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Neither side has any interest in decelerating its AI development."},{id:"russia-killer-ai-drone",kind:"Writing",title:"How Russia Developed the First Killer AI Drone Despite Struggling in the AI Race",outlet:"The Moscow Times",date:"2026-09-01",href:"https://www.themoscowtimes.c

1om/2026/09/01/how-russia-developed-the-first-killer-ai-drone-despite-struggling-in-the-ai-race-a93618",image:p("russia-killer-ai-drone","The Moscow Times essay on Russia’s first lethal autonomous drone"),dek:"On July 6 in Zaporozhzhia, a drone with no connection to its original operator determined targets on its own and delivered a lethal payload, killing three civilians."},{id:"china-open-source-ai",kind:"Writing",title:"China Now Dominates Open Source AI. Does It Matter?",outlet:"The Diplomat",date:"2025-07-01",href:"https://thediplomat.com/2025/07/china-now-dominates-open-source-ai-how-much-does-that-matter/",image:p("china-open-source-ai","The Diplomat essay on China’s open-source AI stack"),dek:"Beijing’s models now lead the open-source field. The strategic question is whether that lead translates into power."},{id:"us-china-ai-frontier",kind:"Writing",title:"US-China race for AI’s next frontier is already on",outlet:"Asia Times",date:"2025-01-10",href:"https://asiatimes.com/2025/01/us-china-race-for-ais-next-frontier-is-already-on/",image:p("us-china-ai-frontier","Illustration of the US–China contest over AI"),dek:"The next phase of the AI race is not just about models. It is about infrastructure, data, and who sets the defaults."},{id:"china-dangers-ai",kind:"Writing",title:"Is China Waking Up To The Dangers of AI?",outlet:"The Diplomat",date:"2024-12-13",href:"https://thediplomat.com/2024/12/is-china-waking-up-to-the-dangers-of-ai/",image:p("china-dangers-ai","The Diplomat essay on Chinese AI risk politics"),dek:"Beijing is discovering that generative models are a domestic control problem as much as a geopolitical prize."},{id:"authoritarian-friendly-ai",kind:"Writing",title:"Next Up: Authoritarian-Friendly AI",outlet:"Persuasion",date:"2024-09-01",href:"https://www.persuasion.community/p/next-up-authoritarian-friendly-ai",image:p("authoritarian-friendly-ai","Persuasion essay on AI built for authoritarian use"),dek:"Open models and state-aligned labs are producing AI that is useful to autocrats — and already in circulation."},{id:"putin-ai-race",kind:"Writing",title:"Putin Wants Russia to Win the Artificial Intelligence Race. Here’s Why it Won’t",outlet:"The Moscow Times",date:"2023-11-14",href:"https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/11/14/putin-wants-russia-to-win-the-artificial-intelligence-race-heres-why-it-wont-a83103",image:p("putin-ai-race","The Moscow Times essay on Russia’s AI ambitions"),dek:"The Kremlin wants an AI victory. Sanctions, talent flight, and a closed information system stand in the way."},{id:"assad-blow-to-putin",kind:"Quotes",title:"Why Assad’s fall is a blow to Putin",outlet:"The Times",date:"2024-12-09",href:"https://www.thetimes.com/world/middle-east/article/syria-assad-putin-russia-power-0qrq3tqhx",image:p("assad-blow-to-putin","The Times on the collapse of Assad and Russian power in Syria"),dek:"Quoted on what the fall of Damascus means for Moscow’s claim to be a great-power patron."},{id:"tvp-istanbul-talks",kind:"Quotes",title:"New Peace Talks in Istanbul? Russia makes a proposal",outlet:"TVP World",date:"2025-05-28",href:"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V6Ju3p1wcAM&t=1091",image:p("tvp-istanbul-talks","TVP World interview on Russia’s proposal for Istanbul peace talks"),embed:"V6Ju3p1wcAM",dek:"Interviewed on TVP World as Moscow proposed a second round of Istanbul talks with Ukraine."},{id:"rferl-syria-bases",kind:"Quotes",title:"Shaky Ground: Inside The Russian Military Bases In Syria",outlet:"RFE/RL",date:"2024-12-16",href:"https://www.rferl.org/a/syria-russian-bases-military-assad-uncertainty-war/33241239.html",image:p("rferl-syria-bases","RFE/RL photo essay on Russian air and naval bases in Syria after Assad’s fall"),dek:"Quoted on talks between Russia and HTS that could leave a greatly reduced Russian presence at the Syrian bases."},{id:"voa-moldova-runoff",kind:"Quotes",title:"Moscow ramps up propaganda and disinformation ahead of Moldova elections",outlet:"Voice of America",date:"2024-11-01",href:"https://www.golosameriki.com/a/second-round-of-presidential-elections-in-moldova/7848098.html",image:p("voa-moldova-runoff","Voice of America Russian service interview on Moldova’s presidential runoff"),dek:"Interviewed on Voice of America’s Russian service as Moscow pushed a pro-Russian candidate in Moldova’s presidential runoff."},{id:"bbc-putin-election",kind:"Quotes",title:"Putin ‘certain’ to win as Russian presidential election voting continues",outlet:"BBC",date:"2024-03-16",href:"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdh2Hg2gwRg",image:p("bbc-putin-election","BBC News interview on the Russian presidential election"),embed:"pdh2Hg2gwRg",dek:"Interviewed by BBC News as Russians went to the polls in an election with a predetermined outcome."},{id:"cnn-transnistria",kind:"Quotes",title:"A breakaway region in Europe is asking Russia for protection. Here’s what to know",outlet:"CNN",date:"2024-02-28",href:"https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/28/europe/transnistria-russia-protection-moldova-intl/index.html",image:p("cnn-transnistria","CNN report on Transnistria’s appeal to Moscow"),dek:"Quoted on why Moldova’s breakaway region still matters to Russian strategy."