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344		<span class="screen-reader-text">These MRPs should kibosh any chance of an early general election</span>
345					<h1 class="entry-title">These MRPs should kibosh any chance of an early general election</h1>
346		
347				<div class="entry-meta">
348			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/" title="13:43" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-24T13:43:45+01:00" pubdate>24/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
349<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comments" class="comments-link" >150 Comments</a></h5>
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354				
355<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
356<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">NEW: Survation MRP for <a href="https://x.com/38degrees?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@38degrees</a> as seen in the <a href="https://x.com/guardian?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@guardian</a> today<br><br>Labour: 272 <br>Reform: 153 <br>Conservative: 85 <br>Lib Dem: 69 <br>SNP: 40 <br>Plaid Cymru: 8 <br>Green: 3 <br>Other: 1<br><br>Read more: <a href="https://t.co/haZG20bs8E">https://t.co/haZG20bs8E</a><br><br>1/6 <a href="https://t.co/bMaYq2LPoI">pic.twitter.com/bMaYq2LPoI</a></p>&mdash; Survation. (@Survation) <a href="https://x.com/Survation/status/2103075502634442775?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 24, 2026</a></blockquote>
356<script async src="https://platform.x.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
356
357</div></figure>
358
359
360
361<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
362<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">If these voters all voted tactically (both on the left and the right), Labour would increase from 272 seats to 319<br><br>Reform would fall from 153 seats to 62<br><br>3/6 <a href="https://t.co/azPlcATmtV">pic.twitter.com/azPlcATmtV</a></p>&mdash; Survation. (@Survation) <a href="https://x.com/Survation/status/2103075520342827086?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 24, 2026</a></blockquote>
362<script async src="https://platform.x.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
362
363</div></figure>
364
365
366
367<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
368<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">YouGov&#39;s September 2026 MRP projects that Labour would be the largest party in a hung parliament, were an election held tomorrow<br><br>Labour: 241 (-170 from 2024)<br>Conservatives: 130 (+9)<br>Reform UK: 123 (+118)<br>Lib Dems: 71 (-1)<br>SNP: 40 (+31)<br>Plaid Cymru: 15 (+11)<br>Greens: 9 (+5)… <a href="https://t.co/PgxHWPZoZ8">pic.twitter.com/PgxHWPZoZ8</a></p>&mdash; YouGov (@YouGov) <a href="https://x.com/YouGov/status/2103016164666277957?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 24, 2026</a></blockquote>
368<script async src="https://platform.x.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
368
369</div></figure>
370
371
372
373<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The most striking thing is how badly Reform will do once tactical voting kicks in.</p>
374
375
376
377<p class="has-large-font-size wp-block-paragraph"><strong>TSE</strong></p>
378
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413			150 thoughts on &ldquo;<span>These MRPs should kibosh any chance of an early general election</span>&rdquo;		</h2>
414		<ol class="comment-list">
415					<li id="comment-5649130" class="comment byuser comment-author-tse bypostauthor even thread-even depth-1">
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419						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/16.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/16.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">TSE</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
420
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422						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649130"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:43:57+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:43</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
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427					<p>First?</p>
428<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649130" data-author="TSE" data-author-id="16" data-author-count="130384" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649130" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649130%23comment-5649130">
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437		<li id="comment-5649132" class="comment byuser comment-author-taz odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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441						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
442
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444						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649132"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:45:41+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:45</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
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449					<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
450<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649132" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649132" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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466						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649133"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:46:37+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:46</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
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471					<p>These are before the Budget too. That should lose another 50-60 Labour MPs from these numbers&#8230;</p>
472<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649133" data-author="MarqueeMark" data-author-id="1149" data-author-count="61202" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649133" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649133%23comment-5649133">
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485						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
486
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488						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649136"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:50:05+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:50</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
489
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491
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493					<p>LOL</p>
494<p>&nbsp;</p>
495<blockquote>
496<p>&#x1f6a8;NEW: Ofcom blames an &#8220;administrative error&#8221; for not publishing data showing GB News outperforms traditional TV news channels when it comes to trustworthiness</p>
497<p>&nbsp;</p>
498</blockquote>
499<p><a href="https://x.com/gbpolitcs/status/2103077547067981879?s=61" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/gbpolitcs/status/2103077547067981879?s=61</a></p>
500<p>&nbsp;</p>
501<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649136" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649136" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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510		<li id="comment-5649137" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 even thread-even depth-1">
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515
516					<div class="comment-metadata">
517						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649137"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:53:04+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:53</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
518
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522					<p>The was never going to be an early GE</p>
523<p>Only in the minds of the incontinent right wing media</p>
524<p>Constant reference to the budget is another pointless exercise. </p>
525<p>It will be the 2028 budget that&#8217;s crucial. </p>
526<p>We are irrespective of the Party of Government almost totally in the hands of global forces. </p>
527<p>It&#8217;s no different to boat crossings and tge the weather. </p>
528<p>Very much in the lap of the gods.</p>
529<p>Ensuring we have maximum solidity and capability to accelerate out of the global trough is key </p>
530<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649137" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649137" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649137%23comment-5649137">
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539		<li id="comment-5649138" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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544
545					<div class="comment-metadata">
546						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649138"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:53:06+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:53</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
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551					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
552<p>LOL</p>
553<p>&nbsp;</p>
554<blockquote>
555<p>&#x1f6a8;NEW: Ofcom blames an “administrative error” for not publishing data showing GB News outperforms traditional TV news channels when it comes to trustworthiness</p>
556<p>&nbsp;</p>
557</blockquote>
558<p><a href="https://x.com/gbpolitcs/status/2103077547067981879?s=61" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/gbpolitcs/status/2103077547067981879?s=61</a></p>
559<p>&nbsp;</p>
560</blockquote>
561<p>Can we report that headline to OFCOM as deeply misleading ?</p>
562<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649138" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649138" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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575						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3877.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3877.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">OnlyLivingBoy</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
576
577					<div class="comment-metadata">
578						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649139"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:53:10+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:53</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
579
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581
582				<div class="comment-content">
583					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
584<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
585</blockquote>
586<p>Belgium put the kibosh on the Kaiser. </p>
587<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649139" data-author="OnlyLivingBoy" data-author-id="3877" data-author-count="18767" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649139" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649139%23comment-5649139">
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600						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
601
602					<div class="comment-metadata">
603						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649140"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:53:48+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:53</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
604
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606
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608					<blockquote><p><b>TSE:</b></p>
609<p>First?</p>
610</blockquote>
611<p>Always, TSE.</p>
612<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649140" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649140" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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625						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3949.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3949.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Mellonby</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
626
627					<div class="comment-metadata">
628						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649142"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:55:50+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:55</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
629
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631
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633					<p>The Reform pattern on the map deserves a name.</p>
634<p>We’ve had the red wall (still vestigially just about there across the North), the Tory blue wall, the Lib Dem amber hedgerow. </p>
635<p>There is what to my eye looks like a Reform yoke, or horseshoe, girdling the Southern Tory hoof / locking the Tory cow’s head (I need to decide what metaphor to go with). It loops up from South Wales through the North / East Midlands up to Northumbria, then down the East Coast towards Kent. </p>
636<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649142" data-author="Mellonby" data-author-id="3949" data-author-count="18064" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649142" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649142%23comment-5649142">
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645		<li id="comment-5649143" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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649						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
650
651					<div class="comment-metadata">
652						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649143"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:56:39+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:56</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
653
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655
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657					<blockquote><p><b>MarqueeMark:</b></p>
658<p>These are before the Budget too. That should lose another 50-60 Labour MPs from these numbers…</p>
659</blockquote>
660<p>I&#8217;m looking forward to seeing the opinion polls if Healey increases CGT to up Tax Allowance north of 15k and puts a levy on privatised utilities to reduce winter energy costs.</p>
661<p>Labour close to 30%???</p>
662<p>It&#8217;s all about public opinion, not expert opinion</p>
663<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649143" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649143" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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677
678					<div class="comment-metadata">
679						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649144"><time datetime="2026-09-24T13:57:05+01:00">24/9/2026 at 13:57</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
680
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683				<div class="comment-content">
684					<blockquote><p><b>OnlyLivingBoy:</b></p>
685<blockquote>
686<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
687<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
688</blockquote>
689<p>Belgium put the kibosh on the Kaiser. </p>
690</blockquote>
691<p>Europe took the stick and made ‘im sore. </p>
692<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649144" data-author="Mellonby" data-author-id="3949" data-author-count="18064" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649144" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649144%23comment-5649144">
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706
707					<div class="comment-metadata">
708						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649145"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:01:13+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:01</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
709
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713					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
714<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
715</blockquote>
716<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
717<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
718<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649145" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649145" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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727		<li id="comment-5649146" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb even thread-even depth-1">
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731						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
732
733					<div class="comment-metadata">
734						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649146"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:02:38+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:02</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
735
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737
738				<div class="comment-content">
739					<blockquote><p><b>Mellonby:</b></p>
740<p>The Reform pattern on the map deserves a name.</p>
741<p>We’ve had the red wall (still vestigially just about there across the North), the Tory blue wall, the Lib Dem amber hedgerow.</p>
742<p>There is what to my eye looks like a Reform yoke, or horseshoe, girdling the Southern Tory hoof / locking the Tory cow’s head (I need to decide what metaphor to go with). It loops up from South Wales through the North / East Midlands up to Northumbria, then down the East Coast towards Kent. </p>
743</blockquote>
744<p>Not much pattern to it, really.</p>
745<p>It looks as much like a skin rash as a horseshoe.</p>
746<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649146" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649146" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649146%23comment-5649146">
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759						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3126.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3126.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">turbotubbs</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
760
761					<div class="comment-metadata">
762						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649147"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:05:00+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:05</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
763
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765
766				<div class="comment-content">
767					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
768<p>The was never going to be an early GE</p>
769<p><strong>Only in the minds of the incontinent right wing media</strong></p>
770<p>Constant reference to the budget is another pointless exercise. </p>
771<p>It will be the 2028 budget that’s crucial. </p>
772<p>We are irrespective of the Party of Government almost totally in the hands of global forces. </p>
773<p>It’s no different to boat crossings and tge the weather. </p>
774<p>Very much in the lap of the gods.</p>
775<p>Ensuring we have maximum solidity and capability to accelerate out of the global trough is key </p>
776</blockquote>
777<p>It wasn&#8217;t just right wing media discussing it. </p>
778<p>I&#8217;ve never thought it likely, simply because there is too long before he has to go and the very strong possibility of going from a huge majority to possibly NOC/largest party made it highly improbable.</p>
779<p>The only way I could see it would be a six month period of Burnham expressing frustration at being shackled by the previous manifesto and thus needed his own mandate. But I doubt it.</p>
780<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649147" data-author="turbotubbs" data-author-id="3126" data-author-count="24437" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649147" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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789		<li id="comment-5649148" class="comment byuser comment-author-kinabalu even thread-even depth-1">
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793						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">kinabalu</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
794
795					<div class="comment-metadata">
796						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649148"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:05:46+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:05</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
797
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799
800				<div class="comment-content">
801					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
802<blockquote>
803<p><b>Mellonby:</b></p>
804<p>The Reform pattern on the map deserves a name.</p>
805<p>We’ve had the red wall (still vestigially just about there across the North), the Tory blue wall, the Lib Dem amber hedgerow.</p>
806<p>There is what to my eye looks like a Reform yoke, or horseshoe, girdling the Southern Tory hoof / locking the Tory cow’s head (I need to decide what metaphor to go with). It loops up from South Wales through the North / East Midlands up to Northumbria, then down the East Coast towards Kent. </p>
807</blockquote>
808<p>Not much pattern to it, really.</p>
809<p>It looks as much like a skin rash as a horseshoe.</p>
810</blockquote>
811<p>Most apt. Let&#8217;s go with that.</p>
812<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649148" data-author="kinabalu" data-author-id="3191" data-author-count="51805" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649148" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649148%23comment-5649148">
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825						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3360.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3360.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Foxy</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
826
827					<div class="comment-metadata">
828						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649149"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:06:19+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:06</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
829
830									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
831
832				<div class="comment-content">
833					<p>Its not just Labour that should not want an early election. Badenoch would lose seats in anything other than maximum tactical voting, and even with that there would only be a handful.</p>
834<p>Autumn 2028 IMO</p>
835<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649149" data-author="Foxy" data-author-id="3360" data-author-count="57944" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649149" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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848						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
