing model, refinancing timeline, or exit plan that assumed cuts were coming needs a second look now. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"d222f84c-f5eb-4521-88eb-60ae54407807","level":3},"content":[{"text":"Paramountâs $81 Billion Warner Bros. Discovery Takeover Clears Its Last Legal Hurdle","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"0eda134a-e9a8-44f3-90a2-399ce13936df"},"content":[{"text":"Paramount settled an antitrust suit brought by 12 states, clearing the way for David Ellison's takeover in exchange for concessions including $1.5 billion in additional U.S. production spending and an editorial-independence board for CNN and CBS News. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"37e84bb4-7222-4a7f-be12-911913fd2ec3"},"content":[{"text":"Why It Matters:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" It's one of the largest media M\u0026A deals in years and a live case study in how regulatory settlements are increasingly built around specific operational and governance concessions rather than pure divestiture. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"f2d9000d-3015-4791-bfbf-17234787fafd"},"content":[{"text":"For the Altitude Audience:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Even outside media, it's a useful template for how deal terms are being shaped to survive antitrust scrutiny in 2026.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"button","attrs":{"id":"14186fdc-a02f-4fe8-92b5-80b20b23497e","href":"https://altitude.blog/p/higher-rates-colder-ipo-market-and-the-case-for-building-like-nobody-s-coming-to-save-you","size":"normal","isCustom":false,"alignment":"center","fullWidth":false},"content":[{"text":"Read online»","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"section","attrs":{"id":"66f51a95-8c5e-4431-ace9-77dc21417208","marginTop":0,"marginLeft":0,"paddingTop":0,"borderStyle":"solid","marginRight":0,"paddingLeft":0,"showInEmail":true,"marginBottom":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingBottom":0,"showOnWebsite":true,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"referralCondition":"lt","referralCountValue":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":0,"useIndividualMargin":false,"borderTopRightRadius":0,"showToNonSubscribers":true,"useIndividualPadding":false,"showToFreeSubscribers":true,"showToPaidSubscribers":true,"showWithReferralCount":false,"borderBottomLeftRadius":0,"borderBottomRightRadius":0,"showToTieredSubscribers":[],"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false},"content":[{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"0aafc75b-b7d1-4653-af7b-5ad657736b4d","level":2},"content":[{"text":"Markets \u0026 Assets At-A-Glance","type":"text"}]},{"type":"imageBlock","attrs":{"id":"53762920-48ba-4b2e-aa3b-1a611df9e6bd","alt":"","src":"https://beehiiv-images-production.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/asset/file/53762920-48ba-4b2e-aa3b-1a611df9e6bd/Screenshot_2026-09-22_at_19.35.12.png?t=1790120142","url":"","align":"center","title":"Screenshot 2026-09-22 at 19.35.12.png","width":"90%","source":"file","captionUrl":"","isUploaded":true,"borderStyle":"solid","captionAlign":"center","allowExternal":false,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":15,"borderTopRightRadius":15,"borderBottomLeftRadius":15,"borderBottomRightRadius":15,"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false,"naturalWi
695dth":1244,"naturalHeight":516},"content":[{"type":"figcaption","content":[{"text":"Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"rel":"noopener noreferrer nofollow","href":"https://www.bls.gov/news.Release/pdf/empsit.Pdf","class":null,"color":null,"target":"_blank","colorFieldKey":null}}]}]}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"dcb9b044-b732-44e0-9bc2-789c66b8437e","level":4},"content":[{"text":"TL;DR","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"23560eba-bc5c-4e1f-a740-07245c7d6e9e"},"content":[{"text":"The Fed hiked instead of holding; long rates are elevated, and equities have pulled back modestly from record highs without breaking down â a market that's still constructive on growth but newly on notice about inflation.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"table","attrs":{"id":"c53ce4e0-b468-44f5-abdb-7cc6e624e4cf"},"content":[{"type":"tableRow","content":[{"type":"tableHeader","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"a7595e2f-8647-4427-b5e7-3222713be279"},"content":[{"text":"Asset / Market","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableHeader","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"c5c003cb-1c9a-47b7-a096-7d7ed7005cec"},"content":[{"text":"Value","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableHeader","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"cdb0ccc6-d090-4318-9e00-d35c94c26bfc"},"content":[{"text":"Altitude Take","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]}]},{"type":"tableRow","content":[{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"0523ef7f-d5d5-4500-9da2-163980a0f033"},"content":[{"text":" Fed Funds Target Range","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"b4a14027-1325-4f6c-bfee-1b096011c96f"},"content":[{"text":"3.75%-4.00%","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"effcbcb0-7765-411c-8e62-0f46d280fe5a"},"content":[{"type":"emoji","attrs":{"name":"red_circle"}},{"text":" First hike in years; directly reprices any floating-rate facility closing this quarter.","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"tableRow","content":[{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"08170127-1092-46f5-b08d-534f70bda7c6"},"content":[{"text":" 10-Year