},{id:"voa-armenia-peace",kind:"Quotes",title:"Historic peace treaty for Armenia and Azerbaijan",outlet:"Voice of America",date:"2025-03-14",href:"https://www.voanews.com/a/historic-peace-treaty-for-armenia-and-azerbaijan/8011173.html",image:p("voa-armenia-peace","Voice of America interview on the Armenia–Azerbaijan peace text"),embed:"pQeE-Zmqrw0",dek:"Interviewed on Voice of America as Armenia and Azerbaijan finalized a peace text."},{id:"rferl-syria-violence",kind:"Quotes",title:"What Data Tells Us About The Violence In Syria",outlet:"RFE/RL",date:"2025-03-11",href:"https://www.rferl.org/a/syria-violence-assad-alawite-iran-russia/33344512.html",image:p("rferl-syria-violence","RFE/RL report on violence in western Syria after Assad’s fall"),dek:"Quoted on whether Moscow can keep a reduced foothold at its Syrian bases after Assad’s fall."},{id:"voa-tenet-media",kind:"Quotes",title:"Experts applaud US steps to disrupt Russian disinformation",outlet:"Voice of America",date:"2024-09-09",href:"https://www.voanews.com/a/experts-applaud-steps-us-steps-to-disrupt-russian-disinformation-/7777717.html",image:p("voa-tenet-media","Voice of America report on the Justice Department’s Tenet Media case"),dek:"Quoted after the Tenet Media indictment on whether Russian-backed influencers will keep attracting new followers."},{id:"dss-context-matters",kind:"Talks",title:"Context Matters: Generative AI, the spectrum of worldviews, and understanding propaganda’s appeal",outlet:"Data Science Salon Podcast",date:"2023-10-01",href:"https://www.datascience.salon/episode-30-context-matters-generative-ai-the-spectrum-of-worldviews-and-understanding-propagandas-appeal/",image:p("dss-context-matters","Data Science Salon podcast episode with Ben Dubow"),dek:"On why propaganda w

1orks, and what generative models change about the information environment."},{id:"ai-boost-lithuania",kind:"Talks",title:"AI in the Age of Disinformation: The Problem or The Solution?",outlet:"AI Boost Lithuania",date:"2023-05-01",href:"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLQlcmljBYw",image:p("ai-boost-lithuania","Talk at AI Boost Lithuania on AI and disinformation"),embed:"JLQlcmljBYw",dek:"A public talk on whether generative AI is an accelerant for influence operations, a defense, or both."},{id:"meet-the-press-latino",kind:"Quotes",title:"Misinformation in the Latino Community",outlet:"Meet The Press Reports",date:"2022-11-01",href:"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qzHdiAIHKno",image:p("meet-the-press-latino","Meet the Press Reports on misinformation in Latino communities"),embed:"qzHdiAIHKno",dek:"On NBC’s Meet the Press Reports, on how influence campaigns move through Spanish-language media."},{id:"chuck-toddcast",kind:"Talks",title:"How disinformation campaigns work, from Russia to Latin America",outlet:"Chuck Toddcast",date:"2022-06-01",href:"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how-disinformation-campaigns-work-from-russia-to-latin/id1156592336?i=1000556683858",image:p("chuck-toddcast","Chuck Toddcast episode on disinformation campaigns"),dek:"A conversation with Chuck Todd on how influence operations travel across languages and regions."},{id:"ft-big-tech",kind:"Quotes",title:"Big Tech caught in information war between west and Russia",outlet:"Financial Times",date:"2022-03-01",href:"https://www.ft.com/content/e0a31741-ee65-42c0-b045-59c382a8a081",image:p("ft-big-tech","Financial Times reporting on platforms and the Russia information war"),dek:"Quoted in the FT on how platform companies became terrain in the information war."},{id:"abc-spain-propaganda",kind:"Quotes",title:"Rusia dispara la propaganda en espa\xf1ol con la mirada puesta en Iberoam\xe9rica",outlet:"ABC Espa\xf1a",date:"2022-04-03",href:"https://www.abc.es/internacional/abci-rusia-dispara-propaganda-espanol-mirada-puesta-iberoamerica-202204032051_noticia.html",image:p("abc-spain-propaganda","ABC Espa\xf1a on the surge in Russian propaganda in Spanish"),dek:"Quoted as president of Omelas on the spike in Kremlin content aimed at Spanish-speaking audiences after the invasion of Ukraine."},{id:"ooda-malign-influence",kind:"Talks",title:"Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations",outlet:"OODA Loop",date:"2021-09-01",href:"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTyqN1nffU4",image:p("ooda-malign-influence","OODA Loop conversation with Ben Dubow"),embed:"jTyqN1nffU4",dek:"On detecting state-backed influence operations and what countering them actually requires."},{id:"inquirer-covid-lie",kind:"Quotes",title:"China is pushing a big COVID-19 lie that makes a new pandemic harder to prevent",outlet:"The Philadelphia Inquirer",date:"2021-08-05",href:"https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/wuhan-lab-coronavirus-leak-world-health-organization-biden-20210805.html",image:p("inquirer-covid-lie","Philadelphia Inquirer column on Chinese COVID origin propaganda"),dek:"Quoted on Chinese state media’s Fort Detrick campaign after the WHO said it would investigate COVID’s origins."