849
850					<div class="comment-metadata">
851						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649150"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:11:53+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:11</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
852
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854
855				<div class="comment-content">
856					<blockquote><p><b>Mellonby:</b></p>
857<p>The Reform pattern on the map deserves a name.</p>
858<p>We’ve had the red wall (still vestigially just about there across the North), the Tory blue wall, the Lib Dem amber hedgerow.</p>
859<p>There is what to my eye looks like a Reform yoke, or horseshoe, girdling the Southern Tory hoof / locking the Tory cow’s head (I need to decide what metaphor to go with). It loops up from South Wales through the North / East Midlands up to Northumbria, then down the East Coast towards Kent. </p>
860</blockquote>
861<p>Reform vote is a coalition of red wall, working class, constituencies like Durham North where I live and constituencies of Retired home owners.</p>
862<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649150" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649150" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649150%23comment-5649150">
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876
877					<div class="comment-metadata">
878						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649151"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:12:08+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:12</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
879
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881
882				<div class="comment-content">
883					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
884<blockquote>
885<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
886<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
887</blockquote>
888<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
889<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
890</blockquote>
891<p>Ow am yam?</p>
892<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649151" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649151" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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905						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
906
907					<div class="comment-metadata">
908						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649152"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:15:11+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:15</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
909
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911
912				<div class="comment-content">
913					<p>I expect Labour are very confident about seeing off the Greens in SKS’s old seat.</p>
914<p>My MP, who spent time campaigning in Makerfield for Burnham has not really been campaigning in H&amp;St P by comparison but he’s been canvassing here.</p>
915<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649152" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649152" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649152%23comment-5649152">
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928						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">kinabalu</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
929
930					<div class="comment-metadata">
931						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649153"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:15:20+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:15</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
932
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934
935				<div class="comment-content">
936					<p>Uh oh. NYT poll puts Collins 3 pts up in Maine. Without Maine the DEM path to Senate control is a black run. </p>
937<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649153" data-author="kinabalu" data-author-id="3191" data-author-count="51805" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649153" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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946		<li id="comment-5649154" class="comment byuser comment-author-sunil_prasannan even thread-even depth-1">
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950						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Sunil_Prasannan</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
951
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953						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649154"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:15:40+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:15</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
954
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956
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958					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
959<blockquote>
960<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
961<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
962</blockquote>
963<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
964<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
965</blockquote>
966<p><i>kibosh(n.)</i></p>
967<p>1836, kye-bosk, in British English slang phrase put the kibosh on, of unknown origin, despite intense speculation. The earliest citation is in Dickens. Looks Yiddish, but its original appearance in a piece set in the heavily Irish &#8220;Seven Dials&#8221; neighborhood in the West End of London seems to argue against this.</p>
968<p>One candidate is Irish caip bháis, caipín báis &#8220;cap of death,&#8221; sometimes said to be the black cap a judge would don when pronouncing a death sentence, but in other sources this is identified as a gruesome method of execution &#8220;employed by Brit. forces against 1798 insurgents&#8221; [Bernard Share, &#8220;Slanguage, A Dictionary of Irish Slang&#8221;]. Coles&#8217; dictionary of &#8220;difficult terms&#8221; (1684) has cabos&#8217;d &#8220;having the head cut off close to the shoulders.&#8221; Or the word might somehow be connected with Turkish bosh (see bosh).</p>
969<p><a href="https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh</a></p>
970<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649154" data-author="Sunil_Prasannan" data-author-id="1011" data-author-count="60826" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649154" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649154%23comment-5649154">
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979		<li id="comment-5649156" class="comment byuser comment-author-mexicanpete odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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983						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3116.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3116.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Mexicanpete</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
984
985					<div class="comment-metadata">
986						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649156"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:16:28+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:16</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
987
988									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
989
990				<div class="comment-content">
991					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
992<blockquote>
993<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
994<blockquote>
995<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
996<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
997</blockquote>
998<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
999<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1000</blockquote>
1001<p>Ow am yam?</p>
1002</blockquote>
1003<p>Bostin ta bab.</p>
1004<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649156" data-author="Mexicanpete" data-author-id="3116" data-author-count="41097" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649156" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1013		<li id="comment-5649157" class="comment byuser comment-author-clutch_brompton even thread-even depth-1">
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1018
1019					<div class="comment-metadata">
1020						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649157"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:21:17+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:21</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1021
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1023
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1025					<p>OT &#8211; Outside of a few &#8216;advisors&#8217; wanting a free meal from a gullible journalist I don&#8217;t belive there ever was any chance of an early election.</p>
1026<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649157" data-author="Clutch_Brompton" data-author-id="6112" data-author-count="902" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649157" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649157%23comment-5649157">
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1032
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1035		<li id="comment-5649158" class="comment byuser comment-author-kinabalu odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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1039						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">kinabalu</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1040
1041					<div class="comment-metadata">
1042						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649158"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:22:07+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:22</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1043
1044									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1045
1046				<div class="comment-content">
1047					<blockquote><p><b>Foxy:</b></p>
1048<p>Its not just Labour that should not want an early election. Badenoch would lose seats in anything other than maximum tactical voting, and even with that there would only be a handful.</p>
1049<p>Autumn 2028 IMO</p>
1050</blockquote>
1051<p>I&#8217;ve got matched at 8 for a 2028 election. Pretty happy with that. </p>
1052<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649158" data-author="kinabalu" data-author-id="3191" data-author-count="51805" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649158" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1061		<li id="comment-5649159" class="comment byuser comment-author-blanchelivermore even thread-even depth-1">
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1065						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5077.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5077.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">BlancheLivermore</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1066
1067					<div class="comment-metadata">
1068						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649159"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:23:12+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:23</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1069
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1071
1072				<div class="comment-content">
1073					<p>Sri Lanka could get over 400 here..</p>
1074<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649159" data-author="BlancheLivermore" data-author-id="5077" data-author-count="8198" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649159" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649159%23comment-5649159">
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1080
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1083		<li id="comment-5649160" class="comment byuser comment-author-kinabalu odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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1087						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">kinabalu</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1088
1089					<div class="comment-metadata">
1090						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649160"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:24:32+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:24</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1091
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1093
1094				<div class="comment-content">
1095					<blockquote><p><b>Clutch_Brompton:</b></p>
1096<p>OT – Outside of a few ‘advisors’ wanting a free meal from a gullible journalist I don’t belive there ever was any chance of an early election.</p>
1097</blockquote>
1098<p>I agree. Although the journo wouldn&#8217;t necessarily be gullible. They might just want to be saying things. You can&#8217;t have silence or blank pages.</p>
1099<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649160" data-author="kinabalu" data-author-id="3191" data-author-count="51805" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649160" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1113
1114					<div class="comment-metadata">
1115						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649161"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:25:01+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:25</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1116
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1118
1119				<div class="comment-content">
1120					<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1121<blockquote>
1122<p><b>Foxy:</b></p>
1123<p>Its not just Labour that should not want an early election. Badenoch would lose seats in anything other than maximum tactical voting, and even with that there would only be a handful.</p>
1124<p>Autumn 2028 IMO</p>
1125</blockquote>
1126<p>I’ve got matched at 8 for a 2028 election. Pretty happy with that. </p>
1127</blockquote>
1128<p>You should be.</p>
1129<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649161" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649161" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649161%23comment-5649161">
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1143
1144					<div class="comment-metadata">
1145						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649162"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:29:42+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:29</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1146
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1148
1149				<div class="comment-content">
1150					<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1151<blockquote>
1152<p><b>Foxy:</b></p>
1153<p>Its not just Labour that should not want an early election. Badenoch would lose seats in anything other than maximum tactical voting, and even with that there would only be a handful.</p>
1154<p>Autumn 2028 IMO</p>
1155</blockquote>
1156<p>I’ve got matched at 8 for a 2028 election. Pretty happy with that. </p>
1157</blockquote>
1158<p>I&#8217;m good as long as he doesn&#8217;t hang on for 2029&#8230;</p>
1159<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649162" data-author="turbotubbs" data-author-id="3126" data-author-count="24437" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649162" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1168		<li id="comment-5649163" class="comment byuser comment-author-turbotubbs even thread-even depth-1">
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1172						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3126.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3126.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">turbotubbs</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1173
1174					<div class="comment-metadata">
1175						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649163"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:30:09+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:30</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1176
1177									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1178
1179				<div class="comment-content">
1180					<blockquote><p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
1181<p>Sri Lanka could get over 400 here..</p>
1182</blockquote>
1183<p>And I think England have the power to chase whatever they set. Very different pitch to the last match.</p>
1184<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649163" data-author="turbotubbs" data-author-id="3126" data-author-count="24437" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649163" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649163%23comment-5649163">
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1193		<li id="comment-5649164" class="comment byuser comment-author-decrepiterjohnl odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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1197						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">DecrepiterJohnL</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1198
1199					<div class="comment-metadata">
1200						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649164"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:34:17+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:34</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1201
1202									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1203
1204				<div class="comment-content">
1205					<blockquote><p><b>Sunil_Prasannan:</b></p>
1206<blockquote>
1207<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1208<blockquote>
1209<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1210<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
1211</blockquote>
1212<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
1213<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1214</blockquote>
1215<p><i>kibosh(n.)</i></p>
1216<p>
12161836, kye-bosk, in British English slang phrase put the kibosh on, of unknown origin, despite intense speculation. The earliest citation is in Dickens. Looks Yiddish, but its original appearance in a piece set in the heavily Irish “Seven Dials” neighborhood in the West End of London seems to argue against this.</p>
1217<p>One candidate is Irish caip bháis, caipín báis “cap of death,” sometimes said to be the black cap a judge would don when pronouncing a death sentence, but in other sources this is identified as a gruesome method of execution “employed by Brit. forces against 1798 insurgents” [Bernard Share, “Slanguage, A Dictionary of Irish Slang”]. Coles’ dictionary of “difficult terms” (1684) has cabos’d “having the head cut off close to the shoulders.” Or the word might somehow be connected with Turkish bosh (see bosh).</p>
1218<p><a href="https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh</a></p>
1219</blockquote>
1220<p>They did &#8220;kybosh&#8221; on Countdown this week.</p>
1221<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649164" data-author="DecrepiterJohnL" data-author-id="4383" data-author-count="37784" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649164" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649164%23comment-5649164">
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1230		<li id="comment-5649165" class="comment byuser comment-author-malmesbury even thread-even depth-1">
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1234						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2498.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2498.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Malmesbury</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1235
1236					<div class="comment-metadata">
1237						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649165"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:35:20+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:35</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1238
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1240
1241				<div class="comment-content">
1242					<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1243<p>Uh oh. NYT poll puts Collins 3 pts up in Maine. Without Maine the DEM path to Senate control is a black run. </p>
1244</blockquote>
1245<p>The local factors in each Senate seat mean that simply applying national swings is just a first approximation.</p>
1246<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649165" data-author="Malmesbury" data-author-id="2498" data-author-count="65310" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649165" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649165%23comment-5649165">
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1255		<li id="comment-5649166" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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1259						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1260
1261					<div class="comment-metadata">
1262						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649166"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:35:52+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:35</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1263
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1265
1266				<div class="comment-content">
1267					<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1268<blockquote>
1269<p><b>Clutch_Brompton:</b></p>
1270<p>OT – Outside of a few ‘advisors’ wanting a free meal from a gullible journalist I don’t belive there ever was any chance of an early election.</p>
1271</blockquote>
1272<p>I agree. Although the journo wouldn’t necessarily be gullible. They might just want to be saying things. You can’t have silence or blank pages.</p>
1273</blockquote>
1274<p>Right wing media eg 95% if them will talk up early GE half in desperation of something to say the other half to claim he bottled it like Brown when in reality scenarios are chalk and cheese. </p>
1275<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649166" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649166" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649166%23comment-5649166">
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1284		<li id="comment-5649167" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 even thread-even depth-1">
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1288						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1289
1290					<div class="comment-metadata">
