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292 .dark .site-description { 293 color: #fff; 294 } 295 .site-title::after{ 296 background: #fff; 297 content:""; 298 } 299 </style> 300 </head> 301<body class="home blog paged wp-embed-responsive paged-2 wp-theme-nisarg light group-blog"> 302<div id="page" class="hfeed site"> 303<header id="masthead" role="banner"> 304 <nav id="site-navigation" class="main-navigation navbar-fixed-top navbar-left" role="navigation"> 305 <!-- Brand and toggle get grouped for better mobile display --> 306 <div class="container" id="navigation_menu"> 307 <div class="navbar-header"> 308 <a class="navbar-brand" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/">politicalbetting.com</a> 309 </div><!-- .navbar-header --> 310 </div><!--#container--> 311 </nav> 312 <div id="cc_spacer"></div><!-- used to clear fixed navigation by the themes js --> 313 314 <div class="site-header"> 315 <div class="site-branding"> 316 <a class="home-link" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/" title="politicalbetting.com" rel="home"> 317 <h1 class="site-title">politicalbetting.com</h1> 318 <h2 class="site-description">The web's premier resource for political betting.</h2> 319 </a> 320 </div><!--.site-branding--> 321 </div><!--.site-header--> 322 323</header> 324<div id="content" class="site-content"> 325 326 <div class="container"> 327 <div class="row"> 328 <div id="primary" class="col-md-9 content-area"> 329 <main id="main" class="site-main" role="main"> 330 331 332<article id="post-153426" class="post-content post-153426 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 333 334 335 336 <header class="entry-header"> 337 338 <span class="screen-reader-text">As the Lib Dem conference begins voters give their thoughts on Sir Ed Davey</span> 339 340 <h2 class="entry-title"> 341 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/19/as-the-lib-dem-conference-voters-give-their-thoughts-on-sir-ed-davey/" rel="bookmark">As the Lib Dem conference begins voters give their thoughts on Sir Ed Davey</a> 342 </h2> 343 344 <div class="entry-meta"> 345 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/19/as-the-lib-dem-conference-voters-give-their-thoughts-on-sir-ed-davey/" title="08:35" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-19T08:35:22+01:00" pubdate>19/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 346<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/19/as-the-lib-dem-conference-voters-give-their-thoughts-on-sir-ed-davey/#comments" class="comments-link" >677 Comments</a></h5> 347 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 348 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 349 350 <div class="entry-summary"> 351 <p>Given all the stunts Sir Ed Davey participated before the last general election I am astonished that 6% of voters think Sir Ed is boring. TSE</p> 352 </div><!-- .entry-summary --> 353 354 <footer class="entry-footer"> 355 </footer><!-- .entry-footer --> 356</article><!-- #post-## --> 357 358<article id="post-153400" class="post-content post-153400 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 359 360 361 362 <header class="entry-header"> 363 364 <span class="screen-reader-text">Uniting the right might be like herding cats</span> 365 366 <h2 class="entry-title"> 367 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/18/uniting-the-right-might-be-like-herding-cats/" rel="bookmark">Uniting the right might be like herding cats</a> 368 </h2> 369 370 <div class="entry-meta"> 371 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/18/uniting-the-right-might-be-like-herding-cats/" title="15:34" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-18T15:34:23+01:00" pubdate>18/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 372<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/18/uniting-the-right-might-be-like-herding-cats/#comments" class="comments-link" >361 Comments</a></h5> 373 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 374 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 375 376 <div class="entry-summary"> 377 <p>This polling makes me think Andy Burnham might go for an early election because he does become unpopular the goodwill he has from centre-left voters might evaporate. This polling is further proof that the Conservative and Reform voters are not homogenous. TSE</p> 378 </div><!-- .entry-summary --> 379 380 <footer class="entry-footer"> 381 </footer><!-- .entry-footer --> 382</article><!-- #post-## --> 383 384<article id="post-153418" class="post-content post-153418 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 385 386 387 388 <header class="entry-header"> 389 390 <span class="screen-reader-text">If You Seek A Pleasant Peninsula</span> 391 392 <h2 class="entry-title">
393 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/" rel="bookmark">If You Seek A Pleasant Peninsula</a> 394 </h2> 395 396 <div class="entry-meta"> 397 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/" title="22:53" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-17T22:53:11+01:00" pubdate>17/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 398<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/robert/" title="View all posts by robert" rel="author">robert</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/#comments" class="comments-link" >351 Comments</a></h5> 399 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 400 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 401 402 <div class="entry-summary"> 403 <p>Michiganâs state motto invites the man who seeks a pleasant peninsula to look around. And for Republican strategists Michigan is comfortably the pleasantest thing on an otherwise grim map. It is the only open Democratic-held Senate seat in a state Trump carried in 2024. And while Republicans haven’t won a Senate race there since 1994, if they are going to take a seat off the Democrats anywhere this cycle, it’ll be here. The candidate the Republicans chose El-Sayed is a…</p> 404<p class="read-more"><a class="btn btn-default" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/"> Read More<span class="screen-reader-text"> Read More</span></a></p> 405 </div><!-- .entry-summary --> 406 407 <footer class="entry-footer"> 408 </footer><!-- .entry-footer --> 409</article><!-- #post-## --> 410 411<article id="post-153414" class="post-content post-153414 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 412 413 414 415 <header class="entry-header"> 416 417 <span class="screen-reader-text">What is it about Zac(k)s when they starting delving into South Asian culture?</span> 418 419 <h2 class="entry-title"> 420 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/what-is-it-about-zacks-when-they-starting-delving-into-south-asian-culture/" rel="bookmark">What is it about Zac(k)s when they starting delving into South Asian culture?