},{id:"defcon-war-by-other-means",kind:"Talks",title:"War By Other Means: How Influence Warfare Subverts Democracy",outlet:"DEF CON",date:"2019-08-10",href:"/work/defcon-war-by-other-means",image:null,dek:"A DEF CON talk on influence warfare as a method for subverting democratic decision-making."},{id:"defcon-while-the-bots",kind:"Talks",title:"While The Bots Distracted You: Overt Russian Information Operations",outlet:"DEF CON",date:"2019-08-09",href:"/work/defcon-while-the-bots",image:null,dek:"A DEF CON talk on the overt — not just covert — Russian information operations that run in plain sight."},{id:"russian-ai-own-language",kind:"Writing",title:"Russian AI Struggles in Its Own Language",outlet:"The Moscow Times",date:"2025-01-28",href:"https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/01/28/russian-ai-struggles-in-its-own-language-a87773",image:p("russian-ai-own-language","The Moscow Times essay on GigaChat and Russian-language AI"),dek:"Russia’s supp

1osedly cutting-edge GigaChat MAX — based on DeepSeek — is still miles behind its Chinese and American competitors."},{id:"kremlin-ai-not-good-enough",kind:"Writing",title:"Embarrassingly for the Kremlin, Russian AI Isn’t Good Enough for Its Own Disinformation",outlet:"The Moscow Times",date:"2024-06-07",href:"https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/06/07/embarrassingly-for-the-kremlin-russian-ai-isnt-good-enough-for-its-own-disinformation-a85338",image:p("kremlin-ai-not-good-enough","The Moscow Times essay on Russian disinformation using American AI"),dek:"Putin wants Russia to lead in AI. The first confirmed Russian generative-AI influence campaigns still ran on American software."},{id:"russia-ai-victim-or-perpetrator",kind:"Writing",title:"Will Russia Be an Artificial Intelligence Disinformation Victim or Perpetrator?",outlet:"The Moscow Times",date:"2024-02-08",href:"https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/02/08/will-russia-be-an-artificial-intelligence-disinformation-victim-or-perpetrator-a84017",image:p("russia-ai-victim-or-perpetrator","The Moscow Times essay on AI disinformation and Russian elections"),dek:"Two billion people were eligible to vote in 2024. Russia might be as exposed to AI-generated disinformation as the Kremlin’s enemies."},{id:"homegrown-midjourney",kind:"Writing",title:"Why Putin’s Faith in Russia’s ‘Homegrown Midjourney’ Is Misplaced",outlet:"The Moscow Times",date:"2023-12-27",href:"https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/12/27/why-putins-faith-in-russias-homegrown-midjourney-is-misplaced-a83577",image:p("homegrown-midjourney","The Moscow Times essay on Russian image-generation models"),dek:"Russia’s AI image generators are not an antidote to Western narratives, and they are far less sophisticated than the alternatives."},{id:"russia-china-ai-dictators",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia-China Alliance Would Build Artificial Intelligence For Dictators",outlet:"The Moscow Times",date:"2023-12-02",href:"https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/12/02/russia-china-alliance-would-build-artificial-intelligence-for-dictators-a83299",image:p("russia-china-ai-dictators","The Moscow Times essay on a Russia-China authoritarian AI stack"),dek:"If Moscow and Beijing build AI that will not challenge repressive regimes, Russia will have to accept junior-partner status."},{id:"new-caledonia-azerbaijan",kind:"Writing",title:"New Caledonia Riots: The Azerbaijan Factor",outlet:"The Diplomat",date:"2024-05-20",href:"https://thediplomat.com/2024/05/new-caledonia-riots-the-azerbaijan-factor/",image:p("new-caledonia-azerbaijan","The Diplomat essay on Azerbaijan and unrest in New Caledonia"),dek:"Supporting separatism in France’s overseas territories became a priority in Baku as Aliyev sought to punish Paris for its sympathy for Armenia."},{id:"china-censors-ai-content",kind:"Writing",title:"China’s Censors Could Shape the Future of AI-Generated Content",outlet:"The Diplomat",date:"2023-02-10",href:"https://thediplomat.com/2023/02/chinas-censors-could-shape-the-future-of-ai-generated-content/",image:p("china-censors-ai-content","The Diplomat essay on Chinese censorship of generative AI"),dek:"Practices pioneered by Chinese firms at the behest of the CCP could shape AI-generated content well beyond China’s borders."},{id:"roll-call-census",kind:"Quotes",title:"Facebook, other social media sites pressured to protect census",outlet:"Roll Call",date:"2019-11-08",href:"https://rollcall.com/2019/11/08/facebook-other-social-media-sites-pressured-to-protect-census/",image:null,dek:"Quoted on how slowly platforms have acted to contain Russian-linked disinformation."},{id:"bloomberg-trump-youtube",kind:"Quotes",title:"Trump’s Campaign Ads Run on Chinese State Media YouTube Channel",outlet:"Bloomberg",date:"2020-08-12",href:"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-08-12/trump-s-youtube-ads-run-on-chinese-state-media-study-finds",image:p("bloomberg-trump-youtube","Bloomberg report on Trump campaign ads running on Chinese state media"),dek:"Quoted on how YouTube’s ad system sent campaign money to Chinese and Russian state channels."}