1291						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649167"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:37:02+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:37</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1292
1293									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1294
1295				<div class="comment-content">
1296					<blockquote><p><b>Mexicanpete:</b></p>
1297<blockquote>
1298<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1299<blockquote>
1300<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1301<blockquote>
1302<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1303<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
1304</blockquote>
1305<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
1306<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1307</blockquote>
1308<p>Ow am yam?</p>
1309</blockquote>
1310<p>Bostin ta bab.</p>
1311</blockquote>
1312<p>I had a mate called Johnny Bostin, very apt name.. </p>
1313<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649167" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649167" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1322		<li id="comment-5649168" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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1326						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1327
1328					<div class="comment-metadata">
1329						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649168"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:38:24+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:38</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1330
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1332
1333				<div class="comment-content">
1334					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1335<blockquote>
1336<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1337<blockquote>
1338<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1339<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
1340</blockquote>
1341<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
1342<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1343</blockquote>
1344<p>Ow am yam?</p>
1345</blockquote>
1346<p>Or rite owr kid</p>
1347<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649168" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649168" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649168%23comment-5649168">
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1356		<li id="comment-5649169" class="comment byuser comment-author-fairliered even thread-even depth-1">
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1360						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3942.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3942.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Fairliered</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1361
1362					<div class="comment-metadata">
1363						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649169"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:40:33+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:40</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1364
1365									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1366
1367				<div class="comment-content">
1368					<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1369<blockquote>
1370<p><b>Clutch_Brompton:</b></p>
1371<p>OT – Outside of a few ‘advisors’ wanting a free meal from a gullible journalist I don’t belive there ever was any chance of an early election.</p>
1372</blockquote>
1373<p>I agree. Although the journo wouldn’t necessarily be gullible. They might just want to be saying things. You can’t have silence or blank pages.</p>
1374</blockquote>
1375<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1376<blockquote>
1377<p><b>Clutch_Brompton:</b></p>
1378<p>OT – Outside of a few ‘advisors’ wanting a free meal from a gullible journalist I don’t belive there ever was any chance of an early election.</p>
1379</blockquote>
1380<p>I agree. Although the journo wouldn’t necessarily be gullible. They might just want to be saying things. You can’t have silence or blank pages.</p>
1381</blockquote>
1382<p>
1382Silence is golden. Journalists don’t know that.</p>
1383<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649169" data-author="Fairliered" data-author-id="3942" data-author-count="8537" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649169" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649169%23comment-5649169">
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1396						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1460.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1460.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Andy_JS</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1397
1398					<div class="comment-metadata">
1399						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649170"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:41:22+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:41</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1400
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1402
1403				<div class="comment-content">
1404					<p>Telegraph journalist getting a bit over-excited.</p>
1405<p>&#8220;<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/d/da-de/daniel-johnson0/" rel="nofollow ugc">Daniel Johnson</a></p>
1406<p>I bet Kemi Badenoch would win a snap general election</p>
1407<p><span>The Conservative comeback is the most extraordinary phenomenon that British politics has seen for many years</span>&#8220;</p>
1408<p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/</a></p>
1409<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649170" data-author="Andy_JS" data-author-id="1460" data-author-count="41534" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649170" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649170%23comment-5649170">
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1415
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1417		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1418		<li id="comment-5649171" class="comment byuser comment-author-sunil_prasannan even thread-even depth-1">
1419			<article id="div-comment-5649171" class="comment-body">
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1422						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Sunil_Prasannan</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1423
1424					<div class="comment-metadata">
1425						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649171"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:42:22+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:42</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1426
1427									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1428
1429				<div class="comment-content">
1430					<blockquote><p><b>DecrepiterJohnL:</b></p>
1431<blockquote>
1432<p><b>Sunil_Prasannan:</b></p>
1433<blockquote>
1434<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1435<blockquote>
1436<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1437<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
1438</blockquote>
1439<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
1440<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1441</blockquote>
1442<p><i>kibosh(n.)</i></p>
1443<p>
14431836, kye-bosk, in British English slang phrase put the kibosh on, of unknown origin, despite intense speculation. The earliest citation is in Dickens. Looks Yiddish, but its original appearance in a piece set in the heavily Irish “Seven Dials” neighborhood in the West End of London seems to argue against this.</p>
1444<p>One candidate is Irish caip bháis, caipín báis “cap of death,” sometimes said to be the black cap a judge would don when pronouncing a death sentence, but in other sources this is identified as a gruesome method of execution “employed by Brit. forces against 1798 insurgents” [Bernard Share, “Slanguage, A Dictionary of Irish Slang”]. Coles’ dictionary of “difficult terms” (1684) has cabos’d “having the head cut off close to the shoulders.” Or the word might somehow be connected with Turkish bosh (see bosh).</p>
1445<p><a href="https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh</a></p>
1446</blockquote>
1447<p>They did “kybosh” on Countdown this week.</p>
1448</blockquote>
1449<p>&#8220;Kiboshed&#8221;, in fact (tea-time teaser).</p>
1450<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649171" data-author="Sunil_Prasannan" data-author-id="1011" data-author-count="60826" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649171" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649171%23comment-5649171">
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1456
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1459		<li id="comment-5649172" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1460			<article id="div-comment-5649172" class="comment-body">
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1463						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1464
1465					<div class="comment-metadata">
1466						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649172"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:44:35+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:44</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1467
1468									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1469
1470				<div class="comment-content">
1471					<blockquote><p><b>Andy_JS:</b></p>
1472<p>Telegraph journalist getting a bit over-excited.</p>
1473<p>“<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/d/da-de/daniel-johnson0/" rel="nofollow ugc">Daniel Johnson</a></p>
1474<p>I bet Kemi Badenoch would win a snap general election</p>
1475<p>The Conservative comeback is the most extraordinary phenomenon that British politics has seen for many years“</p>
1476<p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/</a></p>
1477</blockquote>
1478<p>He needs sectioning</p>
1479<p>Absolutely no evidence of anything of the sort </p>
1480<p>3 to 6 points down on worst election defeat in generations</p>
1481<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649172" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649172" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1487
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1490		<li id="comment-5649173" class="comment byuser comment-author-kinabalu even thread-even depth-1">
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1494						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">kinabalu</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1495
1496					<div class="comment-metadata">
1497						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649173"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:45:16+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:45</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1498
1499									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1500
1501				<div class="comment-content">
1502					<blockquote><p><b>Malmesbury:</b></p>
1503<blockquote>
1504<p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1505<p>Uh oh. NYT poll puts Collins 3 pts up in Maine. Without Maine the DEM path to Senate control is a black run. </p>
1506</blockquote>
1507<p>The local factors in each Senate seat mean that simply applying national swings is just a first approximation.</p>
1508</blockquote>
1509<p>For sure. And it could be an outlier anyway. Still, one to note. I&#8217;ve seen it and therefore had to. </p>
1510<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649173" data-author="kinabalu" data-author-id="3191" data-author-count="51805" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649173" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649173%23comment-5649173">
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1519		<li id="comment-5649174" class="comment byuser comment-author-kinabalu odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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1523						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">kinabalu</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1524
1525					<div class="comment-metadata">
1526						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649174"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:46:19+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:46</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1527
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1529
1530				<div class="comment-content">
1531					<blockquote><p><b>Fairliered:</b></p>
1532<blockquote>
1533<p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1534<blockquote>
1535<p><b>Clutch_Brompton:</b></p>
1536<p>OT – Outside of a few ‘advisors’ wanting a free meal from a gullible journalist I don’t belive there ever was any chance of an early election.</p>
1537</blockquote>
1538<p>I agree. Although the journo wouldn’t necessarily be gullible. They might just want to be saying things. You can’t have silence or blank pages.</p>
1539</blockquote>
1540<blockquote>
1541<p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
1542<blockquote>
1543<p><b>Clutch_Brompton:</b></p>
1544<p>OT – Outside of a few ‘advisors’ wanting a free meal from a gullible journalist I don’t belive there ever was any chance of an early election.</p>
1545</blockquote>
1546<p>I agree. Although the journo wouldn’t necessarily be gullible. They might just want to be saying things. You can’t have silence or blank pages.</p>
1547</blockquote>
1548<p>
1548Silence is golden. Journalists don’t know that.</p>
1549</blockquote>
1550<p>Yep. Cos the eyes still see. </p>
1551<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649174" data-author="kinabalu" data-author-id="3191" data-author-count="51805" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649174" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649174%23comment-5649174">
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1560		<li id="comment-5649175" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 even thread-even depth-1">
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1564						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1565
1566					<div class="comment-metadata">
1567						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649175"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:47:37+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:47</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1568
1569									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1570
1571				<div class="comment-content">
1572					<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
1573<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
1574<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
1575<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
1576<p>&nbsp;</p>
1577<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649175" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649175" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649175%23comment-5649175">
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1586		<li id="comment-5649176" class="comment byuser comment-author-wulfrun_phil odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1587			<article id="div-comment-5649176" class="comment-body">
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1590						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1548.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1548.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Wulfrun_Phil</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1591
1592					<div class="comment-metadata">
1593						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649176"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:47:44+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:47</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1594
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1596
1597				<div class="comment-content">
1598					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1599<blockquote>
1600<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1601<blockquote>
1602<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1603<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
1604</blockquote>
1605<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
1606<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1607</blockquote>
1608<p>Ow am yam?</p>
1609</blockquote>
1610<p>Bostin result Sunday, wor it?</p>
1611<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649176" data-author="Wulfrun_Phil" data-author-id="1548" data-author-count="5451" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649176" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1620		<li id="comment-5649177" class="comment byuser comment-author-taz even thread-even depth-1">
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1624						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1625
1626					<div class="comment-metadata">
1627						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649177"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:50:57+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:50</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1628
1629									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1630
1631				<div class="comment-content">
1632					<blockquote><p><b>Wulfrun_Phil:</b></p>
1633<blockquote>
1634<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1635<blockquote>
1636<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1637<blockquote>
1638<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1639<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
1640</blockquote>
1641<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
1642<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1643</blockquote>
1644<p>Ow am yam?</p>
1645</blockquote>
1646<p>Bostin result Sunday, wor it?</p>
1647</blockquote>
1648<p>Ar, it wor. For yow lot.</p>
1649<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649177" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649177" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649177%23comment-5649177">
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1657		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1658		<li id="comment-5649178" class="comment byuser comment-author-bondegezou odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1659			<article id="div-comment-5649178" class="comment-body">
1660				<footer class="comment-meta">
1661					<div class="comment-author vcard">
1662						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1598.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1598.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">bondegezou</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1663
1664					<div class="comment-metadata">
1665						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649178"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:52:52+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:52</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1666
1667									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1668
1669				<div class="comment-content">
1670					<blockquote><p><b>Andy_JS:</b></p>
1671<p>Telegraph journalist getting a bit over-excited.</p>
1672<p>“<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/d/da-de/daniel-johnson0/" rel="nofollow ugc">Daniel Johnson</a></p>
1673<p>I bet Kemi Badenoch would win a snap general election</p>
1674<p>The Conservative comeback is the most extraordinary phenomenon that British politics has seen for many years“</p>
1675<p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/</a></p>
1676</blockquote>
1677<p>Last 5 polls before Badenoch took over, average Conservative score 25.4%</p>
1678<p>Last 5 polls, average Conservative score 20.2%</p>
1679<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649178" data-author="bondegezou" data-author-id="1598" data-author-count="22875" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649178" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1685
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1688		<li id="comment-5649179" class="comment byuser comment-author-wulfrun_phil even thread-even depth-1">
1689			<article id="div-comment-5649179" class="comment-body">
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1692						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1548.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1548.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Wulfrun_Phil</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1693
1694					<div class="comment-metadata">
1695						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649179"><time datetime="2026-09-24T14:59:25+01:00">24/9/2026 at 14:59</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1696
1697									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1698
1699				<div class="comment-content">
1700					<p>Vote shares with Survation: Lab 28, Ref 24.2, Con 19.7, LD 10.7, Green 9.9, SNP 2.9, Plaid 1</p>
1701<p>Yet combined seat shares:</p>
1702<p>Lab +  LD 341 seats with 38.7% of the vote</p>
1703<p>Ref + Con 238 seats with 43.9% of the vote </p>
1704<p>The Labour and LD votes are just so much more efficiently distributed than those of Reform and the Conservatives. Factor that into your betting on most seats. That&#8217;s before tactical voting which Survation find could potentially increase the Labour seat share at the expense of Reform. (EDIT)</p>
1705<p>Meanwhile Greens have only 3 seats with 9.9% of the votes and must be at risk of a further tactical voting squeeze by Lab and LD in seats where those parties have incumbent MPs defending seats.</p>
1706<p>&nbsp;</p>
1707<p>&nbsp;</p>
1708<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649179" data-author="Wulfrun_Phil" data-author-id="1548" data-author-count="5451" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649179" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649179%23comment-5649179">
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1714
1715							</article><!-- .comment-body -->
1716		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1717		<li id="comment-5649180" class="comment byuser comment-author-blanchelivermore odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1718			<article id="div-comment-5649180" class="comment-body">
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1721						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5077.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5077.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">BlancheLivermore</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1722
1723					<div class="comment-metadata">