</a> 421 </h2> 422 423 <div class="entry-meta"> 424 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/what-is-it-about-zacks-when-they-starting-delving-into-south-asian-culture/" title="16:16" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-17T16:16:22+01:00" pubdate>17/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 425<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/what-is-it-about-zacks-when-they-starting-delving-into-south-asian-culture/#comments" class="comments-link" >279 Comments</a></h5> 426 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 427 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 428 429 <div class="entry-summary"> 430 <p>It’s not been a good 24 hours or so for Zack Polanski, being called a genocide denier then trying to speak Urdu and experiencing Sadiq Khan publicly rinsing him, it reminded me of the time when Zac Goldsmith professed to be a Bollywood fan. As somebody who can speak Urdu, this was a top performance by Sadiq Khan. TSE</p> 431 </div><!-- .entry-summary --> 432 433 <footer class="entry-footer"> 434 </footer><!-- .entry-footer --> 435</article><!-- #post-## --> 436 437<article id="post-153408" class="post-content post-153408 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 438 439 440 441 <header class="entry-header"> 442 443 <span class="screen-reader-text">The revolution devours its own children</span> 444 445 <h2 class="entry-title">
446 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/" rel="bookmark">The revolution devours its own children</a> 447 </h2> 448 449 <div class="entry-meta"> 450 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/" title="07:58" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-17T07:58:52+01:00" pubdate>17/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 451<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/#comments" class="comments-link" >411 Comments</a></h5> 452 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 453 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 454 455 <div class="entry-summary"> 456 <p>This feels like a scene out of The Life of Brian involving The People’s Front of Judea and The Judean People’s Front, The Spectator report that A particular source of anger is Polanskiâs position on a party conference motion declaring âZionism is racismâ. After the proposal failed to come to a vote previously, members of Greens for Palestine are determined to secure its passage at the partyâs annual conference in Brighton next month. The motion calls for the establishment of…</p> 457<p class="read-more"><a class="btn btn-default" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/"> Read More<span class="screen-reader-text"> Read More</span></a></p> 458 </div><!-- .entry-summary --> 459 460 <footer class="entry-footer"> 461 </footer><!-- .entry-footer --> 462</article><!-- #post-## --> 463 464<article id="post-153404" class="post-content post-153404 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 465 466 467 468 <header class="entry-header"> 469 470 <span class="screen-reader-text">It appears that Andy Burnham and John Healey do not consume any news</span> 471 472 <h2 class="entry-title"> 473 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/" rel="bookmark">It appears that Andy Burnham and John Healey do not consume any news</a> 474 </h2> 475 476 <div class="entry-meta"> 477 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/" title="16:11" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-16T16:11:41+01:00" pubdate>16/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 478<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/#comments" class="comments-link" >379 Comments</a></h5> 479 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 480 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 481 482 <div class="entry-summary"> 483 <p>It does not augur well for the Andy Burnham premiership that he and his Chancellor weren’t aware of the dire economic and fiscal situation facing the United Kingdom. The chart above from the FT article shows one of the many ways the UK is facing a troubling future, but this does have betting implications, from the FT article Some Labour MPs acknowledge the temptations of going to the polls rather than actually confronting hard economic choices next year. âThe whole…</p> 484<p class="read-more"><a class="btn btn-default" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/">
484 Read More<span class="screen-reader-text"> Read More</span></a></p> 485 </div><!-- .entry-summary --> 486 487 <footer class="entry-footer"> 488 </footer><!-- .entry-footer --> 489</article><!-- #post-## --> 490 491<article id="post-153392" class="post-content post-153392 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 492 493 494 495 <header class="entry-header"> 496 497 <span class="screen-reader-text">What motivates Reform supporters and the barriers to supporting Reform</span> 498 499 <h2 class="entry-title"> 500 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/what-motivates-reform-supporters-and-the-barriers-to-supporting-reform/" rel="bookmark">What motivates Reform supporters and the barriers to supporting Reform</a> 501 </h2> 502 503 <div class="entry-meta"> 504 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/what-motivates-reform-supporters-and-the-barriers-to-supporting-reform/" title="07:43" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-16T07:43:00+01:00" pubdate>16/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 505<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/what-motivates-reform-supporters-and-the-barriers-to-supporting-reform/#comments" class="comments-link" >295 Comments</a></h5> 506 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 507 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 508 509 <div class="entry-summary"> 510 <p>I tend to focus on the reasons why people won’t vote Reform and will go out of their way to stop Reform the second tweet shows plenty of people will continue to vote Reform and that presents challenges that both
510Labour and the Conservatives face trying to defeat Reform. Whilst immigration remains such a salient issue then Reform and Restore are here to stay. TSE</p> 511 </div><!-- .entry-summary --> 512 513 <footer class="entry-footer"> 514 </footer><!-- .entry-footer --> 515</article><!-- #post-## --> 516 517<article id="post-153394" class="post-content post-153394 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting"> 518 519 520 521 <header class="entry-header"> 522 523 <span class="screen-reader-text">Nigel Farage hits a new low</span> 524 525 <h2 class="entry-title"> 526 <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/15/nigel-farage-hits-a-new-low/" rel="bookmark">Nigel Farage hits a new low</a> 527 </h2> 528 529 <div class="entry-meta"> 530 <h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/15/nigel-farage-hits-a-new-low/" title="16:10" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-15T16:10:24+01:00" pubdate>15/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i> 531<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/15/nigel-farage-hits-a-new-low/#comments" class="comments-link" >268 Comments</a></h5> 532 </div><!-- .entry-meta --> 533 </header><!-- .entry-header --> 534 535 <div class="entry-summary"> 536 <p>Have we seen peak Reform/Farage? 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