1,{id:"international-risk-podcast",kind:"Talks",title:"Putin’s Next Term as President: Risks Surrounding the 2024 Russian Elections",outlet:"The International Risk Podcast",date:"2024-03-04",href:"https://theinternationalriskpodcast.com/episode-152-putins-next-term-as-president-an-insight-into-the-importance-of-the-2024-russian-elections-with-ben-dubow/",image:null,dek:"A conversation on the 2024 Russian election, the war in Ukraine, and Russian AI in disinformation."},{id:"tank-talks-disinfo",kind:"Talks",title:"Fighting Disinformation Online with Ben Dubow of Omelas",outlet:"Tank Talks",date:"2023-11-01",href:"https://tanktalks.substack.com/p/fighting-disinformation-online-with",image:p("tank-talks-disinfo","Tank Talks conversation with Ben Dubow"),dek:"On open-source intelligence, Russian influence operations, and what generative AI changes about information war."},{id:"putin-perp-walk-caucasus",kind:"Writing",title:"Putin’s Perp Walk in the Caucasus",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2025-07-08",href:"https://cepa.org/article/putins-perp-walk-in-the-caucasus/",image:p("putin-perp-walk-caucasus","CEPA essay: Putin’s Perp Walk in the Caucasus"),dek:"Russian power is no longer what it was in the South Caucasus, as smaller countries are demonstrating."},{id:"russiaworld-cascade",kind:"Writing",title:"Russiaworld, Iran and a Cascade of Collapse",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2025-06-24",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russiaworld-iran-and-a-cascade-of-collapse/",image:p("russiaworld-cascade","CEPA essay: Russiaworld, Iran and a Cascade of Collapse"),dek:"Things have changed beyond recognition for the Kremlin’s bosses as their once-formidable global network suffers one defeat after another."},{id:"russias-weakness-illuminated-by-syrian-collapse",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia’s Weakness Illuminated by Syrian Collapse",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-12-04",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russias-weakness-illuminated-by-syrian-collapse/",image:p("russias-weakness-illuminated-by-syrian-collapse","CEPA essay: Russia’s Weakness Illuminated by Syrian Collapse"),dek:"Rebel advances through the cities and hinterland of Syria reveal a Russia that’s strong on rhetoric and short of hard power."},{id:"moldova-loosens-russias-grip",kind:"Writing",title:"Moldova Loosens Russia’s Grip",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-10-23",href:"https://cepa.org/article/moldova-loosens-russias-grip/",image:p("moldova-loosens-russias-grip","CEPA essay: Moldova Loosens Russia’s Grip"),dek:"Moldova’s governing party has managed to win one vote and is well-positioned for the next but the battle for the country’s future is far from over."},{id:"one-and-a-half-cheers-as-iran-elects-a-more-moderate-president",kind:"Writing",title:"One and a Half Cheers as Iran Elects a More Moderate President",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-07-16",href:"https://cepa.org/article/one-and-a-half-cheers-as-iran-elects-a-more-moderate-president/",image:p("one-and-a-half-cheers-as-iran-elects-a-more-moderate-president","CEPA essay: One and a Half Cheers as Iran Elects a More Moderate President"),dek:"Iran’s first reformist head of state has been elected in more than 20 years. He will have his hands full because power lies elsewhere."},{id:"raisis-death-exposes-scarcity-of-iranian-leaders",kind:"Writing",title:"Raisi’s Death Exposes Scarcity of Iranian Leaders",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-05-21",href:"https://cepa.org/article/raisis-death-exposes-scarcity-of-iranian-leaders/",image:p("raisis-death-exposes-scarcity-of-iranian-leaders","CEPA essay: Raisi’s Death Exposes Scarcity of Iranian Leaders"),dek:"Iran’s senior ranks have been thinned by accident and assassination, even as the challenges facing it are becoming harder to fix."},{id:"honeyed-words-xi",kind:"Writing",title:"Honeyed Words Can’t Conceal Xi’s Disdain for Russia",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-05-16",href:"https://cepa.org/article/honeyed-words-cant-conceal-xis-disdain-for-russia/",image:p("honeyed-words-xi","CEPA essay: Honeyed Words Can’t Conceal Xi’s Disdain for Russia"),dek:"Russia may be genuinely infatuated with its neighbor, but China doesn’t share the love."},{id:"moldova-russias-last-chance-to-derail-the-journey-to-europe",kind:"Writing",title:"Moldova — Russia’s Last Chance to Derail the Journey to Europe?",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-05-06",href:"https://cepa.org/article/moldova-russias-last-chance-to-derail-the-journey-to-europe/",image:p("moldova-russias-last-chance-to-derail-the-journey-to-europe","CEPA essay: Moldova — Russia’s Last Chance to Derail the Journey to Europe?"),dek:"This year’s elections for the Moldovan presidency and a vote on EU membership are causing Russia to change tactics."},{id:"iran-missile-attack",kind:"Writing",title:"Delight and Dismay After Iran’s Failed Missile Attack",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-04-18",href:"https://cepa.org/article/delight-and-dismay-after-irans-failed-missile-attack/",image:p("iran-missile-attack","CEPA essay: Delight and Dismay After Iran’s Failed Missile Attack"),dek:"Iran’s failed attack on Israel was a source of celebration for its neighbors in Azerbaijan and a reminder for Moscow of its w