Treasury","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"f074cc8e-4de0-4898-aa8f-5dea6764d74a"},"content":[{"text":"~4.79%","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"6fcbfeb2-e379-4af5-a59b-57159303548f"},"content":[{"type":"emoji","attrs":{"name":"yellow_circle"}},{"text":" Term financing and M\u0026A discount rates should assume \"higher for longer,\" not a near-term reversion.","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"tableRow","content":[{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"4afa91a7-4307-4633-a6a5-93317aba78da"},"content":[{"text":" S\u0026P 500","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"a5dff25c-ff27-4a90-a5dd-1d50b55d4994"},"content":[{"text":"~7,657","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"aac2ec28-75f7-4c2a-ae4e-cf1670f4e027"},"content":[{"type":"emoji","attrs":{"name":"green_circle"}},{"text":" Public comps remain generous by historical standards even as growth-stock pricing gets more selective.","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"tableRow","content":[{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"a71768b0-d3cc-4c93-96e8-46d85823f371"},"content":[{"text":" Nasdaq Composite","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"2ed2abde-d77b-45a2-8c1e-468d60b864ca"},"content":[{"text":"~26,333","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"088602b8-d0fa-43e0-b1e6-3489a856e8f0"},"content":[{"type":"emoji","attrs":{"name":"yellow_circle"}},{"text":" Tech valuations are still rich but increasingly bifurcated between proven revenue and pure narrative.","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"tableRow","content":[{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"eccc0565-881a-4bf4-97dc-5fd53efe7980"},"content":[{"text":" U.S Unemployment Rate","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"6c3128e4-1791-4442-828c-ae14e63f954c"},"content":[{"text":"4.1%","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"ca920b38-00b8-48f3-ac4c-e6e8fe69be74"},"content":[{"type":"emoji","attrs":{"name":"yellow_circle"}},{"text":" A labor market this resilient gives the Fed cover to stay restrictive â bad news for anyone banking on cuts.","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"tableRow","content":[{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"4a07c750-8954-463a-b2ff-0c028eda66f1"},"content":[{"text":" Nonfarm Payrolls ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"style":"padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt","colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"fde45a28-adbe-489e-998a-eab444a14920"},"content":[{"text":"+162,000","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]}]},{"type":"tableCell","attrs":{"colspan":1,"rowspan":1},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"230c31e0-e730-47ff-b8cc-d8b31274292a"},"content":[{"type":"emoji","attrs":{"name":"green_circle"}},{"text":" Strongest single-month beat in recent memory;
695 reinforces the \"no imminent cut\" read.","type":"text"}]}]}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"aa777e97-e0ff-4010-97ae-a46e5848d2d1"},"content":[{"text":"Market Summary:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Higher-for-longer just got a little more literal. A quarter-point hike raises the cost of every floating-rate facility that closes or resets this quarter, and the elevated 10-year means term debt and M\u0026A discount rates aren't getting cheaper on their own either. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"0b3354f4-737d-41cb-a0e5-1921efcb131a"},"content":[{"text":"None of this is a crisis â equities are down modestly from records, not in freefall, and the labor market backdrop is genuinely strong â but it does mean capital availability now depends more on deal quality and structure than on the tide lifting all boats. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"46953c39-3b26-45ea-acfd-ca2428263733"},"content":[{"text":"For borrowers, that argues for locking in structure and pricing you can live with today rather than waiting on relief that isn't showing up on schedule. For buyers and sponsors, it argues for underwriting exits at today's multiples rather than last year's.","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"section","attrs":{"id":"642126fc-3d5e-47d1-a8a0-bb197214c770","marginTop":0,"marginLeft":0,"paddingTop":0,"borderStyle":"solid","marginRight":0,"paddingLeft":0,"showInEmail":true,"marginBottom":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingBottom":0,"showOnWebsite":true,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"referralCondition":"lt","referralCountValue":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":0,"useIndividualMargin":false,"borderTopRightRadius":0,"showToNonSubscribers":true,"useIndividualPadding":false,"showToFreeSubscribers":true,"showToPaidSubscribers":true,"showWithReferralCount":false,"borderBottomLeftRadius":0,"borderBottomRightRadius":0,"showToTieredSubscribers":[],"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false},"content":[{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"e7ad2aa1-e616-4467-87b3-dd70259b5083","level":2},"content":[{"text":"Market Movers","type":"text"}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"8057ec86-2f14-4ddf-808d-7652041e5983","level":3},"content":[{"text":"Venture Capital \u0026 Growth Equity Raises ","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"0d302ade-7275-4fe8-b451-3df2e6dda17c"},"content":[{"text":"Kairos Power â Up to $100 Million (Equity + In-Kind Engineering Services","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"0c9d93a3-623b-455f-9e62-59c9ba8dcc53"},"content":[{"text":"Kairos Power, a 10-year-old Alameda, California company developing fluoride salt-cooled high-temperature nuclear reactors, received a ","type":"text"},{"text":"$70 million equity","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"rel":"noopener noreferrer nofollow","href":"https://techcrunch.com/2026/09/21/kairos-power-gets-up-to-100m-from-samsung-group-to-build-nuclear-reactor-for-google/","class":null,"color":null,"target":"_blank","colorFieldKey":null}}]},{"text":" investment from Samsung C\u0026T as part of a broader deal that also includes in-kind engineering services, bringing the combined value to as much as $100 million. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"afc821ee-13bb-4de8-a29e-428432d1747e"},"content":[{"text":"Why It's Notable:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}
