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330									
331																
332<article id="post-153426"  class="post-content post-153426 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
333
334	
335	
336	<header class="entry-header">
337
338		<span class="screen-reader-text">As the Lib Dem conference begins voters give their thoughts on Sir Ed Davey</span>
339
340					<h2 class="entry-title">
341				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/19/as-the-lib-dem-conference-voters-give-their-thoughts-on-sir-ed-davey/" rel="bookmark">As the Lib Dem conference begins voters give their thoughts on Sir Ed Davey</a>
342			</h2>
343		
344				<div class="entry-meta">
345			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/19/as-the-lib-dem-conference-voters-give-their-thoughts-on-sir-ed-davey/" title="08:35" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-19T08:35:22+01:00" pubdate>19/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
346<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/19/as-the-lib-dem-conference-voters-give-their-thoughts-on-sir-ed-davey/#comments" class="comments-link" >677 Comments</a></h5>
347		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
348			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
349
350	<div class="entry-summary">
351		<p>Given all the stunts Sir Ed Davey participated before the last general election I am astonished that 6% of voters think Sir Ed is boring. TSE</p>
352	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
353
354	<footer class="entry-footer">
355			</footer><!-- .entry-footer -->
356</article><!-- #post-## -->
357											
358<article id="post-153400"  class="post-content post-153400 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
359
360	
361	
362	<header class="entry-header">
363
364		<span class="screen-reader-text">Uniting the right might be like herding cats</span>
365
366					<h2 class="entry-title">
367				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/18/uniting-the-right-might-be-like-herding-cats/" rel="bookmark">Uniting the right might be like herding cats</a>
368			</h2>
369		
370				<div class="entry-meta">
371			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/18/uniting-the-right-might-be-like-herding-cats/" title="15:34" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-18T15:34:23+01:00" pubdate>18/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
372<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/18/uniting-the-right-might-be-like-herding-cats/#comments" class="comments-link" >361 Comments</a></h5>
373		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
374			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
375
376	<div class="entry-summary">
377		<p>This polling makes me think Andy Burnham might go for an early election because he does become unpopular the goodwill he has from centre-left voters might evaporate. This polling is further proof that the Conservative and Reform voters are not homogenous. TSE</p>
378	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
379
380	<footer class="entry-footer">
381			</footer><!-- .entry-footer -->
382</article><!-- #post-## -->
383											
384<article id="post-153418"  class="post-content post-153418 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
385
386	
387	
388	<header class="entry-header">
389
390		<span class="screen-reader-text">If You Seek A Pleasant Peninsula</span>
391
392					<h2 class="entry-title">
393				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/" rel="bookmark">If You Seek A Pleasant Peninsula</a>
394			</h2>
395		
396				<div class="entry-meta">
397			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/" title="22:53" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-17T22:53:11+01:00" pubdate>17/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
398<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/robert/" title="View all posts by robert" rel="author">robert</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/#comments" class="comments-link" >351 Comments</a></h5>
399		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
400			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
401
402	<div class="entry-summary">
403		<p>Michigan’s state motto invites the man who seeks a pleasant peninsula to look around. And for Republican strategists Michigan is comfortably the pleasantest thing on an otherwise grim map. It is the only open Democratic-held Senate seat in a state Trump carried in 2024. And while Republicans haven&#8217;t won a Senate race there since 1994, if they are going to take a seat off the Democrats anywhere this cycle, it&#8217;ll be here. The candidate the Republicans chose El-Sayed is a&#8230;</p>
404<p class="read-more"><a class="btn btn-default" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/if-you-seek-a-pleasant-peninsula/"> Read More<span class="screen-reader-text">  Read More</span></a></p>
405	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
406
407	<footer class="entry-footer">
408			</footer><!-- .entry-footer -->
409</article><!-- #post-## -->
410											
411<article id="post-153414"  class="post-content post-153414 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