1aning influence."},{id:"transnistria-the-motherland-doesnt-want-you-right-now",kind:"Writing",title:"Transnistria: ‘The Motherland’ Doesn’t Want You Right Now",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-02-26",href:"https://cepa.org/article/transnistria-the-motherland-doesnt-want-you-right-now/",image:p("transnistria-the-motherland-doesnt-want-you-right-now","CEPA essay: Transnistria: ‘The Motherland’ Doesn’t Want You Right Now"),dek:"Events and demographics are closing in on the Russian-created statelet squeezed between Moldova and Ukraine."},{id:"russian-elections-have-a-purpose-but-not-evicting-the-regime",kind:"Writing",title:"Russian Elections Have a Purpose, But Not Evicting the Regime",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-02-14",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russian-elections-have-a-purpose-but-not-evicting-the-regime/",image:p("russian-elections-have-a-purpose-but-not-evicting-the-regime","CEPA essay: Russian Elections Have a Purpose, But Not Evicting the Regime"),dek:"Vladimir Putin will win reelection to the Russian presidency in March, his fifth triumph. It will be a landslide, but will contain some intriguing runes."},{id:"moldovas-eu-referendum-will-sort-the-sheep-from-the-goats",kind:"Writing",title:"Moldova’s EU Referendum Will Sort the Sheep From the Goats",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2024-01-25",href:"https://cepa.org/article/moldovas-eu-referendum-will-sort-the-sheep-from-the-goats/",image:p("moldovas-eu-referendum-will-sort-the-sheep-from-the-goats","CEPA essay: Moldova’s EU Referendum Will Sort the Sheep From the Goats"),dek:"Moldova’s President Maia Sandu has thrown a political grenade into this year’s election for head of state."},{id:"moldova-farewell-then-russia-and-your-eurasian-dream",kind:"Writing",title:"Moldova — Farewell Then Russia and Your Eurasian Dream",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-12-06",href:"https://cepa.org/article/moldova-farewell-then-russia-and-your-eurasian-dream/",image:p("moldova-farewell-then-russia-and-your-eurasian-dream","CEPA essay: Moldova — Farewell Then Russia and Your Eurasian Dream"),dek:"Russia is enraged at Moldova’s progress toward European bloc membership. President Sandu’s government doesn’t seem very troubled by the resultant stream of brickbats."},{id:"putin-pitches-for-the-heart-of-victimworld",kind:"Writing",title:"Putin Pitches for the Heart of Victimworld",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-11-16",href:"https://cepa.org/article/putin-pitches-for-the-heart-of-victimworld/",image:p("putin-pitches-for-the-heart-of-victimworld","CEPA essay: Putin Pitches for the Heart of Victimworld"),dek:"The Kremlin’s favored ideological explanation for its aggression and a popular ideology on Western university campuses are coming together in views of Ukraine and Gaza."},{id:"russia-winks-to-old-friends-in-hamas",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia Winks to Old Friends in Hamas",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-10-26",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russia-winks-to-old-friends-in-hamas/",image:p("russia-winks-to-old-friends-in-hamas","CEPA essay: Russia Winks to Old Friends in Hamas"),dek:"There are long-established ties between the Kremlin and the terrorist group, but Putin’s regime is playing with fire in the Middle East."},{id:"breakaway-regions-tremble-as-russian-power-fades",kind:"Writing",title:"Breakaway Regions Tremble as Russian Power Fades",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-10-16",href:"https://cepa.org/article/breakaway-regions-tremble-as-russian-power-fades/",image:p("breakaway-regions-tremble-as-russian-power-fades","CEPA essay: Breakaway Regions Tremble as Russian Power Fades"),dek:"The dissolution of the Republic of Artsakh, otherwise known as Nagorno-Karabakh, caused feelings of dread among the chain of breakaway satellites it has nurtured over the last three decades."},{id:"bloodshed-tv-irans-online-mouthpieces-celebrate-israel-pogrom",kind:"Writing",title:"Bloodshed TV — Iran’s Online Mouthpieces Celebrate Israel Pogrom",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-10-16",href:"https://cepa.org/article/bloodshed-tv-irans-online-mouthpieces-celebrate-israel-pogrom/",image:p("bloodshed-tv-irans-online-mouthpieces-celebrate-israel-pogrom","CEPA essay: Bloodshed TV — Iran’s Online Mouthpieces Celebrate Israel Pogrom"),dek:"New research shows the enormous effort that Iranian-backed media are investing in pro-Hamas messaging."},{id:"iran-protests-anger",kind:"Writing",title:"Iran Suppresses the Protests But Not the Anger",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-10-05",href:"https://cepa.org/article/iran-suppresses-the-protests-but-not-the-anger/",image:p("iran-protests-anger","CEPA essay: Iran Suppresses the Protests But Not the Anger"),dek:"A year after the death of Mahsa Amini, the Islamic Republic has largely managed to end street protests but is unable to control the fury behind them."},{id:"russia-revealed-as-a-fickle-ally",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia Revealed as a Fickle Ally",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-09-25",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russia-revealed-as-a-fickle-ally/",image:p("russia-revealed-as-a-fickle-ally","CEPA essay: Russia Revealed as a Fickle Ally"),dek:"What is the worth of a treaty alliance with Russia? Armenia’s experiences over the last three years offer a stark answer."},{id:"russias-elections-become-ever-more-futile",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia’s Elections Become Ever-More Futile",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-09-18",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russias-elections-become-ever-more-futile/",image:p("russias-elections-become-ever-more-futile","CEPA essay: Russia’s Elections Become Ever-More Futile"),dek:"“Sovereign democracy” is facing its twilight after the ruling United Russia party won a predictably crushing victory in last week’s regional elections."},{id:"sands-of-time-running-out-for-russias-sudanese-gambit",kind:"Writing",title:"Sands of Time Running Out for Russia’s Sudanese Gambit",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-09-12",href:"https://cepa.org/article/sands-of-time-running-out-for-russias-sudanese-gambit/",image:p("sands-of-time-running-out-for-russias-sudanese-gambit","CEPA essay: S