1724						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649180"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:02:32+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:02</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1725
1726									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1727
1728				<div class="comment-content">
1729					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1730<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
1731<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
1732<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
1733<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
1734<p>&nbsp;</p>
1735</blockquote>
1736<p>Have you, like me, copied Leon in not ending paragraphs with a full stop?</p>
1737<p>&nbsp;</p>
1738<p>Or is it a random coincidence?</p>
1739<p>&nbsp;</p>
1740<p>Or are you Leon?</p>
1741<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649180" data-author="BlancheLivermore" data-author-id="5077" data-author-count="8198" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649180" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1747
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1750		<li id="comment-5649181" class="comment byuser comment-author-decrepiterjohnl even thread-even depth-1">
1751			<article id="div-comment-5649181" class="comment-body">
1752				<footer class="comment-meta">
1753					<div class="comment-author vcard">
1754						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">DecrepiterJohnL</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1755
1756					<div class="comment-metadata">
1757						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649181"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:04:32+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:04</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1758
1759									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1760
1761				<div class="comment-content">
1762					<p>We have probably covered it although it&#8217;s not showing in a quick search, but Earl Spencer&#8217;s charge that the King said Diana would be forgotten in a week seems to come from an old Mitchell &amp; Webb sketch.</p>
1763<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Irvuafg5GM" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Irvuafg5GM</a></p>
1764<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649181" data-author="DecrepiterJohnL" data-author-id="4383" data-author-count="37784" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649181" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649181%23comment-5649181">
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1770
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1773		<li id="comment-5649182" class="comment byuser comment-author-feersumenjineeya odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1774			<article id="div-comment-5649182" class="comment-body">
1775				<footer class="comment-meta">
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1777						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2687.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2687.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">FeersumEnjineeya</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1778
1779					<div class="comment-metadata">
1780						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649182"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:05:36+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:05</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1781
1782									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1783
1784				<div class="comment-content">
1785					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1786<blockquote>
1787<p><b>Mexicanpete:</b></p>
1788<blockquote>
1789<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1790<blockquote>
1791<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1792<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
1793<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
1794</blockquote>
1795<p>Ow am yam?</p>
1796</blockquote>
1797<p>Bostin ta bab.</p>
1798</blockquote>
1799<p>I had a mate called Johnny Bostin, very apt name.. </p>
1800</blockquote>
1801<p>Remember Fuzzbox and their album Bostin Steve Austin? Part of the dubious soundtrack of my youth in Brum in the 1980s.</p>
1802<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649182" data-author="FeersumEnjineeya" data-author-id="2687" data-author-count="5465" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649182" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1808
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1811		<li id="comment-5649183" class="comment byuser comment-author-taz even thread-even depth-1">
1812			<article id="div-comment-5649183" class="comment-body">
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1815						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1816
1817					<div class="comment-metadata">
1818						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649183"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:09:14+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:09</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1819
1820									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1821
1822				<div class="comment-content">
1823					<blockquote><p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
1824<blockquote>
1825<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1826<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
1827<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
1828<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
1829<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
1830<p>&nbsp;</p>
1831</blockquote>
1832<p>Have you, like me, copied Leon in not ending paragraphs with a full stop?</p>
1833<p>&nbsp;</p>
1834<p>Or is it a random coincidence?</p>
1835<p>&nbsp;</p>
1836<p>Or are you Leon?</p>
1837</blockquote>
1838<p>I doubt Leon would have the encyclopaedic knowledge of Brum and Blues that Brixian has.</p>
1839<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649183" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649183" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649183%23comment-5649183">
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1848		<li id="comment-5649184" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1849			<article id="div-comment-5649184" class="comment-body">
1850				<footer class="comment-meta">
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1852						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1853
1854					<div class="comment-metadata">
1855						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649184"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:12:18+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:12</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1856
1857									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1858
1859				<div class="comment-content">
1860					<p>Along with the all the other economic divides in Britain, there is the enormous gulf between the over regulated and the deliberate scofflaws who ignore or flout all regulation.</p>
1861<p>Another story on that theme</p>
1862<p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/24/furnace-book-east-sussex-fishing-lake" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/24/furnace-book-east-sussex-fishing-lake</a></p>
1863<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649184" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649184" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1869
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1871		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1872		<li id="comment-5649185" class="comment byuser comment-author-mattw even thread-even depth-1">
1873			<article id="div-comment-5649185" class="comment-body">
1874				<footer class="comment-meta">
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1876						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1834.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1834.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">MattW</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1877
1878					<div class="comment-metadata">
1879						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649185"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:12:38+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:12</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1880
1881									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1882
1883				<div class="comment-content">
1884					<p>The proposals from James Orr&#8217;s (until recently) think tank to abolish the state pension are&#8230; Interesting.</p>
1885<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649185" data-author="MattW" data-author-id="1834" data-author-count="34500" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649185" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649185%23comment-5649185">
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1891
1892							</article><!-- .comment-body -->
1893		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1894		<li id="comment-5649186" class="comment byuser comment-author-taz odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1895			<article id="div-comment-5649186" class="comment-body">
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1898						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1899
1900					<div class="comment-metadata">
1901						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649186"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:16:07+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:16</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1902
1903									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1904
1905				<div class="comment-content">
1906					<blockquote><p><b>MattW:</b></p>
1907<p>The proposals from James Orr’s (until recently) think tank to abolish the state pension are… Interesting.</p>
1908</blockquote>
1909<p>How wonderfully vague </p>
1910<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649186" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649186" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1916
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1918		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1919		<li id="comment-5649187" class="comment byuser comment-author-kinabalu even thread-even depth-1">
1920			<article id="div-comment-5649187" class="comment-body">
1921				<footer class="comment-meta">
1922					<div class="comment-author vcard">
1923						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3191.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">kinabalu</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1924
1925					<div class="comment-metadata">
1926						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649187"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:16:56+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:16</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1927
1928									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1929
1930				<div class="comment-content">
1931					<blockquote><p><b>MattW:</b></p>
1932<p>The proposals from James Orr’s (until recently) think tank to abolish the state pension are… Interesting.</p>
1933</blockquote>
1934<p>Hashed out over lunch at Claridges, I imagine. </p>
1935<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649187" data-author="kinabalu" data-author-id="3191" data-author-count="51805" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649187" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649187%23comment-5649187">
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1941
1942							</article><!-- .comment-body -->
1943		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1944		<li id="comment-5649188" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
1945			<article id="div-comment-5649188" class="comment-body">
1946				<footer class="comment-meta">
1947					<div class="comment-author vcard">
1948						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1949
1950					<div class="comment-metadata">
1951						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649188"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:17:05+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:17</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1952
1953									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1954
1955				<div class="comment-content">
1956					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1957<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
1958<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
1959<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
1960<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
1961<p>&nbsp;</p>
1962</blockquote>
1963<p>Netanyahu is starting to jeopardise some of Israel&#8217;s longest standing relations with Arab states.</p>
1964<p><em><span>Jordan’s King Abdullah II speaking at the UN General Assembly: &#8220;No one in this Assembly should assume its (Israel) ambitions stop at Palestine. This Israeli government&#8217;s expansionist appetite is now a regional threat. And today, Syria is the warning the international community is choosing not to see.  </span></em></p>
1965<p><em><span>Repeated incursions, creeping territorial expansion, new facts imposed on the ground, including around vital water resources. Step by calculated step, Israel is testing how far it can go. And every time the international community looks away, Israel learns that it can go even further, across borderlines and legal limits.&#8221;</span></em> <br /><a href="https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629</a></p>
1966<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649188" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649188" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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1972
1973							</article><!-- .comment-body -->
1974		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
1975		<li id="comment-5649190" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb even thread-even depth-1">
1976			<article id="div-comment-5649190" class="comment-body">
1977				<footer class="comment-meta">
1978					<div class="comment-author vcard">
1979						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
1980
1981					<div class="comment-metadata">
1982						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649190"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:18:29+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:18</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
1983
1984									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
1985
1986				<div class="comment-content">
1987					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
1988<blockquote>
1989<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
1990<blockquote>
1991<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
1992<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
1993<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
1994<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
1995<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
1996<p>&nbsp;</p>
1997</blockquote>
1998<p>Have you, like me, copied Leon in not ending paragraphs with a full stop?</p>
1999<p>&nbsp;</p>
2000<p>Or is it a random coincidence?</p>
2001<p>&nbsp;</p>
2002<p>Or are you Leon?</p>
2003</blockquote>
2004<p>I doubt Leon would have the encyclopaedic knowledge of Brum and Blues that Brixian has.</p>
2005</blockquote>
2006<p>And was never able to sustain a different character (as opposed to alias) for any length of time.</p>
2007<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649190" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649190" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649190%23comment-5649190">
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2011        </div>
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2013
2014							</article><!-- .comment-body -->
2015		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
2016		<li id="comment-5649191" class="comment byuser comment-author-dopermean odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2017			<article id="div-comment-5649191" class="comment-body">
2018				<footer class="comment-meta">
2019					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2020						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/6171.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/6171.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Dopermean</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2021
2022					<div class="comment-metadata">
2023						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649191"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:19:43+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:19</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2024
2025									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2026
2027				<div class="comment-content">
2028					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2029<blockquote>
2030<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2031<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2032<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2033<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2034<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2035<p>&nbsp;</p>
2036</blockquote>
2037<p>Netanyahu is starting to jeopardise some of Israel’s longest standing relations with Arab states.</p>
2038<p><em>Jordan’s King Abdullah II speaking at the UN General Assembly: “No one in this Assembly should assume its (Israel) ambitions stop at Palestine. This Israeli government’s expansionist appetite is now a regional threat. And today, Syria is the warning the international community is choosing not to see.  </em></p>
2039<p><em>Repeated incursions, creeping territorial expansion, new facts imposed on the ground, including around vital water resources. Step by calculated step, Israel is testing how far it can go. And every time the international community looks away, Israel learns that it can go even further, across borderlines and legal limits.”</em> <br /><a href="https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629</a></p>
2040</blockquote>
2041<p>Lebanon clearing their throat loudly in the background?</p>
2042<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649191" data-author="Dopermean" data-author-id="6171" data-author-count="3761" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649191" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2048
2049							</article><!-- .comment-body -->
2050		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
2051		<li id="comment-5649192" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 even thread-even depth-1">
2052			<article id="div-comment-5649192" class="comment-body">
2053				<footer class="comment-meta">
2054					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2055						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2056
2057					<div class="comment-metadata">
2058						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649192"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:19:59+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:19</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2059
2060									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2061
2062				<div class="comment-content">
2063					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2064<blockquote>
2065<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2066<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2067<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2068<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2069<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2070<p>&nbsp;</p>
2071</blockquote>
2072<p>Netanyahu is starting to jeopardise some of Israel’s longest standing relations with Arab states.</p>
2073<p><em>Jordan’s King Abdullah II speaking at the UN General Assembly: “No one in this Assembly should assume its (Israel) ambitions stop at Palestine. This Israeli government’s expansionist appetite is now a regional threat. And today, Syria is the warning the international community is choosing not to see.  </em></p>
2074<p><em>Repeated incursions, creeping territorial expansion, new facts imposed on the ground, including around vital water resources. Step by calculated step, Israel is testing how far it can go. And every time the international community looks away, Israel learns that it can go even further, across borderlines and legal limits.”</em> <br /><a href="https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629</a></p>
2075</blockquote>
2076<p>Ouch </p>
2077<p>That is a very serious assessment. </p>
2078<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649192" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649192" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649192%23comment-5649192">
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2087		<li id="comment-5649193" class="comment byuser comment-author-blanchelivermore odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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2091						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5077.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5077.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">BlancheLivermore</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2092
2093					<div class="comment-metadata">
2094						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649193"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:20:00+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:20</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2095
2096									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2097
2098				<div class="comment-content">
2099					<blockquote><p><b>Taz:</b></p>
2100<blockquote>
2101<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2102<blockquote>
2103<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2104<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2105<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2106<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2107<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2108<p>&nbsp;</p>
2109</blockquote>
2110<p>Have you, like me, copied Leon in not ending paragraphs with a full stop?</p>
2111<p>&nbsp;</p>
2112<p>Or is it a random coincidence?</p>
2113<p>&nbsp;</p>
2114<p>Or are you Leon?</p>
2115</blockquote>
2116<p>I doubt Leon would have the encyclopaedic knowledge of Brum and Blues that Brixian has.</p>
2117</blockquote>
2118<p>Good point..</p>
2119<p>&nbsp;</p>