695,{"text":" This is strategic equity from an industrial conglomerate, not a traditional VC round â a structure worth watching as more infrastructure-heavy, AI-adjacent companies look beyond pure financial sponsors for capital with engineering and supply-chain muscle attached. It's also a direct beneficiary of the same AI power-demand buildout that's making data-center IPO investors nervous, which is its own useful contrast.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"bulletList","attrs":{"id":"fcec89f4-48db-47de-9b4f-87670ca89ada"},"content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"4d255786-916e-40a6-830c-3543261d2893"},"content":[{"text":"Feldera.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" $21.5 million (combined seed + Series A). San Francisco-based data infrastructure startup; Series A led by Inovia Capital, seed led by Costanoa Ventures. ","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"d642b7ee-5240-452c-bf68-90db23d966be"},"content":[{"text":"Spott.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" $21 million Series A. Leuven, Belgium-based recruitment-workflow AI startup; led by Balderton Capital. ","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"cb3211b3-bbbb-4cf7-b0e8-ab8036f1d785"},"content":[{"text":"Aristotle.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" $5 million seed. San Francisco-based voice AI tutoring startup for teens; led by True Ventures. ","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"641f6e5b-3256-49c8-bd99-f38478f5002f"},"content":[{"text":"Benford.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" $5.7 million pre-seed. London-based AI statutory audit software, led by Firstminute Capital. ","type":"text"}]}]}]},{"type":"button","attrs":{"id":"777f586f-7b89-4635-9c51-0f4224776e06","href":"https://altitude.blog/p/higher-rates-colder-ipo-market-and-the-case-for-building-like-nobody-s-coming-to-save-you","size":"normal","isCustom":false,"alignment":"center","fullWidth":false},"content":[{"text":"Read online»","type":"text"}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"id":"cc1ee953-c992-4294-8368-e4ab7f0977c9","level":3},"content":[{"text":"M\u0026A (Big Buys / Strategic Deals)","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"imageBlock","attrs":{"id":"543a66fa-309d-4098-a147-a2a395f7913e","alt":"","src":"https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1662467150607-8c5dec1d5980?crop=entropy\u0026cs=tinysrgb\u0026fit=max\u0026fm=jpg\u0026ixid=M3w0ODM4NTF8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxfHxwYXJhbXB8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzkwMTIwMzExfDA\u0026ixlib=rb-4.1.0\u0026q=80\u0026w=1080\u0026utm_source=beehiiv\u0026utm_medium=referral","url":"","align":"center","title":"","width":"90%","source":"unsplash","captionUrl":"https://unsplash.com/@boliviainteligente","isUploaded":true,"borderStyle":"solid","captionAlign":"center","allowExternal":false,"borderWidthTop":0,"borderWidthLeft":0,"borderWidthRight":0,"borderWidthBottom":0,"borderTopLeftRadius":15,"borderTopRightRadius":15,"borderBottomLeftRadius":15,"borderBottomRightRadius":15,"useIndividualBorderWidth":false,"useIndividualBorderRadius":false,"naturalWidth":1080,"naturalHeight":675},"content":[{"type":"figcaption","content":[{"text":"Photo by BoliviaInteligente on Unsplash","type":"text"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"67854004-eaaf-494e-8be3-b935d56c05bc"},"content":[{"text":"Paramount / Warner Bros. Discovery â $81 Billion","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"7af32a1b-fd47-4c90-8aec-2ae1cb60ce6d"},"content":[{"text":"Paramount settled an antitrust suit brought by 12 states, clearing the way for David Ellison's $81 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery, in exchange for concessions including $1.5 billion in additional U.S. production spending, a commitment to 30 films annually, and an editorial-independence board for CNN and CBS News. ","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"b1cd8054-850f-47f7-aa5b-eb1aa265dcb4"},"content":[{"text":"Strategic Rationale:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Consolidation in traditional media continues even as the antitrust environment gets more demanding â the deal cleared not by shrinking in size but by accepting specific, enforceable operating commitments.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"ee032ace-2d16-46fa-b2d1-3b8ba4bac87d"},"content":[{"text":"Smaller / Undisclosed:","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]}]},{"type":"bulletList","attrs":{"id":"29f879d7-f76f-4556-9f74-e0a77ba2e461"},"content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"id":"4360d03e-ca87-43a8-ae0b-7a1de3277b0d"},"content":[{"text":"Wander / Polarity. Terms not disclosed.","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold","attrs":{}}]},{"text":" Vacation-home booking platform Wander acquired applied-AI research lab Polarity to bring specialized AI agents and custom-trained models into its engineering stack. 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