1ands of Time Running Out for Russia’s Sudanese Gambit"),dek:"With a cavalier disregard for Africa and its people, Russia is backing both sides in Sudan’s civil war while looting the country’s resources. It can’t go on forever."},{id:"brics-the-coalition-of-the-globally-grumpy",kind:"Writing",title:"BRICS — The Coalition of the Globally Grumpy",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-09-04",href:"https://cepa.org/article/brics-the-coalition-of-the-globally-grumpy/",image:p("brics-the-coalition-of-the-globally-grumpy","CEPA essay: BRICS — The Coalition of the Globally Grumpy"),dek:"The BRICS Summit in Johannesburg culminated in the bloc’s first expansion in over a decade. It may well weaken rather than strengthen the grouping."},{id:"part-two-is-ai-a-threat-or-opportunity-for-democracies",kind:"Writing",title:"Part Two: Is AI a Threat or Opportunity For Democracies?",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-08-02",href:"https://cepa.org/article/part-two-is-ai-a-threat-or-opportunity-for-democracies/",image:p("part-two-is-ai-a-threat-or-opportunity-for-democracies","CEPA essay: Part Two: Is AI a Threat or Opportunity For Democracies?"),dek:"Part One showed how artificial intelligence threatens autocratic rule. This concluding Part Two looks at the impact on democracies. The verdict could be negative or positive."},{id:"part-one-watch-out-russia-and-china-ai-is-a-threat",kind:"Writing",title:"Part One: Watch Out Russia and China: AI is a Threat",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-08-01",href:"https://cepa.org/article/part-one-watch-out-russia-and-china-ai-is-a-threat/",image:p("part-one-watch-out-russia-and-china-ai-is-a-threat","CEPA essay: Part One: Watch Out Russia and China: AI is a Threat"),dek:"Authoritarian regimes may believe they can leverage artificial intelligence to repress their populations. Instead, AI might undermine them."},{id:"murder-mystery-on-the-dniester",kind:"Writing",title:"Murder Mystery on the Dniester",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-07-24",href:"https://cepa.org/article/murder-mystery-on-the-dniester/",image:p("murder-mystery-on-the-dniester","CEPA essay: Murder Mystery on the Dniester"),dek:"A very high-profile murder will be seen by Transnistrians as a message that opposition does not pay."},{id:"uzbekistans-leader-time-for-hard-choices",kind:"Writing",title:"Uzbekistan’s Leader — Time for Hard Choices",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-07-21",href:"https://cepa.org/article/uzbekistans-leader-time-for-hard-choices/",image:p("uzbekistans-leader-time-for-hard-choices","CEPA essay: Uzbekistan’s Leader — Time for Hard Choices"),dek:"Winning power is easy enough in an autocracy; deciding how to use it is another matter."},{id:"russia-underpowered-ai",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia’s New Underpowered Weapon – Artificial Intelligence",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-06-28",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russias-new-underpowered-weapon-ai/",image:p("russia-underpowered-ai","CEPA essay: Russia’s New Underpowered Weapon – Artificial Intelligence"),dek:"The Kremlin wants to use AI to increase its control over information. The plan faces a fatal flaw: facts."},{id:"moldova-and-the-paradox-of-tolerance",kind:"Writing",title:"Moldova and the Paradox of Tolerance",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-06-26",href:"https://cepa.org/article/moldova-and-the-paradox-of-tolerance/",image:p("moldova-and-the-paradox-of-tolerance","CEPA essay: Moldova and the Paradox of Tolerance"),dek:"The country is taking a risk by banning an (admittedly) annoying, pro-Russian political party."},{id:"china-cia-blame",kind:"Writing",title:"China Invests in the CIA Blame Game",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-06-13",href:"https://cepa.org/article/china-invests-in-the-cia-blame-game/",image:p("china-cia-blame","CEPA essay: China Invests in the CIA Blame Game"),dek:"Chinese propaganda has been characterized by a leaden delivery and lack of finesse, but its efforts to distort are improving."},{id:"russias-regime-lured-by-the-bait-of-falsehood",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia’s Regime Lured by the Bait of Falsehood",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-06-05",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russias-regime-lured-by-the-bait-of-falsehood/",image:p("russias-regime-lured-by-the-bait-of-falsehood","CEPA essay: Russia’s Regime Lured by the Bait of Falsehood"),dek:"Putin’s administration has so bastardized the truth that it can no longer describe events on the battlefield."},{id:"azerbaijan-tugs-the-mullahs-beards",kind:"Writing",title:"Azerbaijan Tugs the Mullahs’ Beards",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-04-11",href:"https://cepa.org/article/azerbaijan-tugs-the-mullahs-beards/",image:p("azerbaijan-tugs-the-mullahs-beards","CEPA essay: Azerbaijan Tugs the Mullahs’ Beards"),dek:"In the realms of autocratic politics, c