2120<p>Though I could imagine a scenario where Leon had an important character in a book that he was writing who was a mad lefty Brummie, and he did proper research (and probably got help from AI..)</p>
2121<p>&nbsp;</p>
2122<p>If Brixy is in fact Leon, it would be a mighty impressive deception </p>
2123<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649193" data-author="BlancheLivermore" data-author-id="5077" data-author-count="8198" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649193" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2129
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2132		<li id="comment-5649194" class="comment byuser comment-author-turbotubbs even thread-even depth-1">
2133			<article id="div-comment-5649194" class="comment-body">
2134				<footer class="comment-meta">
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2136						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3126.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3126.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">turbotubbs</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2137
2138					<div class="comment-metadata">
2139						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649194"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:21:38+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:21</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2140
2141									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2142
2143				<div class="comment-content">
2144					<blockquote><p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2145<blockquote>
2146<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
2147<blockquote>
2148<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2149<blockquote>
2150<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2151<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2152<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2153<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2154<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2155<p>&nbsp;</p>
2156</blockquote>
2157<p>Have you, like me, copied Leon in not ending paragraphs with a full stop?</p>
2158<p>&nbsp;</p>
2159<p>Or is it a random coincidence?</p>
2160<p>&nbsp;</p>
2161<p>Or are you Leon?</p>
2162</blockquote>
2163<p>I doubt Leon would have the encyclopaedic knowledge of Brum and Blues that Brixian has.</p>
2164</blockquote>
2165<p>Good point..</p>
2166<p>&nbsp;</p>
2167<p>Though I could imagine a scenario where Leon had an important character in a book that he was writing who was a mad lefty Brummie, and he did proper research (and probably got help from AI..)</p>
2168<p>&nbsp;</p>
2169<p>If Brixy is in fact Leon, it would be a mighty impressive deception </p>
2170</blockquote>
2171<p>If you follow Leon&#8217;s stalker, its quite clear that he has gone mad, believes that AI is sentient and that the world is about to end. Its quite amusing, in a sad kind of way.</p>
2172<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649194" data-author="turbotubbs" data-author-id="3126" data-author-count="24437" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649194" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649194%23comment-5649194">
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2178
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2181		<li id="comment-5649195" class="comment byuser comment-author-dopermean odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2182			<article id="div-comment-5649195" class="comment-body">
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2185						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/6171.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/6171.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Dopermean</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2186
2187					<div class="comment-metadata">
2188						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649195"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:22:06+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:22</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2189
2190									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2191
2192				<div class="comment-content">
2193					<blockquote><p><b>robert:</b></p>
2194<blockquote>
2195<p><b>Wulfrun_Phil:</b></p>
2196<p>Vote shares with Survation: Lab 28, Ref 24.2, Con 19.7, LD 10.7, Green 9.9, SNP 2.9, Plaid 1</p>
2197<p>Yet combined seat shares:</p>
2198<p>Lab +  LD 341 seats with 38.7% of the vote</p>
2199<p>Ref + Con 238 seats with 43.9% of the vote </p>
2200<p>The Labour and LD votes are just so much more efficiently distributed than those of Reform and the Conservatives. Factor that into your betting on most seats. That’s before tactical voting which Survation find could potentially increase the Labour seat share at the expense of Reform. (EDIT)</p>
2201<p>Meanwhile Greens have only 3 seats with 9.9% of the votes and must be at risk of a further tactical voting squeeze by Lab and LD in seats where those parties have incumbent MPs defending seats.</p>
2202<p>&nbsp;</p>
2203<p>&nbsp;</p>
2204</blockquote>
2205<p>I would expect that the Greens would probably end up being squeezed to around 6%, outside their heartlands. (They also, even more than the other parties, have split personality between their two wings: their MPs are -largely- in the countryside, and benefited from what I might describe as concern fgo</p>
2206</blockquote>
2207<p>Lab-SNP-Green vs LD-CON-Reform would be my (look at the rest of Europe) hypothesis&#8230;</p>
2208<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649195" data-author="Dopermean" data-author-id="6171" data-author-count="3761" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649195" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2217		<li id="comment-5649196" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 even thread-even depth-1">
2218			<article id="div-comment-5649196" class="comment-body">
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2221						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2222
2223					<div class="comment-metadata">
2224						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649196"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:23:50+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:23</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2225
2226									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2227
2228				<div class="comment-content">
2229					<blockquote><p><b>bondegezou:</b></p>
2230<blockquote>
2231<p><b>Andy_JS:</b></p>
2232<p>Telegraph journalist getting a bit over-excited.</p>
2233<p>“<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/d/da-de/daniel-johnson0/" rel="nofollow ugc">Daniel Johnson</a></p>
2234<p>I bet Kemi Badenoch would win a snap general election</p>
2235<p>The Conservative comeback is the most extraordinary phenomenon that British politics has seen for many years“</p>
2236<p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/</a></p>
2237</blockquote>
2238<p>Last 5 polls before Badenoch took over, average Conservative score 25.4%</p>
2239<p>Last 5 polls, average Conservative score 20.2%</p>
2240</blockquote>
2241<p>Thats ever more marked evidence of the bullcrapping going on in the media than I&#8217;d imagined. </p>
2242<p>That would normally be a call from the 1922 committee about letters going in. </p>
2243<p>It&#8217;s a mark of the decline of the Tories that complete disinterest of many and the growing strength of the cult has neutered the 1922 </p>
2244<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649196" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649196" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649196%23comment-5649196">
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2250
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2253		<li id="comment-5649197" class="comment byuser comment-author-onlylivingboy odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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2257						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3877.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3877.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">OnlyLivingBoy</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2258
2259					<div class="comment-metadata">
2260						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649197"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:27:01+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:27</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2261
2262									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2263
2264				<div class="comment-content">
2265					<blockquote><p><b>Mellonby:</b></p>
2266<blockquote>
2267<p><b>OnlyLivingBoy:</b></p>
2268<blockquote>
2269<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
2270<p>I like the word Kibosh. I will use it more in conversation </p>
2271</blockquote>
2272<p>Belgium put the kibosh on the Kaiser. </p>
2273</blockquote>
2274<p>Europe took the stick and made ‘im sore. </p>
2275</blockquote>
2276<p>I&#8217;ve been in two separate productions of Oh What a Lovely War.</p>
2277<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649197" data-author="OnlyLivingBoy" data-author-id="3877" data-author-count="18767" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649197" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2286		<li id="comment-5649200" class="comment byuser comment-author-sunil_prasannan even thread-even depth-1">
2287			<article id="div-comment-5649200" class="comment-body">
2288				<footer class="comment-meta">
2289					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2290						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Sunil_Prasannan</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2291
2292					<div class="comment-metadata">
2293						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649200"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:33:26+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:33</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2294
2295									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2296
2297				<div class="comment-content">
2298					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2299<blockquote>
2300<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2301<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2302<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2303<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2304<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2305<p>&nbsp;</p>
2306</blockquote>
2307<p>Netanyahu is starting to jeopardise some of Israel’s longest standing relations with Arab states.</p>
2308<p><em>Jordan’s King Abdullah II speaking at the UN General Assembly: “No one in this Assembly should assume its (Israel) ambitions stop at Palestine. This Israeli government’s expansionist appetite is now a regional threat. And today, Syria is the warning the international community is choosing not to see.  </em></p>
2309<p><em>Repeated incursions, creeping territorial expansion, new facts imposed on the ground, including around vital water resources. Step by calculated step, Israel is testing how far it can go. And every time the international community looks away, Israel learns that it can go even further, across borderlines and legal limits.”</em> <br /><a href="https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629</a></p>
2310</blockquote>
2311<p>22 Arab League States = 13,000,000 sq. km. total area (roughly 3/4 size of Russia).</p>
2312<p>Israel inc. territories = 22,000 sq. km. area (roughly the size of&#8230; Wales).</p>
2313<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649200" data-author="Sunil_Prasannan" data-author-id="1011" data-author-count="60826" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649200" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649200%23comment-5649200">
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2322		<li id="comment-5649201" class="comment byuser comment-author-bondegezou odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2323			<article id="div-comment-5649201" class="comment-body">
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2326						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1598.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1598.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">bondegezou</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2327
2328					<div class="comment-metadata">
2329						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649201"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:36:19+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:36</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2330
2331									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2332
2333				<div class="comment-content">
2334					<blockquote><p><b>Sunil_Prasannan:</b></p>
2335<blockquote>
2336<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2337<blockquote>
2338<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2339<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2340<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2341<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2342<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2343<p>&nbsp;</p>
2344</blockquote>
2345<p>Netanyahu is starting to jeopardise some of Israel’s longest standing relations with Arab states.</p>
2346<p><em>Jordan’s King Abdullah II speaking at the UN General Assembly: “No one in this Assembly should assume its (Israel) ambitions stop at Palestine. This Israeli government’s expansionist appetite is now a regional threat. And today, Syria is the warning the international community is choosing not to see.  </em></p>
2347<p><em>Repeated incursions, creeping territorial expansion, new facts imposed on the ground, including around vital water resources. Step by calculated step, Israel is testing how far it can go. And every time the international community looks away, Israel learns that it can go even further, across borderlines and legal limits.”</em> <br /><a href="https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629</a></p>
2348</blockquote>
2349<p>22 Arab League States = 13,000,000 sq. km. total area (roughly 3/4 size of Russia).</p>
2350<p>Israel inc. territories = 22,000 sq. km. area (roughly the size of… Wales).</p>
2351</blockquote>
2352<p>But one of those numbers is growing and one is shrinking.</p>
2353<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649201" data-author="bondegezou" data-author-id="1598" data-author-count="22875" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649201" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649201%23comment-5649201">
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2359
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2361		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
2362		<li id="comment-5649202" class="comment byuser comment-author-marqueemark even thread-even depth-1">
2363			<article id="div-comment-5649202" class="comment-body">
2364				<footer class="comment-meta">
2365					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2366						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1149.JPG' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1149.JPG 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">MarqueeMark</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2367
2368					<div class="comment-metadata">
2369						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649202"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:37:35+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:37</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2370
2371									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2372
2373				<div class="comment-content">
2374					<blockquote><p><b>FeersumEnjineeya:</b></p>
2375<blockquote>
2376<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2377<blockquote>
2378<p><b>Mexicanpete:</b></p>
2379<blockquote>
2380<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
2381<p>Ow am yam?</p>
2382</blockquote>
2383<p>Bostin ta bab.</p>
2384</blockquote>
2385<p>I had a mate called Johnny Bostin, very apt name.. </p>
2386</blockquote>
2387<p>Remember Fuzzbox and their album Bostin Steve Austin? Part of the dubious soundtrack of my youth in Brum in the 1980s.</p>
2388</blockquote>
2389<p>Saw Fuzzbox a number of times&#8230; They were quite cute!</p>
2390<p>Same bill as Ted Chippington on one occassion. </p>
2391<p>&nbsp;</p>
2392<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649202" data-author="MarqueeMark" data-author-id="1149" data-author-count="61202" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649202" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2398
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2401		<li id="comment-5649203" class="comment byuser comment-author-xotgd odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2402			<article id="div-comment-5649203" class="comment-body">
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2405						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">xotGD</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2406
2407					<div class="comment-metadata">
2408						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649203"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:39:06+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:39</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2409
2410									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2411
2412				<div class="comment-content">
2413					<p>I&#8217;m happy for Reform to do badly. I&#8217;m less happy if that means the Conservatives doing well. </p>
2414<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649203" data-author="xotGD" data-author-id="7272" data-author-count="240" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649203" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649203%23comment-5649203">
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2420
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2423		<li id="comment-5649204" class="comment byuser comment-author-xotgd even thread-even depth-1">
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2427						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">xotGD</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2428
2429					<div class="comment-metadata">
2430						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649204"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:39:52+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:39</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2431
2432									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2433
2434				<div class="comment-content">
2435					<p>Today we visit Chester&#8230;</p>
2436<p><img src="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Clock.jpg" alt="" /></p>
2437<p>&nbsp;</p>
2438<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649204" data-author="xotGD" data-author-id="7272" data-author-count="240" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649204" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2447		<li id="comment-5649205" class="comment byuser comment-author-decrepiterjohnl odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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2451						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">DecrepiterJohnL</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2452
2453					<div class="comment-metadata">
2454						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649205"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:40:00+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:40</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2455
2456									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2457
2458				<div class="comment-content">
2459					<blockquote><p><b>Sunil_Prasannan:</b></p>
2460<blockquote>
2461<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2462<blockquote>
2463<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2464<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2465<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2466<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2467<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2468<p>&nbsp;</p>
2469</blockquote>
2470<p>Netanyahu is starting to jeopardise some of Israel’s longest standing relations with Arab states.</p>
2471<p><em>Jordan’s King Abdullah II speaking at the UN General Assembly: “No one in this Assembly should assume its (Israel) ambitions stop at Palestine. This Israeli government’s expansionist appetite is now a regional threat. And today, Syria is the warning the international community is choosing not to see.  </em></p>
2472<p><em>Repeated incursions, creeping territorial expansion, new facts imposed on the ground, including around vital water resources. Step by calculated step, Israel is testing how far it can go. And every time the international community looks away, Israel learns that it can go even further, across borderlines and legal limits.”</em> <br /><a href="https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629</a></p>
2473</blockquote>
2474<p>22 Arab League States = 13,000,000 sq. km. total area (roughly 3/4 size of Russia).</p>
2475<p>Israel inc. territories = 22,000 sq. km. area (roughly the size of… Wales).</p>
2476</blockquote>
2477<p>Key word: water.</p>
2478<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649205" data-author="DecrepiterJohnL" data-author-id="4383" data-author-count="37784" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649205" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649205%23comment-5649205">
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2487		<li id="comment-5649206" class="comment byuser comment-author-decrepiterjohnl even thread-even depth-1">
2488			<article id="div-comment-5649206" class="comment-body">
2489				<footer class="comment-meta">
2490					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2491						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">DecrepiterJohnL</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2492
2493					<div class="comment-metadata">
2494						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649206"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:42:52+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:42</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2495
2496									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2497
2498				<div class="comment-content">
2499					<blockquote><p><b>Sunil_Prasannan:</b></p>
2500<blockquote>
2501<p><b>DecrepiterJohnL:</b></p>
2502<blockquote>
2503<p><b>Sunil_Prasannan:</b></p>
2504<blockquote>
