1import{t as e}from"./jsx-runtime-DGeXAQPT.js";var t=e();function n(){return(0,t.jsxs)(`article`,{className:`mx-auto max-w-3xl`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`div`,{className:`text-[0.65rem] uppercase tracking-[0.22em] text-muted-foreground`,children:`About`}),(0,t.jsx)(`h1`,{className:`mt-4 font-serif text-4xl leading-tight text-foreground`,children:`Methodology & scope`}),(0,t.jsxs)(`section`,{className:`mt-10 space-y-4 text-base leading-relaxed text-foreground`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`h2`,{className:`font-serif text-2xl text-foreground`,children:`Scope`}),(0,t.jsxs)(`p`,{children:[`The archive collects public predictions about the arrival of`,(0,t.jsx)(`em`,{children:` artificial general intelligence`}),`, `,(0,t.jsx)(`em`,{children:`strong AI`}),`,`,(0,t.jsx)(`em`,{children:` superintelligence`}),`, an `,(0,t.jsx)(`em`,{children:`intelligence explosion`}),`, or the `,(0,t.jsx)(`em`,{children:`technological singularity`}),`, as well as dated predictions about severe labour-market or societal impact from AI.`]})]}),(0,t.jsxs)(`section`,{className:`mt-10 space-y-4 text-base leading-relaxed text-foreground`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`h2`,{className:`font-serif text-2xl text-foreground`,children:`Inclusion criteria`}),(0,t.jsx)(`p`,{children:`An entry is added when all of the following hold:`}),(0,t.jsxs)(`ol`,{className:`ml-5 list-decimal space-y-2`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`li`,{children:`The predictor is a researcher, executive, or public intellectual with an identifiable role in AI at the time.`}),(0,t.jsx)(`li`,{children:`The prediction names a specific year or short window.`}),(0,t.jsx)(`li`,{children:`The quote can be attributed to a primary or widely-cited secondary source.`}),(0,t.jsxs)(`li`,{children:[`Either the predicted date has already passed (a `,(0,t.jsx)(`em`,{children:`closed`}),` `,`record â the predictor has been publicly falsified or has retracted), or the prediction is prominent enough on the public record to be logged now as `,(0,t.jsx)(`em`,{children:`open`}),` pending its target date.`]})]})]}),(0,t.jsxs)(`section`,{className:`mt-10 space-y-4 text-base leading-relaxed text-foreground`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`h2`,{className:`font-serif text-2xl text-foreground`,children:`Framing`}),(0,t.jsx)(`p`,{children:`Each record includes a short, factual context note. The archive does not editorialise about the predictor's judgement or motives; the purpose is to preserve the forecast, its source, and the plainly documented outcome.`})]}),(0,t.jsxs)(`section`,{className:`mt-10 space-y-4 text-base leading-relaxed text-foreground`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`h2`,{className:`font-serif text-2xl text-foreground`,children:`Corrections`}),(0,t.jsx)(`p`,{children:`If a quote is misattributed, taken out of context, or the outcome has materially changed, corrections are welcome. This archive is a living document.`})]}),(0,t.jsxs)(`section`,{className:`mt-10 space-y-4 text-base leading-relaxed text-foreground`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`h2`,{className:`font-serif text-2xl text-foreground`,children:`Contact`}),(0,t.jsxs)(`div`,{className:`flex flex-wrap gap-3`,children:[(0,t.jsx)(`a`,{href:`https://www.linkedin.com/in/patrick0grady/`,target:`_blank`,rel:`noopener noreferrer`,className:`inline-flex items-center justify-center border border-foreground px-4 py-2 text-sm text-foreground transition-colors hover:bg-foreground hover:text-background`,children:`LinkedIn`}),(0,t.jsx)(`a`,{href:`https://x.com/patrickgrady_`,target:`_blank`,rel:`noopener noreferrer`,className:`inline-flex items-center justify-center border border-foreground px-4 py-2 text-sm text-foreground transition-colors hover:bg-foreground hover:text-background`,children:`X`}),(0,t.jsx)(`a`,{href:`mailto:[email protected]`,className:`inline-flex items-center justify-center border border-foreground px-4 py-2 text-sm text-foreground transition-colors hover:bg-foreground hover:text-background`,children:`Email`})]})]})]})}export{n as component};
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