1oup attempts — genuine or fabricated — are a vital instrument to consolidate power and mobilize the population."},{id:"romanian-by-any-other-name",kind:"Writing",title:"Romanian by Any Other Name",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-03-29",href:"https://cepa.org/article/romanian-by-any-other-name/",image:p("romanian-by-any-other-name","CEPA essay: Romanian by Any Other Name"),dek:"Moldova’s President Maia Sandu has signed a law relabeling the country’s official language from Moldovan to Romanian. The consequent Russian uproar signals weakness."},{id:"putins-narrative-of-betrayal-betrayed",kind:"Writing",title:"Putin’s Narrative of Betrayal Betrayed",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-03-23",href:"https://cepa.org/article/putins-narrative-of-betrayal-betrayed/",image:p("putins-narrative-of-betrayal-betrayed","CEPA essay: Putin’s Narrative of Betrayal Betrayed"),dek:"How does the story of Russia’s most recent invasion of Ukraine end? It depends on which story you mean."},{id:"iran-vs-the-people-a-test-of-legitimacy",kind:"Writing",title:"Iran vs. the People: A Test of Legitimacy",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2023-02-01",href:"https://cepa.org/article/iran-vs-the-people-a-test-of-legitimacy/",image:p("iran-vs-the-people-a-test-of-legitimacy","CEPA essay: Iran vs. the People: A Test of Legitimacy"),dek:"Iran’s regime is using its information channels to convince a population in revolt that it has a right to govern."},{id:"russia-the-world-hates-us",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia — The World Hates Us",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-11-01",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russia-the-world-hates-us/",image:p("russia-the-world-hates-us","CEPA essay: Russia — The World Hates Us"),dek:"The term russophobia was popularized by Vladimir Putin in a bid to smear critics as irrational, and to fuse the Kremlin with the people."},{id:"russias-imperial-dream-fades-in-transnistria",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia’s Imperial Dream Fades in Transnistria",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-10-11",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russias-imperial-dream-fades-in-transnistria/",image:p("russias-imperial-dream-fades-in-transnistria","CEPA essay: Russia’s Imperial Dream Fades in Transnistria"),dek:"The statelet was part of Vladimir Putin’s plan to expand Russia’s frontiers. That now seems a long way off."},{id:"russia-china-axis-smiles-on-disorder",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia-China Axis Smiles on Disorder",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-09-29",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russia-china-axis-smiles-on-disorder/",image:p("russia-china-axis-smiles-on-disorder","CEPA essay: Russia-China Axis Smiles on Disorder"),dek:"Countries on Russia’s borders have learned that its security guarantees are worthless and that aggression is rewarded."},{id:"russian-power-borderlands",kind:"Writing",title:"Russian Power Wanes in the Borderlands",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-09-19",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russian-power-wanes-in-the-borderlands/",image:p("russian-power-borderlands","CEPA essay: Russian Power Wanes in the Borderlands"),dek:"The first half of September 2022 may well go down as the fatal moment Russia’s lost its ability to dictate terms in its former empire."},{id:"russias-studied-indifference-cant-mask-a-new-defeat",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia’s Studied Indifference Can’t Mask a New Defeat",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-06-30",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russias-studied-indifference-cant-mask-a-new-defeat/",image:p("russias-studied-indifference-cant-mask-a-new-defeat","CEPA essay: Russia’s Studied Indifference Can’t Mask a New Defeat"),dek:"The Kremlin sees the EU as a cultural magnet, sucking in the borderland states. Its military can’t stop the process."},{id:"the-textbook-war",kind:"Writing",title:"The Textbook War",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-06-13",href:"https://cepa.org/article/the-textbook-war/",image:p("the-textbook-war","CEPA essay: The Textbook War"),dek:"Indiscriminate shelling has destroyed Ukraine’s physical infrastructure, but Russian operations also focus on a less visible target: history textbooks."},{id:"iran-a-victim-of-russian-failure",kind:"Writing",title:"Iran a Victim of Russian Failure",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-06-07",href:"https://cepa.org/article/iran-a-victim-of-russian-failure/",image:p("iran-a-victim-of-russian-failure","CEPA essay: Iran a Victim of Russian Failure"),dek:"Reliance on the Kremlin comes at a high price, as Iran’s leaders are discovering."