2505<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2506<p>Bit of a west midland word that. </p>
2507<p>Yove put  ky bosh  on that then </p>
2508</blockquote>
2509<p><i>kibosh(n.)</i></p>
2510<p>1836, kye-bosk, in British English slang phrase put the kibosh on, of unknown origin, despite intense speculation. The earliest citation is in Dickens. Looks Yiddish, but its original appearance in a piece set in the heavily Irish “Seven Dials” neighborhood in the West End of London seems to argue against this.</p>
2511<p>One candidate is Irish caip bháis, caipín báis “cap of death,” sometimes said to be the black cap a judge would don when pronouncing a death sentence, but in other sources this is identified as a gruesome method of execution “employed by Brit. forces against 1798 insurgents” [Bernard Share, “Slanguage, A Dictionary of Irish Slang”]. Coles’ dictionary of “difficult terms” (1684) has cabos’d “having the head cut off close to the shoulders.” Or the word might somehow be connected with Turkish bosh (see bosh).</p>
2512<p><a href="https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.etymonline.com/word/kibosh</a></p>
2513</blockquote>
2514<p>They did “kybosh” on Countdown this week.</p>
2515</blockquote>
2516<p>“Kiboshed”, in fact (tea-time teaser).</p>
2517</blockquote>
2518<p>With Susie &amp; Neil discussing its possible derivation from Irish.</p>
2519<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649206" data-author="DecrepiterJohnL" data-author-id="4383" data-author-count="37784" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649206" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649206%23comment-5649206">
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2528		<li id="comment-5649207" class="comment byuser comment-author-taz odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2529			<article id="div-comment-5649207" class="comment-body">
2530				<footer class="comment-meta">
2531					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2532						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4990.webp?v=1787075927 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Taz</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2533
2534					<div class="comment-metadata">
2535						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649207"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:52:41+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:52</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2536
2537									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2538
2539				<div class="comment-content">
2540					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2541<blockquote>
2542<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2543<blockquote>
2544<p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
2545<p>Mutterings of ructions in New York </p>
2546<p>May require Trump to personally get Netanyahu from his plane to UN compound by chopper</p>
2547<p>Memdani got Israeli intelligence very twitchy about grandstanding arrest by NYPD</p>
2548<p>Would be the best live TV since OJ</p>
2549<p>&nbsp;</p>
2550</blockquote>
2551<p>Netanyahu is starting to jeopardise some of Israel’s longest standing relations with Arab states.</p>
2552<p><em>Jordan’s King Abdullah II speaking at the UN General Assembly: “No one in this Assembly should assume its (Israel) ambitions stop at Palestine. This Israeli government’s expansionist appetite is now a regional threat. And today, Syria is the warning the international community is choosing not to see.  </em></p>
2553<p><em>Repeated incursions, creeping territorial expansion, new facts imposed on the ground, including around vital water resources. Step by calculated step, Israel is testing how far it can go. And every time the international community looks away, Israel learns that it can go even further, across borderlines and legal limits.”</em> <br /><a href="https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629" rel="nofollow ugc">https://x.com/Levant_24_/status/2102428381438427629</a></p>
2554</blockquote>
2555<p>Ouch </p>
2556<p>That is a very serious assessment. </p>
2557</blockquote>
2558<p>He’s not wrong either and it’s been going on for years.</p>
2559<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649207" data-author="Taz" data-author-id="4990" data-author-count="31128" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649207" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2568		<li id="comment-5649208" class="comment byuser comment-author-robert even thread-even depth-1">
2569			<article id="div-comment-5649208" class="comment-body">
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2572						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn"><a href="http://amoral.org" class="url" rel="ugc external nofollow">robert</a></b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2573
2574					<div class="comment-metadata">
2575						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649208"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:53:56+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:53</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2576
2577									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2578
2579				<div class="comment-content">
2580					<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
2581<p>Uh oh. NYT poll puts Collins 3 pts up in Maine. Without Maine the DEM path to Senate control is a black run. </p>
2582</blockquote>
2583<p>I think the better the national picture is for the Dems, the easier it is for moderates in Maine to vote for Susan Collins.</p>
2584<p>She will probably be the only Republican to outperfom Trump&#8217;s 2024 performance in their State. And it may well be enough. </p>
2585<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649208" data-author="robert" data-author-id="2" data-author-count="65302" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649208" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649208%23comment-5649208">
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2591
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2594		<li id="comment-5649209" class="comment byuser comment-author-robert odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2595			<article id="div-comment-5649209" class="comment-body">
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2597					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2598						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn"><a href="http://amoral.org" class="url" rel="ugc external nofollow">robert</a></b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2599
2600					<div class="comment-metadata">
2601						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649209"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:56:48+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:56</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2602
2603									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2604
2605				<div class="comment-content">
2606					<blockquote><p><b>turbotubbs:</b></p>
2607<blockquote>
2608<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2609<blockquote>
2610<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
2611<blockquote>
2612<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2613<p>Have you, like me, copied Leon in not ending paragraphs with a full stop?</p>
2614<p>&nbsp;</p>
2615<p>Or is it a random coincidence?</p>
2616<p>&nbsp;</p>
2617<p>Or are you Leon?</p>
2618</blockquote>
2619<p>I doubt Leon would have the encyclopaedic knowledge of Brum and Blues that Brixian has.</p>
2620</blockquote>
2621<p>Good point..</p>
2622<p>&nbsp;</p>
2623<p>Though I could imagine a scenario where Leon had an important character in a book that he was writing who was a mad lefty Brummie, and he did proper research (and probably got help from AI..)</p>
2624<p>&nbsp;</p>
2625<p>If Brixy is in fact Leon, it would be a mighty impressive deception </p>
2626</blockquote>
2627<p>If you follow Leon’s stalker, its quite clear that he has gone mad, believes that AI is sentient and that the world is about to end. Its quite amusing, in a sad kind of way.</p>
2628</blockquote>
2629<p>This is clearly some new meaning of the word &#8216;gone&#8217; that I was previously unaware of.</p>
2630<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649209" data-author="robert" data-author-id="2" data-author-count="65302" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649209" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2636
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2638		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
2639		<li id="comment-5649210" class="comment byuser comment-author-xotgd even thread-even depth-1">
2640			<article id="div-comment-5649210" class="comment-body">
2641				<footer class="comment-meta">
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2643						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">xotGD</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2644
2645					<div class="comment-metadata">
2646						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649210"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:57:30+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:57</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2647
2648									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2649
2650				<div class="comment-content">
2651					<blockquote><p><b>turbotubbs:</b></p>
2652<blockquote>
2653<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2654<blockquote>
2655<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
2656<blockquote>
2657<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2658<p>Have you, like me, copied Leon in not ending paragraphs with a full stop?</p>
2659<p>&nbsp;</p>
2660<p>Or is it a random coincidence?</p>
2661<p>&nbsp;</p>
2662<p>Or are you Leon?</p>
2663</blockquote>
2664<p>I doubt Leon would have the encyclopaedic knowledge of Brum and Blues that Brixian has.</p>
2665</blockquote>
2666<p>Good point..</p>
2667<p>&nbsp;</p>
2668<p>Though I could imagine a scenario where Leon had an important character in a book that he was writing who was a mad lefty Brummie, and he did proper research (and probably got help from AI..)</p>
2669<p>&nbsp;</p>
2670<p>If Brixy is in fact Leon, it would be a mighty impressive deception </p>
2671</blockquote>
2672<p>If you follow Leon’s stalker, its quite clear that he has gone mad, believes that AI is sentient and that the world is about to end. Its quite amusing, in a sad kind of way.</p>
2673</blockquote>
2674<p>If we all end up dead, he&#8217;ll be able to say &#8220;I told you so&#8221;.</p>
2675<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649210" data-author="xotGD" data-author-id="7272" data-author-count="240" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649210" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649210%23comment-5649210">
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2681
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2684		<li id="comment-5649211" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2685			<article id="div-comment-5649211" class="comment-body">
2686				<footer class="comment-meta">
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2688						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2689
2690					<div class="comment-metadata">
2691						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649211"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:57:54+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:57</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2692
2693									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2694
2695				<div class="comment-content">
2696					<blockquote><p><b>robert:</b></p>
2697<blockquote>
2698<p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
2699<p>Uh oh. NYT poll puts Collins 3 pts up in Maine. Without Maine the DEM path to Senate control is a black run. </p>
2700</blockquote>
2701<p>I think the better the national picture is for the Dems, the easier it is for moderates in Maine to vote for Susan Collins.<
2701/p>
2702<p>She will probably be the only Republican to outperfom Trump’s 2024 performance in their State. And it may well be enough. </p>
2703</blockquote>
2704<p>Quite possibly. Unless the bribery story has legs.</p>
2705<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649211" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649211" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649211%23comment-5649211">
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2711
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2714		<li id="comment-5649212" class="comment byuser comment-author-big_g_northwales even thread-even depth-1">
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2716				<footer class="comment-meta">
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2718						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2087.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2087.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Big_G_NorthWales</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2719
2720					<div class="comment-metadata">
2721						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649212"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:58:25+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:58</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2722
2723									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2724
2725				<div class="comment-content">
2726					<p>I have said it before and I will say it again</p>
2727<p>The leader who can win the argument on the Economy, Immigration and Defence will be the next PM</p>
2728<p>&nbsp;</p>
2729<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649212" data-author="Big_G_NorthWales" data-author-id="2087" data-author-count="72889" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649212" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649212%23comment-5649212">
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2735
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2738		<li id="comment-5649213" class="comment byuser comment-author-marqueemark odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2739			<article id="div-comment-5649213" class="comment-body">
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2742						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1149.JPG' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1149.JPG 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">MarqueeMark</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2743
2744					<div class="comment-metadata">
2745						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649213"><time datetime="2026-09-24T15:59:20+01:00">24/9/2026 at 15:59</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2746
2747									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2748
2749				<div class="comment-content">
2750					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2751<blockquote>
2752<p><b>robert:</b></p>
2753<blockquote>
2754<p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
2755<p>Uh oh. NYT poll puts Collins 3 pts up in Maine. Without Maine the DEM path to Senate control is a black run. </p>
2756</blockquote>
2757<p>I think the better the national picture is for the Dems, the easier it is for moderates in Maine to vote for Susan Collins.<
2757/p>
2758<p>She will probably be the only Republican to outperfom Trump’s 2024 performance in their State. And it may well be enough. </p>
2759</blockquote>
2760<p>Quite possibly. Unless the bribery story has legs.</p>
2761</blockquote>
2762<p>That will have come to light after the polling for the one with her leading. </p>
2763<p>Looks well sourced.</p>
2764<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649213" data-author="MarqueeMark" data-author-id="1149" data-author-count="61202" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649213" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649213%23comment-5649213">
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2770
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2773		<li id="comment-5649214" class="comment byuser comment-author-ianb2 even thread-even depth-1">
2774			<article id="div-comment-5649214" class="comment-body">
2775				<footer class="comment-meta">
2776					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2777						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1178.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1178.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">IanB2</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2778
2779					<div class="comment-metadata">
2780						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649214"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:00:04+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:00</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2781
2782									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2783
2784				<div class="comment-content">
2785					<p>I don’t doubt that anti Reform tactical voting will be powerful at the next election, having seen it at work during the last local elections.</p>
2786<p>&nbsp;</p>
2787<p>The question is whether it does the Tories any good.  I suspect it won’t, very much.  Outside a few urban seats, the voters’ ability to work out which of Labour or LibDem stands the best chance in their local area means that the two parties are effectively at ceasefire.  Which certainly isn’t the case with the two parties still chasing the fools gold of right wing populism.</p>
2788<p>Meanwhile I am having dinner down a Sofia back street while at the end of the road about two hundred riot police await what the restaurant suggests is tonights local football match.</p>
2789<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649214" data-author="IanB2" data-author-id="1178" data-author-count="55934" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649214" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649214%23comment-5649214">
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2795
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2797		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
2798		<li id="comment-5649215" class="comment byuser comment-author-marqueemark odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2799			<article id="div-comment-5649215" class="comment-body">
2800				<footer class="comment-meta">
2801					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2802						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1149.JPG' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1149.JPG 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">MarqueeMark</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2803
2804					<div class="comment-metadata">
2805						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649215"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:00:25+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:00</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2806
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2808
2809				<div class="comment-content">
2810					<blockquote><p><b>xotGD:</b></p>
2811<p>I’m happy for Reform to do badly. I’m less happy if that means the Conservatives doing well. </p>
2812</blockquote>
2813<p>Tough!</p>
2814<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649215" data-author="MarqueeMark" data-author-id="1149" data-author-count="61202" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649215" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649215%23comment-5649215">
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2820
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2822		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
2823		<li id="comment-5649216" class="comment byuser comment-author-foxy even thread-even depth-1">
2824			<article id="div-comment-5649216" class="comment-body">
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2826					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2827						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3360.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3360.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Foxy</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2828
2829					<div class="comment-metadata">
2830						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649216"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:00:29+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:00</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2831
2832									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2833
2834				<div class="comment-content">
2835					<blockquote><p><b>xotGD:</b></p>
2836<blockquote>
2837<p><b>turbotubbs:</b></p>
2838<blockquote>
2839<p><b>BlancheLivermore:</b></p>
2840<blockquote>
2841<p><b>Taz:</b></p>
2842<p>I doubt Leon would have the encyclopaedic knowledge of Brum and Blues that Brixian has.</p>
2843</blockquote>
2844<p>Good point..</p>
2845<p>&nbsp;</p>
2846<p>Though I could imagine a scenario where Leon had an important character in a book that he was writing who was a mad lefty Brummie, and he did proper research (and probably got help from AI..)</p>
2847<p>&nbsp;</p>
2848<p>If Brixy is in fact Leon, it would be a mighty impressive deception </p>
2849</blockquote>
2850<p>If you follow Leon’s stalker, its quite clear that he has gone mad, believes that AI is sentient and that the world is about to end. Its quite amusing, in a sad kind of way.</p>
2851</blockquote>
2852<p>If we all end up dead, he’ll be able to say “I told you so”.</p>
2853</blockquote>
2854<p><img src="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/24921.jpg" alt="" /></p>
2855<p><a href="https://bsky.app/profile/sundaedivine.lol/post/3mw6nc7wifk2z" rel="nofollow ugc">https://bsky.app/profile/sundaedivine.lol/post/3mw6nc7wifk2z</a></p>
2856<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649216" data-author="Foxy" data-author-id="3360" data-author-count="57944" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649216" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2862
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2864		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
2865		<li id="comment-5649217" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2866			<article id="div-comment-5649217" class="comment-body">
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2869						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2870
2871					<div class="comment-metadata">
2872						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649217"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:01:23+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:01</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2873