412
413	
414	
415	<header class="entry-header">
416
417		<span class="screen-reader-text">What is it about Zac(k)s when they starting delving into South Asian culture?</span>
418
419					<h2 class="entry-title">
420				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/what-is-it-about-zacks-when-they-starting-delving-into-south-asian-culture/" rel="bookmark">What is it about Zac(k)s when they starting delving into South Asian culture?</a>
421			</h2>
422		
423				<div class="entry-meta">
424			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/what-is-it-about-zacks-when-they-starting-delving-into-south-asian-culture/" title="16:16" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-17T16:16:22+01:00" pubdate>17/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
425<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/what-is-it-about-zacks-when-they-starting-delving-into-south-asian-culture/#comments" class="comments-link" >279 Comments</a></h5>
426		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
427			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
428
429	<div class="entry-summary">
430		<p>It&#8217;s not been a good 24 hours or so for Zack Polanski, being called a genocide denier then trying to speak Urdu and experiencing Sadiq Khan publicly rinsing him, it reminded me of the time when Zac Goldsmith professed to be a Bollywood fan. As somebody who can speak Urdu, this was a top performance by Sadiq Khan. TSE</p>
431	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
432
433	<footer class="entry-footer">
434			</footer><!-- .entry-footer -->
435</article><!-- #post-## -->
436											
437<article id="post-153408"  class="post-content post-153408 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
438
439	
440	
441	<header class="entry-header">
442
443		<span class="screen-reader-text">The revolution devours its own children</span>
444
445					<h2 class="entry-title">
446				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/" rel="bookmark">The revolution devours its own children</a>
447			</h2>
448		
449				<div class="entry-meta">
450			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/" title="07:58" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-17T07:58:52+01:00" pubdate>17/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
451<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/#comments" class="comments-link" >411 Comments</a></h5>
452		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
453			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
454
455	<div class="entry-summary">
456		<p>This feels like a scene out of The Life of Brian involving The People&#8217;s Front of Judea and The Judean People&#8217;s Front, The Spectator report that A particular source of anger is Polanski’s position on a party conference motion declaring ‘Zionism is racism’. After the proposal failed to come to a vote previously, members of Greens for Palestine are determined to secure its passage at the party’s annual conference in Brighton next month. The motion calls for the establishment of&#8230;</p>
457<p class="read-more"><a class="btn btn-default" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/17/the-revolution-devours-its-own-children/"> Read More<span class="screen-reader-text">  Read More</span></a></p>
458	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
459
460	<footer class="entry-footer">
461			</footer><!-- .entry-footer -->
462</article><!-- #post-## -->
463											
464<article id="post-153404"  class="post-content post-153404 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
465
466	
467	
468	<header class="entry-header">
469
470		<span class="screen-reader-text">It appears that Andy Burnham and John Healey do not consume any news</span>
471
472					<h2 class="entry-title">
473				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/" rel="bookmark">It appears that Andy Burnham and John Healey do not consume any news</a>
474			</h2>
475		
476				<div class="entry-meta">
477			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/" title="16:11" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-16T16:11:41+01:00" pubdate>16/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
478<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/#comments" class="comments-link" >379 Comments</a></h5>
479		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
480			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
481
482	<div class="entry-summary">
483		<p>It does not augur well for the Andy Burnham premiership that he and his Chancellor weren&#8217;t aware of the dire economic and fiscal situation facing the United Kingdom. The chart above from the FT article shows one of the many ways the UK is facing a troubling future, but this does have betting implications, from the FT article Some Labour MPs acknowledge the temptations of going to the polls rather than actually confronting hard economic choices next year. “The whole&#8230;</p>
484<p class="read-more"><a class="btn btn-default" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/it-appears-that-andy-burnham-and-john-healey-do-not-consume-any-news/">