},{id:"russian-propagandists-feast-on-turkeys-nato-ire",kind:"Writing",title:"Russian Propagandists Feast on Turkey’s NATO Ire",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-05-31",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russian-propagandists-feast-on-turkeys-nato-ire/",image:p("russian-propagandists-feast-on-turkeys-nato-ire","CEPA essay: Russian Propagandists Feast on Turkey’s NATO Ire"),dek:"Russia’s quest for global disorder sees every diplomatic dispute as an opportunity. 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1,{id:"nothing-ambiguous-defeat",kind:"Writing",title:"Europe: There’s Nothing Ambiguous About Defeat",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-01-24",href:"https://cepa.org/article/europe-theres-nothing-ambiguous-about-defeat/",image:p("nothing-ambiguous-defeat","CEPA essay: Europe: There’s Nothing Ambiguous About Defeat"),dek:"Russia has a toolbox jammed with techniques and tactics to secure its ambitions. If the West fails to stay alert, it could lose on Ukraine."},{id:"the-colored-steppe",kind:"Writing",title:"The Colored Steppe",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2022-01-11",href:"https://cepa.org/article/the-colored-steppe/",image:p("the-colored-steppe","CEPA essay: The Colored Steppe"),dek:"Whatever caused the uprising in Kazakhstan, its brutal Russian-backed suppression again shows Vladimir Putin has a free hand to act in the borderlands."},{id:"let-slip-the-thoughts-of-war",kind:"Writing",title:"Let Slip the Thoughts of War",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-12-13",href:"https://cepa.org/article/let-slip-the-thoughts-of-war/",image:p("let-slip-the-thoughts-of-war","CEPA essay: Let Slip the Thoughts of War"),dek:"Russia’s psychological preparations for war in Ukraine have been years in the making. They just passed a new threshold."},{id:"bulgaria-third-time-lucky",kind:"Writing",title:"Bulgaria: Third Time Lucky",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-11-29",href:"https://cepa.org/article/bulgaria-third-time-lucky/",image:p("bulgaria-third-time-lucky","CEPA essay: Bulgaria: Third Time Lucky"),dek:"Most Bulgarians regard their political class as deeply corrupt. That is something a new government and a more savvy European Union need to fix"},{id:"nuclear-option-for-putins-fossilized-russia",kind:"Writing",title:"Nuclear Option for Putin’s Fossilized Russia",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-11-15",href:"https://cepa.org/article/nuclear-option-for-putins-fossilized-russia/",image:p("nuclear-option-for-putins-fossilized-russia","CEPA essay: Nuclear Option for Putin’s Fossilized Russia"),dek:"Russia must be weaned away from its worship of hydrocarbons. Nuclear power could provide an answer, for the Kremlin and the wider world."},{id:"russias-worldwide-influence-relies-on-youtube",kind:"Writing",title:"Russia’s Worldwide Influence Relies on YouTube",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-10-20",href:"https://cepa.org/article/russias-worldwide-influence-relies-on-youtube/",image:p("russias-worldwide-influence-relies-on-youtube","CEPA essay: Russia’s Worldwide Influence Relies on YouTube"),dek:"Without Silicon Valley’s continuing goodwill, the Kremlin’s information machine is in trouble"},{id:"energy-crisis-pays-dividends-for-patient-putin",kind:"Writing",title:"Energy Crisis Pays Dividends for Patient Putin",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-10-18",href:"https://cepa.org/article/energy-crisis-pays-dividends-for-patient-putin/",image:p("energy-crisis-pays-dividends-for-patient-putin","CEPA essay: Energy Crisis Pays Dividends for Patient Putin"),dek:"Russia has long prepared to reap political rewards from energy crises in Europe, particularly through the isolation of Ukraine"},{id:"putin-teach-china-propaganda",kind:"Writing",title:"Putin Can Teach China a Lesson in Propaganda",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-07-02",href:"https://cepa.org/article/putin-can-teach-china-a-lesson-in-propaganda/",image:p("putin-teach-china-propaganda","CEPA essay: Putin Can Teach China a Lesson in Propaganda"),dek:"China and Russia employ two vastly different approaches to the deployment of information for domestic control and international influence"},{id:"chinas-communists-flounder-in-european-information-war",kind:"Writing",title:"China’s Communists Flounder in European Information War",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-05-26",href:"https://cepa.org/article/chinas-communists-flounder-in-european-information-war/",image:p("chinas-communists-flounder-in-european-information-war","CEPA essay: China’s Communists Flounder in European Information War"),dek:"Smaller media rivals have gamed recommendations engines to clobber far better-funded CCP outlets across Europe."},{id:"how-youtube-helps-fund-kremlin-allies-and-evade-sanctions",kind:"Writing",title:"How YouTube Helps Fund Kremlin Allies and Evade Sanctions",outlet:"CEPA",date:"2021-03-29",href:"https://cepa.org/article/how-youtube-helps-fund-kremlin-allies-and-evade-sanctions/",image:p("how-youtube-helps-fund-kremlin-allies-and-evade-sanctions","CEPA essay: How YouTube Helps Fund Kremlin Allies and Evade Sanctions"),dek:"YouTube is in business with Russia’s leading disinformation outlets and it’s proving extremely profitable for both."},{id:"the-usurer-of-time",kind:"Films",title:"The Usurer of Time",outlet:"Studio of the Oaks",date:"2026-07-28",href:"/work

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