2874									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2875
2876				<div class="comment-content">
2877					<p>My stat of the day.</p>
2878<p>Europe has the world&#8217;s most advanced, and largest (by global sales) semiconductor fab equipment manufacturer. Currently, zero percent of its sales are in Europe.</p>
2879<p>That&#8217;s both absurd, and will be in time, economically disastrous.</p>
2880<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649217" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649217" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649217%23comment-5649217">
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2886
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2889		<li id="comment-5649218" class="comment byuser comment-author-big_g_northwales even thread-even depth-1">
2890			<article id="div-comment-5649218" class="comment-body">
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2893						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2087.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2087.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Big_G_NorthWales</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2894
2895					<div class="comment-metadata">
2896						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649218"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:02:15+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:02</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2897
2898									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2899
2900				<div class="comment-content">
2901					<p>Seems media have only stills of Xi meeting with Trump due to the media ban</p>
2902<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649218" data-author="Big_G_NorthWales" data-author-id="2087" data-author-count="72889" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649218" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2908
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2911		<li id="comment-5649219" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2912			<article id="div-comment-5649219" class="comment-body">
2913				<footer class="comment-meta">
2914					<div class="comment-author vcard">
2915						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2916
2917					<div class="comment-metadata">
2918						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649219"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:02:25+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:02</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2919
2920									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2921
2922				<div class="comment-content">
2923					<blockquote><p><b>MarqueeMark:</b></p>
2924<blockquote>
2925<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
2926<blockquote>
2927<p><b>robert:</b></p>
2928<blockquote>
2929<p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
2930<p>Uh oh. NYT poll puts Collins 3 pts up in Maine. Without Maine the DEM path to Senate control is a black run. </p>
2931</blockquote>
2932<p>I think the better the national picture is for the Dems, the easier it is for moderates in Maine to vote for Susan Collins.</p>
2933<p>She will probably be the only Republican to outperfom Trump’s 2024 performance in their State. And it may well be enough. </p>
2934</blockquote>
2935<p>Quite possibly. Unless the bribery story has legs.</p>
2936</blockquote>
2937<p>That will have come to light after the polling for the one with her leading. </p>
2938<p>Looks well sourced.</p>
2939</blockquote>
2940<p>It did. Hence the caveat.</p>
2941<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649219" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649219" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649219%23comment-5649219">
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2947
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2950		<li id="comment-5649220" class="comment byuser comment-author-xotgd even thread-even depth-1">
2951			<article id="div-comment-5649220" class="comment-body">
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2954						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">xotGD</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2955
2956					<div class="comment-metadata">
2957						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649220"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:02:34+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:02</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2958
2959									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2960
2961				<div class="comment-content">
2962					<blockquote><p><b>Andy_JS:</b></p>
2963<p>Telegraph journalist getting a bit over-excited.</p>
2964<p>“<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/d/da-de/daniel-johnson0/" rel="nofollow ugc">Daniel Johnson</a></p>
2965<p>I bet Kemi Badenoch would win a snap general election</p>
2966<p>The Conservative comeback is the most extraordinary phenomenon that British politics has seen for many years“</p>
2967<p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/</a></p>
2968</blockquote>
2969<p>Under what circumstances would Burnham call a snap election with the expectation that the Conservatives would end up with a majority?</p>
2970<p>He&#8217;s the Mancunian candidate, not the Manchurian candidate.</p>
2971<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649220" data-author="xotGD" data-author-id="7272" data-author-count="240" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649220" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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2977
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2980		<li id="comment-5649221" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
2981			<article id="div-comment-5649221" class="comment-body">
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2984						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
2985
2986					<div class="comment-metadata">
2987						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649221"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:05:30+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:05</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
2988
2989									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
2990
2991				<div class="comment-content">
2992					<p>A wicket early in the penultimate over is an excellent thing.</p>
2993<p>edit antepenultimate</p>
2994<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649221" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649221" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649221%23comment-5649221">
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3000
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3002		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
3003		<li id="comment-5649222" class="comment byuser comment-author-malmesbury even thread-even depth-1">
3004			<article id="div-comment-5649222" class="comment-body">
3005				<footer class="comment-meta">
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3007						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2498.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2498.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Malmesbury</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3008
3009					<div class="comment-metadata">
3010						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649222"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:12:04+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:12</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3011
3012									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3013
3014				<div class="comment-content">
3015					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
3016<p>My stat of the day.</p>
3017<p>Europe has the world’s most advanced, and largest (by global sales) semiconductor fab equipment manufacturer. Currently, zero percent of its sales are in Europe.</p>
3018<p>That’s both absurd, and will be in time, economically disastrous.</p>
3019</blockquote>
3020<p>As with IT, cars, space flight and biotechnology, just tell yourself</p>
3021<p>&#8211; Europe is doing fine</p>
3022<p>&#8211; Changing thing would be bad (insert reasons here)</p>
3023<p>&#8211; We can catch up later.</p>
3024<p>&#8211; The so called advances aren’t real and are no good for Europe anyway.</p>
3025<p>&nbsp;</p>
3026<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649222" data-author="Malmesbury" data-author-id="2498" data-author-count="65310" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649222" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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3032
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3035		<li id="comment-5649223" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
3036			<article id="div-comment-5649223" class="comment-body">
3037				<footer class="comment-meta">
3038					<div class="comment-author vcard">
3039						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3040
3041					<div class="comment-metadata">
3042						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649223"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:19:47+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:19</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3043
3044									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3045
3046				<div class="comment-content">
3047					<blockquote>
3048<blockquote><p><b>xotGD:</b></p>
3049<blockquote>
3050<p><b>Andy_JS:</b></p>
3051<p>Telegraph journalist getting a bit over-excited.</p>
3052<p>“<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/d/da-de/daniel-johnson0/" rel="nofollow ugc">Daniel Johnson</a></p>
3053<p>I bet Kemi Badenoch would win a snap general election</p>
3054<p>The Conservative comeback is the most extraordinary phenomenon that British politics has seen for many years“</p>
3055<p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/</a></p>
3056</blockquote>
3057<p>Under what circumstances would Burnham call a snap election with the expectation that the Conservatives would end up with a majority?</p>
3058<p>He’s the Mancunian candidate, not the Manchurian candidate.</p>
3059</blockquote>
3060<p>You do very well to fill a Mancunian Bus Shelter who would believe the Tories could win a majority. </p>
3061<p><b>xotGD:</b></p>
3062<blockquote>
3063<p><b>Andy_JS:</b></p>
3064<p>Telegraph journalist getting a bit over-excited.</p>
3065<p>“<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/d/da-de/daniel-johnson0/" rel="nofollow ugc">Daniel Johnson</a></p>
3066<p>I bet Kemi Badenoch would win a snap general election</p>
3067<p>The Conservative comeback is the most extraordinary phenomenon that British politics has seen for many years“</p>
3068<p><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/09/24/i-bet-kemi-badenoch-would-win-a-snap-general-election/</a></p>
3069</blockquote>
3070<p>Under what circumstances would Burnham call a snap election with the expectation that the Conservatives would end up with a majority?</p>
3071<p>He’s the Mancunian candidate, not the Manchurian candidate.</p>
3072</blockquote>
3073<p>&nbsp;</p>
3074<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649223" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649223" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649223%23comment-5649223">
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3080
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3083		<li id="comment-5649224" class="comment byuser comment-author-andy_js even thread-even depth-1">
3084			<article id="div-comment-5649224" class="comment-body">
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3086					<div class="comment-author vcard">
3087						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1460.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1460.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Andy_JS</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3088
3089					<div class="comment-metadata">
3090						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649224"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:22:19+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:22</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3091
3092									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3093
3094				<div class="comment-content">
3095					<p>&#8220;<span>781 migrants arrive in small boats in 2026 record</span><span>&#8220;</span></p>
3096<p><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwz0z597m471o" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwz0z597m471o</a></p>
3097<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649224" data-author="Andy_JS" data-author-id="1460" data-author-count="41534" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649224" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649224%23comment-5649224">
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3103
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3106		<li id="comment-5649225" class="comment byuser comment-author-decrepiterjohnl odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
3107			<article id="div-comment-5649225" class="comment-body">
3108				<footer class="comment-meta">
3109					<div class="comment-author vcard">
3110						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/4383.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">DecrepiterJohnL</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3111
3112					<div class="comment-metadata">
3113						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649225"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:22:40+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:22</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3114
3115									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3116
3117				<div class="comment-content">
3118					<p><em>UK Space Cooling Market Landscape Update</em></p>
3119<p><a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6aabbc0f2f29b3888481860a/uk-space-cooling-market-landscape-update-report.pdf" rel="nofollow ugc">https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6aabbc0f2f29b3888481860a/uk-space-cooling-market-landscape-update-report.pdf</a></p>
3120<p>&nbsp;</p>
3121<p>New government report on air conditioning systems.</p>
3122<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649225" data-author="DecrepiterJohnL" data-author-id="4383" data-author-count="37784" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649225" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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3128
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3131		<li id="comment-5649226" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 even thread-even depth-1">
3132			<article id="div-comment-5649226" class="comment-body">
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3135						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3136
3137					<div class="comment-metadata">
3138						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649226"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:23:04+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:23</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3139
3140									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3141
3142				<div class="comment-content">
3143					<p>Elucidate </p>
3144<p>The buzzword next week. </p>
3145<p>&nbsp;</p>
3146<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649226" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649226" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649226%23comment-5649226">
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3152
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3154		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
3155		<li id="comment-5649227" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
3156			<article id="div-comment-5649227" class="comment-body">
3157				<footer class="comment-meta">
3158					<div class="comment-author vcard">
3159						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3160
3161					<div class="comment-metadata">
3162						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649227"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:23:36+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:23</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3163
3164									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3165
3166				<div class="comment-content">
3167					<blockquote><p><b>Malmesbury:</b></p>
3168<blockquote>
3169<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
3170<p>My stat of the day.</p>
3171<p>Europe has the world’s most advanced, and largest (by global sales) semiconductor fab equipment manufacturer. Currently, zero percent of its sales are in Europe.</p>
3172<p>That’s both absurd, and will be in time, economically disastrous.</p>
3173</blockquote>
3174<p>As with IT, cars, space flight and biotechnology, just tell yourself</p>
3175<p>– Europe is doing fine</p>
3176<p>– Changing thing would be bad (insert reasons here)</p>
3177<p>– We can catch up later.</p>
3178<p>– The so called advances aren’t real and are no good for Europe anyway.</p>
3179<p>&nbsp;</p>
3180</blockquote>
3181<p>In this particular case they just seem to have decided it&#8217;s not possible, which is stupid.</p>
3182<p>It would be costly, but on a European scale not that costly, and the economic/strategic benefits would be enormous. One of the disappointing things about Brexit is that such projects might have been slightly more likely had we stayed in.</p>
3183<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649227" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649227" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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3189
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3191		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
3192		<li id="comment-5649228" class="comment byuser comment-author-nigelb even thread-even depth-1">
3193			<article id="div-comment-5649228" class="comment-body">
3194				<footer class="comment-meta">
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3196						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2661.jpg?v=1787307411 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Nigelb</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3197
3198					<div class="comment-metadata">
3199						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649228"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:25:44+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:25</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3200
3201									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3202
3203				<div class="comment-content">
3204					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
3205<p>A wicket early in the penultimate over is an excellent thing.</p>
3206<p>edit antepenultimate</p>
3207</blockquote>
3208<p>Dammit I was right the first time.</p>
3209<p>Shouldn&#8217;t post on a phone while walking around.</p>
3210<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649228" data-author="Nigelb" data-author-id="2661" data-author-count="92536" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649228" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649228%23comment-5649228">
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3216
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3219		<li id="comment-5649229" class="comment byuser comment-author-malmesbury odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
3220			<article id="div-comment-5649229" class="comment-body">
3221				<footer class="comment-meta">
3222					<div class="comment-author vcard">
3223						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2498.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/2498.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Malmesbury</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3224
3225					<div class="comment-metadata">
3226						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649229"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:27:47+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:27</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3227
3228									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3229
3230				<div class="comment-content">
3231					<blockquote><p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
3232<blockquote>
3233<p><b>Malmesbury:</b></p>
3234<blockquote>
3235<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
3236<p>My stat of the day.</p>
3237<p>Europe has the world’s most advanced, and largest (by global sales) semiconductor fab equipment manufacturer. Currently, zero percent of its sales are in Europe.</p>
3238<p>That’s both absurd, and will be in time, economically disastrous.</p>
3239</blockquote>
3240<p>As with IT, cars, space flight and biotechnology, just tell yourself</p>
3241<p>– Europe is doing fine</p>
3242<p>– Changing thing would be bad (insert reasons here)</p>
3243<p>– We can catch up later.</p>
3244<p>– The so called advances aren’t real and are no good for Europe anyway.</p>
3245<p>&nbsp;</p>
3246</blockquote>
3247<p>In this particular case they just seem to have decided it’s not possible, which is stupid.</p>
3248<p>It would be costly, but on a European scale not that costly, and the economic/strategic benefits would be enormous. One of the disappointing things about Brexit is that such projects might have been slightly more likely had we stayed in.</p>
3249</blockquote>
3250<p>That’s exactly the thinking I was talking about.</p>
3251<p>”But we can’t do it in less than 1,342 steps. Therefore it can’t be done.”</p>
3252<p>Take a step. Then take another step.</p>
3253<p>Start with simpler chips. Build out from there. </p>
3254<p>It’s like those idiots saying you can’t make a computer since you need screws from China. Import the screws to start with. When you achieve scale, the supply chains follow.</p>
3255<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649229" data-author="Malmesbury" data-author-id="2498" data-author-count="65310" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649229" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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3261
3262							</article><!-- .comment-body -->
3263		</li><!-- #comment-## -->
3264		<li id="comment-5649230" class="comment byuser comment-author-fishing even thread-even depth-1">