484 Read More<span class="screen-reader-text">  Read More</span></a></p>
485	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
486
487	<footer class="entry-footer">
488			</footer><!-- .entry-footer -->
489</article><!-- #post-## -->
490											
491<article id="post-153392"  class="post-content post-153392 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
492
493	
494	
495	<header class="entry-header">
496
497		<span class="screen-reader-text">What motivates Reform supporters and the barriers to supporting Reform</span>
498
499					<h2 class="entry-title">
500				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/what-motivates-reform-supporters-and-the-barriers-to-supporting-reform/" rel="bookmark">What motivates Reform supporters and the barriers to supporting Reform</a>
501			</h2>
502		
503				<div class="entry-meta">
504			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/what-motivates-reform-supporters-and-the-barriers-to-supporting-reform/" title="07:43" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-16T07:43:00+01:00" pubdate>16/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
505<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/16/what-motivates-reform-supporters-and-the-barriers-to-supporting-reform/#comments" class="comments-link" >295 Comments</a></h5>
506		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
507			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
508
509	<div class="entry-summary">
510		<p>I tend to focus on the reasons why people won&#8217;t vote Reform and will go out of their way to stop Reform the second tweet shows plenty of people will continue to vote Reform and that presents challenges that both 
510Labour and the Conservatives face trying to defeat Reform. Whilst immigration remains such a salient issue then Reform and Restore are here to stay. TSE</p>
511	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
512
513	<footer class="entry-footer">
514			</footer><!-- .entry-footer -->
515</article><!-- #post-## -->
516											
517<article id="post-153394"  class="post-content post-153394 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-betting">
518
519	
520	
521	<header class="entry-header">
522
523		<span class="screen-reader-text">Nigel Farage hits a new low</span>
524
525					<h2 class="entry-title">
526				<a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/15/nigel-farage-hits-a-new-low/" rel="bookmark">Nigel Farage hits a new low</a>
527			</h2>
528		
529				<div class="entry-meta">
530			<h5 class="entry-date"><i class="fa fa-calendar-o"></i> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/15/nigel-farage-hits-a-new-low/" title="16:10" rel="bookmark"><time class="entry-date" datetime="2026-09-15T16:10:24+01:00" pubdate>15/9/2026 </time></a><span class="byline"><span class="sep"></span><i class="fa fa-user"></i>
531<span class="author vcard"><a class="url fn n" href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/author/tse/" title="View all posts by TSE" rel="author">TSE</a></span></span> <i class="fa fa-comments-o"></i><span class="screen-reader-text">Comments </span> <a href="https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/09/15/nigel-farage-hits-a-new-low/#comments" class="comments-link" >268 Comments</a></h5>
532		</div><!-- .entry-meta -->
533			</header><!-- .entry-header -->
534
535	<div class="entry-summary">
536		<p>Have we seen peak Reform/Farage? TSE</p>
537	</div><!-- .entry-summary -->
538
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561<p style="font-size:13px;line-height:1.55;color:#555;margin:0 0 14px">Every Westminster voting-intention poll back to 2005, and the 2026 US midterms: the generic congressional ballot and the Senate and governor races. Updated as polls are published, with charts and running averages.</p>
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566<p style="font-size:13px;line-height:1.55;color:#555;margin:0 0 14px">Every UK council by-election as it is declared, scored against the last time the seat was fought &mdash; plus the full local record, forthcoming contests and Westminster back to 1832. And the US: every House, Senate and presidential race since 1976, and the new congressional maps for November.</p>
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577<li><a href="https://www.gelliottmorris.com/">Strength In Numbers</a></li>
578<li><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_Kingdom_by-elections">UK by-elections</a></li>
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586<li><a href="https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/">Politico Poll of Polls</a></li>
587<li><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leadership_approval_opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election">UK leader ratings</a></li>
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596<li><a href="https://conservativehome.com/">ConservativeHome</a></li>
597<li><a href="https://order-order.com/">Guido Fawkes</a></li>
598<li><a href="https://labourlist.org/">LabourList</a></li>
599<li><a href="https://leftfootforward.org/">Left Foot Forward</a></li>
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