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3268						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1980.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1980.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Fishing</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3269
3270					<div class="comment-metadata">
3271						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649230"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:35:20+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:35</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3272
3273									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3274
3275				<div class="comment-content">
3276					<blockquote><p>FPT</p></blockquote>
3277<blockquote><p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
3278<blockquote>
3279<p><b>Fishing:</b></p>
3280<blockquote>
3281<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
3282<blockquote>
3283<p><b>Fishing:</b></p>
3284<p>I also think that because the Triple Lock is about future increases, rather than present benefits, removing it is likely to be less politically problematic than people think. </p>
3285<p>People are most angry about the removal of current benefits, not future ones, which always seem more abstract.</p>
3286<p>But there is still likely to be some short term pain, so I doubt it will happen, especially as the next GE hoves into view.</p>
3287</blockquote>
3288<p>It doesn’t do anything for the chancellor’s current problems though.</p>
3289</blockquote>
3290<p>I don’t think that’s right, if done correctly.  Ending the Triple Lock would ease pressure in the bond markets as the government shows it is serious about controlling welfare spending and the size of the state, thereby increasing long-run economic growth.  The anticipated transfer of resources to the wealth-creating sector from the parasitical part should bring down bond yields, hence reducing government interest payments.</p>
3291<p>Of course, this government would simply use the extra fiscal room to waste money on other scroungers, so in reality nothing would be gained.  But with a more economically literate government, and one that understands the amply documented negative relationship between the size of the state and long-run growth, it could alleviate current problems as well as future ones.</p>
3292</blockquote>
3293<p>I agree the point about a likely positive impact on gilts. Ending the Triple Lock gives off ‘serious about the long term public finances’ vibes and the markets will like that.</p>
3294<p>But I find this notion of the economy as ‘private sector wealth creators vs public sector consumers of it’ to be a bit noddy. It’s what a person is doing – the nature of the activity – that determines whether they are creating wealth or not. This is the case whether they are in the private or public sector (or something in between).</p>
3295<p>The economy is the aggregate of all the people doing what they do. It’s the symbiotic whole of all of that. Someone in a wealth-creating activity is creating wealth regardless of what sector they are in. Likewise somebody who isn’t is not. There is wealth creation in the public sector and the ‘parasitic’ opposite in the private sector. It all depends on the activity.</p>
3296<p>You can see the truth of this with a thought experiment. Imagine Healthcare was privatised. No more NHS. This product – healthcare – is now in the private sector. It’s a business engaged in by private companies employing all the relevant staff, making profits, paying all the usual business taxes etc.</p>
3297<p>Has it – by dint of this – become wealth-creating when it wasn’t before? No. You’ve got a ‘smaller state’ sure. And a bigger private sector. But you haven’t by one iota changed the wealth-creating vs non-wealth creating balance of the economy. Of course you can argue that an activity (healthcare in this example) would become more efficient in the private sector but that’s a different point.</p>
3298</blockquote>
3299<p>You&#8217;re groping towards something that is covered (albeit usually rather briefly) in undergraduate economics classes &#8211; the distinction between government transfers and government consumption (though the terminology and definitions vary slightly).  We can all agree that the private sector creates wealth.  With government, the picture is much more complicated and it is simplistic, though very commonly done, to lump all government spending together.  </p>
3300<p>Government transfers are direct redistribution from one part of the population to another.  A classic example are the transfer payments to which the current government is so addicted.  They are absolutely a net drain on the wealth-creating sector, as they directly take money from those who make it and give it to scroungers.  And that is the kind of government spending that most damages economic growth &#8211; indeed, it is not counted directly towards GDP, only showing up in the figures when the recipients spend it.</p>
3301<p>Then there is government provision of services, such as healthcare or defence, which, as you note, counts towards GDP and provides a welfare generating service.  Simplistically, moving this from the public sector to the private sector does not damage the economy.  And these services are less objectionable politically than straight transfer payments. </p>
3302<p>As so often in economics, in practice, the distinction is not so clear cut, since government provision of services has significant redistributional, and hence disincentive effects, for two main reasons.  Firstly, state-provided healthcare or defence has to be paid for through taxes, which in most countries fall mainly on the productive members of society, and often directly on production itself, and have huge disincentive effects, reducing output in the long term.  So they are, indirectly, transfer payments.  And secondly, the government is likely to provide such services with its usual happy mix of inefficiency, incompetence, corruption and unaccountability.  See, e.g. HS2.  This extra inefficiency definitely reduces welfare, and probably GDP as well (remember GDP is a measure of value added, not gross output).  If a productive member of society pays for his healthcare out of his pocket, he is not disincentivised from working.  However, if he pays disproportionately into a general pot for everybody else&#8217;s as well as his, he certainly will be.</p>
3303<p>Anyway, that explains two things in particular &#8211; why the economically literate object to transfer payments much more than government service provision, and why all but the most libertarian commentators take a pragmatic approach to 
3303such service delivery &#8211; I have never, for instance, been particularly bothered by government provision of healthcare, defence or education, as long as it is done well.</p>
3304<p>But the distinction between wealth-creating and non-wealth-creating sectors certainly has merit, even if it is more complicated than is often realised in our simplified political debate.</p>
3305<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649230" data-author="Fishing" data-author-id="1980" data-author-count="6483" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649230" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649230%23comment-5649230">
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3311
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3314		<li id="comment-5649231" class="comment byuser comment-author-dopermean odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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3318						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/6171.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/6171.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Dopermean</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3319
3320					<div class="comment-metadata">
3321						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649231"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:45:05+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:45</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3322
3323									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3324
3325				<div class="comment-content">
3326					<p>FPT @Taz the source of S Y-L&#8217;s money&#8230;.</p>
3327<p>It&#8217;s only just occurred to me that his &#8220;successful business&#8221; was tanning salons in Luton<br />How did no one question that? 🙂<br />  </p>
3328<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649231" data-author="Dopermean" data-author-id="6171" data-author-count="3761" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649231" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649231%23comment-5649231">
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3337		<li id="comment-5649232" class="comment byuser comment-author-onlylivingboy even thread-even depth-1">
3338			<article id="div-comment-5649232" class="comment-body">
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3341						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3877.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/3877.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">OnlyLivingBoy</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3342
3343					<div class="comment-metadata">
3344						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649232"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:45:21+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:45</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3345
3346									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3347
3348				<div class="comment-content">
3349					<blockquote><p><b>Fishing:</b></p>
3350<blockquote>
3351<p>FPT</p>
3352</blockquote>
3353<blockquote>
3354<p><b>kinabalu:</b></p>
3355<blockquote>
3356<p><b>Fishing:</b></p>
3357<blockquote>
3358<p><b>Nigelb:</b></p>
3359<p>It doesn’t do anything for the chancellor’s current problems though.</p>
3360</blockquote>
3361<p>I don’t think that’s right, if done correctly.  Ending the Triple Lock would ease pressure in the bond markets as the government shows it is serious about controlling welfare spending and the size of the state, thereby increasing long-run economic growth.  The anticipated transfer of resources to the wealth-creating sector from the parasitical part should bring down bond yields, hence reducing government interest payments.</p>
3362<p>Of course, this government would simply use the extra fiscal room to waste money on other scroungers, so in reality nothing would be gained.  But with a more economically literate government, and one that understands the amply documented negative relationship between the size of the state and long-run growth, it could alleviate current problems as well as future ones.</p>
3363</blockquote>
3364<p>I agree the point about a likely positive impact on gilts. Ending the Triple Lock gives off ‘serious about the long term public finances’ vibes and the markets will like that.</p>
3365<p>But I find this notion of the economy as ‘private sector wealth creators vs public sector consumers of it’ to be a bit noddy. It’s what a person is doing – the nature of the activity – that determines whether they are creating wealth or not. This is the case whether they are in the private or public sector (or something in between).</p>
3366<p>The economy is the aggregate of all the people doing what they do. It’s the symbiotic whole of all of that. Someone in a wealth-creating activity is creating wealth regardless of what sector they are in. Likewise somebody who isn’t is not. There is wealth creation in the public sector and the ‘parasitic’ opposite in the private sector. It all depends on the activity.</p>
3367<p>You can see the trut…</p>
3368</blockquote>
3369<p>You’re groping towards something that is covered (albeit usually rather briefly) in undergraduate economics classes – the distinction between government transfers and government consumption (though the terminology and definitions vary slightly).  We can all agree that the private sector creates wealth.  With government, the picture is much more complicated and it is simplistic, though very commonly done, to lump all government spending together.  </p>
3370<p>Government transfers are direct redistribution from one part of the population to another.  A classic example are the transfer payments to which the current government is so addicted.  They are absolutely a net drain on the wealth-creating sector, as they directly take money from those who make it and give it to scroungers.  And that is the kind of government spending that most damages economic growth – indeed, it is not counted directly towards GDP, only showing up in the figures when the recipients spend it.</p>
3371<p>Then there is government provision of services, such as healthcare or defence, which, as you note, counts towards GDP and provides a welfare generating service.  Simplistically, moving this from the public sector to the private sector does not damage the economy.  And these services are less objectionable politically than straight transfer payments. </p>
3372<p>As so often in economics, in practice, the distinction is not so clear cut, since government provision of services has significant redistributional, and hence disincentive effects, for two main reasons.  Firstly, state-provided healthcare or defence has to be paid for through taxes, which in most countries fall mainly on the productive members of society, and often directly on production itself, and have huge disincentive effects, reducing output in the long term.  So they are, indirectly, transfer payments.  And secondly, the government is likely to provide such services with its usual happy mix of inefficiency, incompetence, corruption and unaccountability.  See, e.g. HS2.  This extra inefficiency definitely reduces welfare, and probably GDP as well (remember GDP is a measure of value added, not gross output).  If a productive member of society pays for…</p>
3373</blockquote>
3374<p>The other twist on this is that firms can be especially &#8220;wealth creating&#8221; i.e. profitable for reasons that lower their actual benefit to society, e.g. through monopolistic behaviour. Economists like Adam Smith understood this 250 years ago.</p>
3375<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649232" data-author="OnlyLivingBoy" data-author-id="3877" data-author-count="18767" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649232" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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3381
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3384		<li id="comment-5649233" class="comment byuser comment-author-jim_miller odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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3386				<footer class="comment-meta">
3387					<div class="comment-author vcard">
3388						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5156.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/5156.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Jim_Miller</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3389
3390					<div class="comment-metadata">
3391						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649233"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:46:00+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:46</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3392
3393									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3394
3395				<div class="comment-content">
3396					<p>Is Senator Collins good for Maine?  Yes, she&#8217;s chair of the Senate Appropriations committee.</p>
3397<p>Has she been good for the Senate?  Yes, the Senate needs moderates, who are willing to make the bipartisan compromises that we often need. </p>
3398<p>Has she been good for the United States, and the free world?  I think so, on the whole.</p>
3399<p>Reminder:  Collins did not vote to convict the Loser, in his first trial, but did in his second.</p>
3400<p>&nbsp;</p>
3401<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649233" data-author="Jim_Miller" data-author-id="5156" data-author-count="4042" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649233" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649233%23comment-5649233">
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3407
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3410		<li id="comment-5649234" class="comment byuser comment-author-xotgd even thread-even depth-1">
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3414						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/defaults/58b1f60a44fd19619a91cb72a8fa1772.svg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">xotGD</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3415
3416					<div class="comment-metadata">
3417						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649234"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:49:11+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:49</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3418
3419									</footer><!-- .comment-meta -->
3420
3421				<div class="comment-content">
3422					<blockquote><p><b>Brixian59:</b></p>
3423<p>Elucidate </p>
3424<p>The buzzword next week. </p>
3425<p>&nbsp;</p>
3426</blockquote>
3427<p>
3427Meeting up for a drink with a woman called Lucy?</p>
3428<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649234" data-author="xotGD" data-author-id="7272" data-author-count="240" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649234" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649234%23comment-5649234">
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3437		<li id="comment-5649235" class="comment byuser comment-author-sunil_prasannan odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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3441						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/1011.jpg 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Sunil_Prasannan</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3442
3443					<div class="comment-metadata">
3444						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649235"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:49:45+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:49</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3445
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3447
3448				<div class="comment-content">
3449					<blockquote><p><b>DecrepiterJohnL:</b></p>
3450<p>We have probably covered it although it’s not showing in a quick search, but Earl Spencer’s charge that the King said Diana would be forgotten in a week seems to come from an old Mitchell &amp; Webb sketch.</p>
3451<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Irvuafg5GM" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Irvuafg5GM</a></p>
3452</blockquote>
3453<p>Gladiator:</p>
3454<p><i>Connie Nielsen: &#8220;The mob is fickle, brother. He&#8217;ll be forgotten in a month!&#8221;</i></p>
3455<p><i>Joaquin Phoenix: &#8220;No, much sooner than that! It&#8217;s been arranged&#8230;&#8221;</i></p>
3456<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649235" data-author="Sunil_Prasannan" data-author-id="1011" data-author-count="60826" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649235" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote%3D5649235%23comment-5649235">
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3462
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3465		<li id="comment-5649236" class="comment byuser comment-author-brixian59 even thread-even depth-1">
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3469						<img alt='' src='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png' srcset='https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-content/uploads/avatars/7242.png 2x' class='avatar avatar-50 photo' height='50' width='50' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/>						<b class="fn">Brixian59</b> <span class="says">says:</span>					</div><!-- .comment-author -->
3470
3471					<div class="comment-metadata">
3472						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649236"><time datetime="2026-09-24T16:55:27+01:00">24/9/2026 at 16:55</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
3473
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3475
3476				<div class="comment-content">
3477					<blockquote><p><b>Andy_JS:</b></p>
3478<p>“781 migrants arrive in small boats in 2026 record“</p>
3479<p><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwz0z597m471o" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwz0z597m471o</a></p>
3480</blockquote>
3481<p>Desperate attempt by Farage and his paymasters and the Gang leaders to divert attention. </p>
3482<p>Will anyone who has a dinghy left please report to Calais tomorrow </p>
3483<p>Yours </p>
3484<p>&nbsp;</p>
3485<p>Nigel</p>
3486<p>PS</p>
3487<p>Has anyone checked the two that allegedly sneaked in didn&#8217;t just launch in Shoreham and tootle down the Coast with a few heavily fake tanned of Tommos mates on biard</p>
3488<p>&nbsp;</p>
3489<div class="pb-comment-actions" data-comment-id="5649236" data-author="Brixian59" data-author-id="7242" data-author-count="2860" data-login="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%23comment-5649236" data-login-quote="https://www.politicalbetting.com/wp-login.php?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicalbetting.com%2Findex.php%2Farchives%2F2026%2F09%2F24%2Fthese-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election%2F%3Fpbquote
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3498		<li id="comment-5649237" class="comment byuser comment-author-marqueemark odd alt thread-odd thread-alt depth-1">
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3503
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3505						<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/24/these-mrps-should-kibosh-any-chance-of-an-early-general-election/#comment-5649237"><time datetime="2026-09-24T17:07:39+01:00">24/9/2026 at 17:07</time></a>					</div><!-- .comment-metadata -->
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3510					<blockquote><p><b>Jim_Miller:</b></p>
3511<p>Is Senator Collins good for Maine?  Yes, she’s chair of the Senate Appropriations committee.</p>
3512<p>Has she been good for the Senate?  Yes, the Senate needs moderates, who are willing to make the bipartisan compromises that we often need. </p>
3513<p>Has she been good for the United States, and the free world?  I think so, on the whole.</p>
3514<p>Reminder:  Collins did not vote to convict the Loser, in his first trial, but did in his second.</p>
3515<p>&nbsp;</p>
3516</blockquote>
3517<p>She voted to approve some rum appointments though, including to the Supreme Court&#8230;</p>
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